Do you see tplf removal as sign that the horn of africa is changing and do you think that centralized govermnet party system is better i happen to believe this may be a better necessity than the current federallism we have thats 4.5 system and with madoobe removed how long do you see deni surviving
I see the recent developments in Ethiopia as mere change of guard. Abiy Ahmed consolidated his power through brute force and he will be the next Meles Zanawi of Ethiopia but there won't be a significant change of fortunes for the average Ethiopian.
Centralism already failed in Somalia. The political authority, or sovereignty, rested in the hands of few individuals from the same tribe that passed their wealth, status, and power on to their offspring. Centralism builds one massive City State and ignores the rest of the country. The destruction of Mogadishu in 1991 had major implications for the entire country since it was the center of commerce, education, and government institutions. The rest of the country was in dire economic and social conditions while one City thrived. Federalism gives each State a massive power to build itself up from the dust, it triggers development competition among the States, it reduces the size and the authority of the president. In centralism, small circle of elites make laws, enforce those laws and judge lawbreakers. The majority of the population in a centralized system lack the ability to challenge the system since it is so powerful.
Federalism is the best suitable system for tribal societies like us.