The average Turk has seen economic prosperity under Erdogan. There are two elections today, presidential and parliamentary. Parliamentary elections are not not that tight and Erdogan’s AK party will win.
The opposition learned from the many karbaashes Erdogan gave them. Now they’re not flat out secularists but try to target the conservatives in the rural area.
As for international spectators, Russia, EU and Syria are hoping for Erdogan to return. Kiricdaroglu tweeted in Russian to Putin that Turkey will sanction him, undoing the progress made by Erdogan to bring Ukraine and Putin to the negotiations table. EU is happy with Erdogan after the refugee agreement, Turkey hosts 4 million Syrian refugees.
I hope Erdogan wins so he can leave the stage under his own terms. He has achieved a lot for Turkey in specific and Muslims in general.