Like always when N&N fail they claim everyone is N&N lol.everyone knew abdi xaashi would win however to only win with 28 is actually very concerning for mucaaridka. haashi should have had 40 votes not 28.
this means N&N has minimum 24 votes from there for presidential election. as their candidate salaax ahmed got 24 votes. it also means the lowerhouse will be a blowout N&N will win in a landslide.
Basic mathematics say 24 is a good number
It’ll be a clean sweep. Shacbaan is next as deputy speaker. Tomorrow Madoobe.Basic mathematics say 24 is a good number
Round 1 elections
Farmajo has PL/JL votes. At least 50 without including 'ceel-waaq portion'. He is relying on 'HG, Abgal, Murusade) who have around 30, and Isaaq who has 30. Even with this, He has 110 MPS secured.
U need 51% or more in Round 2 to win. Parliament is 275, so you need 138 or more. Deni I don't think can secure this and judging by the upper house results, it's going to round 3 where it will be just 'one vote' difference to decide winner.
I urge Deni to start calling 'xawaalas' and laying down 'southern dirs and hag smaller clans' names and use the hawala as a 'damiin' if these rats don't prove they voted for him by taking photo of they're vote, no money coming into their account.
Round 1 elections
Farmajo will secure 60 votes(rahanwayn portion) of the 77
Deni will secure 37 from PL and at least 20 from JL.
The HAGS will be split and only secure small portions from HAG clans
Xaaf = 3 votes
Abdishakur = 3 votes
HSM = 3 votes
Sharif = 3 votes
Kheyre = 9 votes
If HAGS don't get behind 1 candidate that can guarantee '30' votes or more, they won't pass into round 2 and be left behind.
Somaliland will be interesting. Hashi camp is an ally of Deni and has a strong pull among somaliland, but he will be competing against Mahdi Guleed who is a loyalist to Farmajo for SL votes.
About 100 votes are up-for-grabs in the HAG bloc plus Minorities. Deni must spend 'cash' on the minorities but not the HAGS and guarantee lucrative positions among the HAG portion. Only spend money on HAGS if u can't offer them any big positions.
Deni will end PL breakaway autonomy and bring it under FGS control if he becomes federal president