What you are mistaking is that the Baraawe takeover by Rewins will happen at once. It's gonna be gradual.Barawe isn’t even about HG or anything. Most of shabellaha hoose’s HG influence is military. But we’re outnumbered by Mudulood, Gaaljecel.
Barawe is populated by abgaal, Murusade, hg (mostly Cayr) and hilibi Darandole. The city is hawiye dominated by a combination of military and population.
It’s also the case Hawiye dominate the route in and out of the place. To change demographics would require a lot and to change military dynamics is impossible. Just look at the last fighting in Barawe where KG darawish surrendered as they had no connection by land to Barawe while SNA had direct resupply and reinforcements from Marka, Afgoye, Xamar route.
It’s not in Kg interest to move closer to Xamar/shabellaha hoose. Gaaljecel will benefit, HG will benefit, Mudulood will benefit. And the FGS will benefit as Ethiopia is out of the picture. There’s more likelihood of hawiye SNA taking Baydhabo in post ENDF scenario than the other way round
Already hawiye don't have the same influence they used to in Baraawe. I don't know if your aware but Baraawe is basically in the hands of the Daraawiish SW. SNA have been moved outside the city.
Bit by bit you will be removed untill you find that you hold nothing in shabelada hoose.