Do you think that's what that US built army base in Kismayo will be for? If Al shabaab are flanked from both north and south then major strategic points will be captured.
Details have emerged, indicating that each Federal Member State (FMS) in Somalia will receive a designated baseβBaidoa, Kismayo, Mogadishu, Beldweyne, and Abduwaak.
The situation in Kismayo appears to be at a standstill, with suspicions arising that Madobe might have struck a deal with Shabaab. Allegedly, this arrangement allows the group to profit from harvesting and selling charcoal in exchange for refraining from attacking and endangering Madobe's position. Madobe's swift concession of the ports in Kismayo to the FGS suggests a tendency towards self-enrichment above all else, with a focus on maintaining personal gains rather than serving the citizens of Jubbaland.
A positive development is the lifting of the arms embargo, providing an opportunity for strategic advancements. It's plausible that HSM may attempt to acquire T-55/-72 tanks and MiG planes from former Soviet-aligned countries within NATO via intermediaries like the US, Turks, or Egyptians. With Ukraine set to receive F-16s and Abrams tanks, there's a chance these surplus military assets could be redirected to Somalia in the near future. One of the few good things he did do is put us under a western-sphere of influence. Ethiopia under Abiye is sliding towards the, as Bush would call them, "Axis of Evil". This is not on HSM 130 iq move, just pure luck, one our country desperately needs. I think why the normally diminutive HSM is growing bolder and bolder in his demands of FMS, the US is cementing itself more and more as our allies because of the Ethiopian going haywire and Yemenis taking ships and Sudan going into civil war, we Somalia out of all countries became "reliable". With that trust he grows arrogant.
All of this assuming the government is playing chess, not checkers.