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This was during the ironically named uslama watch operation where the govt illegally detained Somalis for over 70 days (most of whom were innocent incl women and children) in real life concentration camps! (as seen via human rights watch).

This was only in 2013 guys!!!

P.s. btw near the end of my first post, I was hinting of a sought of generic economic/political bloc (like ASEAN) and NOT of the super state/EU open borders style that the OP aspires to.


It is 2017 and these two countries are ethnic cleansing us. Even in trade, we import khaat and alcohol from them. Nothing good comes from them.



Report: Kenya, Ethiopia Using Excessive Force Against Somali Civilians
April 27,
2017 10:41 AM
DDBF8763-539B-40FE-85E9-05CD7E601FFA_w650_r1_s.jpg

A Somali soldier provides security as newly displaced Somalis gather at a camp on the outskirts of Mogadishu, Somalia, March 28, 2017. A new report says cross-border airstrikes by Kenya have been targeting civilians in pastoral communities in Somalia's Gedo region.

See comments

Kenya and Ethiopia have used excessive force against Somali civilians amid efforts to halt cross-border attacks by al-Shabab, according to an internal report by aid agencies working in Somalia.

The report, obtained by VOA's Somali Service, says Kenya has carried out dozens of airstrikes targeting pastoral communities in Somalia's Gedo region since June of 2015. It says Kenyan Wildlife Service personnel pressed into border patrol duty have targeted people with arbitrary arrests and extrajudicial killings.

The report says Ethiopia deployed a paramilitary force along the border to push back pastoralists who had settled in a "grey zone" between Somalia and Ethiopia. It says the force, known as the Liyu Police, committed acts of sexual violence, including a practice called “break and rape” in which women's limbs are fractured.

Kenya Defense Forces spokesman Colonel Jospeh Owuoth denied the accusations, saying Kenya attacks only al-Shabab targets. Ethiopian leaders in the region could not be reached, but the president of the region, Abdi Mohamud Omar, has previously denied all allegations concerning abuses by the Liyu Police.

Eyewitness accounts

But residents of the regions told VOA of incidents that seem to confirm the report's findings.

Mohamud Nur Osman is a community leader in Likoley village, Gedo region. He says Kenyan warplanes recently struck several locations where it had rained and herders had gathered to let their animals graze.

“People have fled from drought-hit areas. They move to where it rains. They [Kenya] bomb where people have been converging,” he said.

He says one strike took place near his village seven days ago. “People who are following the clouds have arrived there. They are civilians, not an army, and they were targeted. No one was killed, but animals died, including camels and goats," he says.

Hassan Mohamed Mukhtar, who fled an area near the Somali-Ethiopian border, told VOA his younger sister, Ruqiya, was arrested and taken to Barey town in Ethiopia by the Liyu Police 15 months ago. They acted because her husband had once accepted $100 to help an al-Shabab operation, he says.

23EDF601-2B9A-42F1-AA14-7A45A5F7928E_w650_r0_s.jpg

FILE - Ethiopian soldiers patrol in Baidoa, Somalia, Feb. 29, 2012. Both Ethiopia and Kenya have had troops in Somalia for years as part of an African Union mission mandate to fight al-Shabab.



Aid agencies collaborate

The report was written within the past two weeks and its authenticity was confirmed to VOA's Somali service by three humanitarian aid workers working in Somalia. U.N. aid agencies and associated non-governmental organizations, "protection clusters," as they are called, periodically team up to write such reports.

Both Kenya and Ethiopia have stationed troops in Somalia for years as part of an African Union mission mandated to fight al-Shabab. The mission, AMISOM, played a central role in ejecting al-Shabab from Somali cities.

The new report says Kenya and Ethiopia have mobilized non-AMISOM troops to secure their borders. It was these steps that resulted in many actions which are outside of the AMISOM mandate and caused confusion with regards to accountability, it says.

Ethiopia's Liyu Police were formed in 2007 to fight against the rebel group, the Ogaden National Liberation Front, in the ethnic Somali region. Human rights groups have accused them of abuses against civilians in the region.

In Kenya's case, airstrikes targeted water points with the rationale that those resources are used by al-Shabab militants. But the report says “the distinction between military targets and civilians is skewed in the Somali context."

The report also says Kenya has deployed members of its Wildlife Service along the border with Somalia to bolster security. But the report says Somali pastoralists who often move across the frontier, "were now subject to arbitrary arrest, detention, abductions and extrajudicial killings.”

Kenya denials

KDF spokesman Colonel Jospeh Owuoth strongly denied the allegations. “That is not correct, absolutely not true for several reasons,” he said.

“When the KDF and AMSIOM conduct an airstrike it makes sure, almost excessively sure that they have no civilian components in that locations," he said. "We strictly target only the al-Shabab terrorists, at no time have we ever targeted a water point where there are civilians or a building or a location where we suspect there are civilians.”

0D81E685-21B0-459B-B984-040E7F3FEEF1_w650_r0_s.jpg

FILE - Two Kenyan army soldiers shield themselves from the downdraft of a Kenyan air force helicopter near the seaside town of Bur Garbo, Somalia, Dec. 14, 2011. A Kenyan military spokesman is categorically denying accusations that the Kenyan air force has been conducting airstrikes against Somali civilians.



“There is a drought in Somalia and you find that most of the civilians go to where there are water holes. You find that that is a big community of animals and people. We cannot bring fire on such a location,” he added.

Owuoth also denied the Kenya Wildlife Service is responsible for violent acts against Somali pastoralists. “KWS has never crossed into Somalia and has not operated on the border. That is not true at all," he said.

The report by the Somalia protection cluster accused Al-Shabab of blockading towns and urban areas controlled by the AMISOM and Somali forces in the Bakool and Bay regions.

It says the blockades prevents aid agencies from delivering humanitarian assistance to people in the drought-stricken region.

“The lack of movement from AS-controlled areas raises the question of whether AS will allow populations under their control or influence to leave and seek humanitarian assistance,” the report says.

Canuck, Today at 6:47 AMReport
#72Reply
 
It is 2017 and these two countries are ethnic cleansing us. Even in trade, we import khaat and alcohol from them. Nothing good comes from them.



Report: Kenya, Ethiopia Using Excessive Force Against Somali Civilians
April 27,
2017 10:41 AM
DDBF8763-539B-40FE-85E9-05CD7E601FFA_w650_r1_s.jpg

A Somali soldier provides security as newly displaced Somalis gather at a camp on the outskirts of Mogadishu, Somalia, March 28, 2017. A new report says cross-border airstrikes by Kenya have been targeting civilians in pastoral communities in Somalia's Gedo region.

See comments

Kenya and Ethiopia have used excessive force against Somali civilians amid efforts to halt cross-border attacks by al-Shabab, according to an internal report by aid agencies working in Somalia.

The report, obtained by VOA's Somali Service, says Kenya has carried out dozens of airstrikes targeting pastoral communities in Somalia's Gedo region since June of 2015. It says Kenyan Wildlife Service personnel pressed into border patrol duty have targeted people with arbitrary arrests and extrajudicial killings.

The report says Ethiopia deployed a paramilitary force along the border to push back pastoralists who had settled in a "grey zone" between Somalia and Ethiopia. It says the force, known as the Liyu Police, committed acts of sexual violence, including a practice called “break and rape” in which women's limbs are fractured.

Kenya Defense Forces spokesman Colonel Jospeh Owuoth denied the accusations, saying Kenya attacks only al-Shabab targets. Ethiopian leaders in the region could not be reached, but the president of the region, Abdi Mohamud Omar, has previously denied all allegations concerning abuses by the Liyu Police.

Eyewitness accounts

But residents of the regions told VOA of incidents that seem to confirm the report's findings.

Mohamud Nur Osman is a community leader in Likoley village, Gedo region. He says Kenyan warplanes recently struck several locations where it had rained and herders had gathered to let their animals graze.

“People have fled from drought-hit areas. They move to where it rains. They [Kenya] bomb where people have been converging,” he said.

He says one strike took place near his village seven days ago. “People who are following the clouds have arrived there. They are civilians, not an army, and they were targeted. No one was killed, but animals died, including camels and goats," he says.

Hassan Mohamed Mukhtar, who fled an area near the Somali-Ethiopian border, told VOA his younger sister, Ruqiya, was arrested and taken to Barey town in Ethiopia by the Liyu Police 15 months ago. They acted because her husband had once accepted $100 to help an al-Shabab operation, he says.

23EDF601-2B9A-42F1-AA14-7A45A5F7928E_w650_r0_s.jpg

FILE - Ethiopian soldiers patrol in Baidoa, Somalia, Feb. 29, 2012. Both Ethiopia and Kenya have had troops in Somalia for years as part of an African Union mission mandate to fight al-Shabab.



Aid agencies collaborate

The report was written within the past two weeks and its authenticity was confirmed to VOA's Somali service by three humanitarian aid workers working in Somalia. U.N. aid agencies and associated non-governmental organizations, "protection clusters," as they are called, periodically team up to write such reports.

Both Kenya and Ethiopia have stationed troops in Somalia for years as part of an African Union mission mandated to fight al-Shabab. The mission, AMISOM, played a central role in ejecting al-Shabab from Somali cities.

The new report says Kenya and Ethiopia have mobilized non-AMISOM troops to secure their borders. It was these steps that resulted in many actions which are outside of the AMISOM mandate and caused confusion with regards to accountability, it says.

Ethiopia's Liyu Police were formed in 2007 to fight against the rebel group, the Ogaden National Liberation Front, in the ethnic Somali region. Human rights groups have accused them of abuses against civilians in the region.

In Kenya's case, airstrikes targeted water points with the rationale that those resources are used by al-Shabab militants. But the report says “the distinction between military targets and civilians is skewed in the Somali context."

The report also says Kenya has deployed members of its Wildlife Service along the border with Somalia to bolster security. But the report says Somali pastoralists who often move across the frontier, "were now subject to arbitrary arrest, detention, abductions and extrajudicial killings.”

Kenya denials

KDF spokesman Colonel Jospeh Owuoth strongly denied the allegations. “That is not correct, absolutely not true for several reasons,” he said.

“When the KDF and AMSIOM conduct an airstrike it makes sure, almost excessively sure that they have no civilian components in that locations," he said. "We strictly target only the al-Shabab terrorists, at no time have we ever targeted a water point where there are civilians or a building or a location where we suspect there are civilians.”

0D81E685-21B0-459B-B984-040E7F3FEEF1_w650_r0_s.jpg

FILE - Two Kenyan army soldiers shield themselves from the downdraft of a Kenyan air force helicopter near the seaside town of Bur Garbo, Somalia, Dec. 14, 2011. A Kenyan military spokesman is categorically denying accusations that the Kenyan air force has been conducting airstrikes against Somali civilians.



“There is a drought in Somalia and you find that most of the civilians go to where there are water holes. You find that that is a big community of animals and people. We cannot bring fire on such a location,” he added.

Owuoth also denied the Kenya Wildlife Service is responsible for violent acts against Somali pastoralists. “KWS has never crossed into Somalia and has not operated on the border. That is not true at all," he said.

The report by the Somalia protection cluster accused Al-Shabab of blockading towns and urban areas controlled by the AMISOM and Somali forces in the Bakool and Bay regions.

It says the blockades prevents aid agencies from delivering humanitarian assistance to people in the drought-stricken region.

“The lack of movement from AS-controlled areas raises the question of whether AS will allow populations under their control or influence to leave and seek humanitarian assistance,” the report says.

Canuck, Today at 6:47 AMReport
#72Reply


Xaar slayer strikes again, I award you Somali medal of honor brother!:cool::nvjpqts::2tjlv3e:
 
There will never Union with Ethiopia.
Wow, this is the most logical and forward thinking response that I've read so far on this topic. You've perfectly addressed all the points that I've been struggling to articulate in some of these threads; I especially like the bolded. Thanks for posting.


It is a pipe dream that will never happen. Ethiopia with its current political system will never find a friend amongst Somalis who cherish their country and freedom.
 
View attachment 17315 View attachment 17316
The stupid and morons members here want rest of Somalis join Kenya and Ethiopia to enjoy this beautiful fate. Misery loves company.


Only ibnu xaram entertains such thoughts. No decent Somali born to Somali decent parents who was raised with dignity and culture ever accepts anything less than total freedom from Ethiopia and Kenya.

Only Somalis you see on this website adovating for such stupidity are of two kinds:

- Gaal with no sense of identity
- Sickened with cuqdad qabiil and ready to sell/trade religion, soul and country to attain a perceived tribal victory.

Servitude is pride to these ignoble so called Somalis amongst us.


You will not find anyone else defending such atrocious ideas. There is no dignity to many individuals on this website. Waa dhal xaaraan as they come.
 
Guys

With due respect to your deeply held convictions about Ethiopia and to a lesser degree Kenya that they are enemies (real or imagined) of Somalis is the nucleus and the reasons for this idea. The lack of trust between these nations and populace is mutual. The hatred among themselves will only get nastier and deeper that requires massive expenditures on arms and the military. These countries would have opportunistic leaders who will manipulate their citizenry about the existence of an enemy that wants to destroy and absorbs them. Ask yourself, who benefits from it and who are the losers? It is the people of these nations and Somalis, the most. Should we march on that nihilistic road or expedite other alternatives? This idea warrants to be discussed and not dismissed for emotive reasons.
How would Somalia benefit from this?
 
How would Somalia benefit from this?

Adolf

Thanks you asked and if you didn't read any of my posts above, I'm obliged to repeat the benefits, but they are too many to list here. First, Somalia will enter into this union as a cohesive nation (Somaliland + Somalia) where both sides had agreed to trash out their differences and consented to speak on one voice.

Some of the benefits include;

No more expenditures on arms and on the military; the overwhelming majority of the budget will be spent on alleviating poverty, building schools, hospitals, public works, training and creating employment opportunities for the youth. A massive program of shifting our people from a nomadic peasants background to a well educated productive society.

Establishing a common economic market. The movement of goods and services among member shouldn't be restricted and nor attract tariffs; thus by creating a free market among member states for goods and services. Somalia will have a bigger market to sell its products. Having access to a such larger market, this will enable Somali entrepreneurs to exploit the Somali fisheries and agriculture and create new industries in Somalia. It will also help them to establish businesses anywhere within the common market without requiring the citizenships of the host countries needed to conduct businesses in those countries. This will encourage establishing new transportation infrastructure to move goods and services such as, better roads and highways, railways, airports and ports. It will create massive employment opportunities.

On the security level, it will create trust between nations and when the pie is shared by all and it trickles down to the most down-trodden, then, stability will be a concern for Mr and Mrs Joe whose lives have improved and now have an important dividend in maintaining the peace. You could commute from Somalia to anywhere in these countries without requiring a passport and vice versa. An open border policy, freedom of movement for member states citizens.

The benefits are many to list but why the opposition? Pride. Anger. Hate. It could be cured and thereafter reaped benefits.
 
Last edited:
Adolf

Thanks you asked and if you didn't read any of my posts above, I'm obliged to repeat the benefits, but they are too many to list here. First, Somalia will enter into this union as a cohesive nation (Somaliland + Somalia) where both sides had agreed to trash out their differences and consented to speak on one voice.

Some of the benefits include;

No more expenditures on arms and on the military; the overwhelming majority of the budget will be spent on alleviating poverty, building schools, hospitals, public works, training and creating employment opportunities for the youth. A massive program of shifting our people from a nomadic peasants background to a well educated productive society.

Establishing a common economic market. The movement of goods and services among member shouldn't be restricted and nor attract tariffs; thus by creating a free market among member states for goods and services. Somalia will have a bigger market to sell its products. Having access to a such larger market, this will enable Somali entrepreneurs to exploit the Somali fisheries and agriculture and create new industries in Somalia. It will also help them to establish businesses anywhere within the common market without requiring the citizenships of the host countries needed to conduct businesses in those countries. This will encourage establishing new transportation infrastructure to move goods and services such as, better roads and highways, railways, airports and ports. It will create massive employment opportunities.

On the security level, it will create trust between nations and when the pie is shared by all and it trickles down to the most down-trodden, then, stability will be a concern for Mr and Mrs Joe whose lives have improved and now have an important dividend in maintaining the peace. You could commute from Somalia to anywhere in these countries without requiring a passport and vice versa. An open border policy, freedom of movement for member states citizens.

The benefits are many to list but why the opposition? Pride. Anger. Hate. It could be cured and thereafter reaped benefits.




In least reports Ethiopia has 20 millions who are suffering from famine.
 
In least reports Ethiopia has 20 millions who are suffering from famine.


Cannuck

Yes, vast numbers of Ethiopia's population are very poor and famine has also affected millions of Ethiopians, however, Ethiopia's economy is one of the fastest growing economies in the world http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blog...omic-prospects-in-2017-ten-countries-to-watch and we are discussing not a union right now, but a future union because so many people of all sides reject the idea because of historical enmity emotive reasons. The idea is to overcome this mutual lack of trust and hatred and start a new era of cooperation, progress and a better future for all the citizens in the HOA. The status quo isn't working, therefore a radical idea such as this is required to make the region stable, wealthy and solve it's own problems.
 
Cannuck

Yes, vast numbers of Ethiopia's population are very poor and famine has also affected millions of Ethiopians, however, Ethiopia's economy is one of the fastest growing economies in the world http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blog...omic-prospects-in-2017-ten-countries-to-watch and we are discussing not a union right now, but a future union because so many people of all sides reject the idea because of historical enmity emotive reasons. The idea is to overcome this mutual lack of trust and hatred and start a new era of cooperation, progress and a better future for all the citizens in the HOA. The status quo isn't working, therefore a radical idea such as this is required to make the region stable, wealthy and solve it's own problems.



But this is other lie. You can't have famine with growing economic

Ethiopia’s fake economic growth borrows from ENRON’s accounting
Admin year ago Economic Growth, EPRDF, Ethiopia, IMF, TPLF, World Bank

A man walks past a portion of the Addis Ababa light railway under construction in Addis Ababa. Photograph: Carl de Souza/AFP/Getty Images


Ethiopia’s fake economic growth borrows from ENRON’s accounting
By J. Bonsa


More than 70 people have been killed and dozens wounded in an ongoing crackdown on peaceful protesters in Oromia. One of the underlying causes of the prevailing tense political situation is Ethiopia’s bogus claim about “miraculous” economic growth in the last decade.

The youth is not benefitting from the country’s supposed growth and doesn't anticipate the fulfillment of those promises given the pervasive nepotism and crony capitalism that underpins Ethiopia’s developmentalism.

The ruling Ethiopian People’s Revolutionary Democratic Front (EPRDF) came to power in 1991 and briefly experimented with democratic transition. However, a little over a decade into its rule, the party’s former strongman, the late Meles Zenawi, realized that their pretentious experiment with liberal democracy was not working. Zenawi then crafted a dubious concept called, “developmental state.”

Stripped of the accompanying jargons and undue sophistications, Zenawi was simply saying that he had abandoned the democratic route but will seek legitimacy through economic development guided by a strong hand of the state. This was a ploy, the last ditch attempt to extend EPRDF’s rule indefinitely.

Using fabricated economic data to seek legitimacy and attract foreign direct investments, the regime then advanced narratives about its double-digit economic growth, described with such catch phrases as Ethiopia rising, the fastest growing economy in the world and African lioness. The claims that EPRDF has delivered economic growth at miraculous scales has always been reported with a reminder that it takes several decades to build democratic governance. The underlining assumption was that, as long as they deliver economic growth, Ethiopia’s leaders could be excused on the lack of democracy and human rights abuses associated with the need for government intervention in the economy.

EPRDF spent millions to retain the services of expensive and well-connected Western lobbying firms to promote this narrative and create a positive image of the country. These investments were also accompanied with a tight grip on the local media, including depriving foreign reporters’ access if they cross the government line. Ethiopia’s communication apparatus was so successful that even serious reporters and analysts started to accept and promote EPRDF’s narrative on rapid economic growth.

However, a few recent events have tested the truthfulness of Ethiopia’s economic rise. Drought and the resulting famine remain the Achilles heels of the EPRDF government. The government can manipulate data on any other sector, including the aggregate Gross Domestic Product, and get away with it, but agriculture is a tricky sector whose output is not so easy to lie about. The proof lies in the availability of food in the market, providing the absolute minimum subsistence for the rural and urban population.

The sudden translation of drought into famine raises serious questions. For example, it is proving difficult to reconcile the country’s double-digit economic growth with the fact that about 15 million [18 million] Ethiopians are currently in need of emergency food aid.

Rampant famine

Except for some gullible foreign reporters or parachute consultants, who visit Addis Ababa and depart within days, serious analysts and students of Ethiopian economy know that authorities have often fabricated economic statistics in order to generate fake GDP growth. For a trained eye, it does not take a lot to find inconsistencies in the data series. In fact, Ethiopia’s economic growth calculus is so reminiscent of Enron accounting. (See my recent pieces questioning EPRDF’s economic policies, including anomalies in the alleged achievements of millennium development goals, crony businesses, devaluation, external trade and finance.)

The tacit understanding in using GDP as a measure of economic growth is that responsible governments generate such data by applying viable international standards and subjecting the data to scrutiny and consistency checks.

Unfortunately, these standards are not foolproof; irresponsible governments with mischievous motives can abuse them. There is credible evidence that show Ethiopian authorities deliberately inflated economic statistics to promote feel-good, success stories.

Let’s take the agricultural data, which is timely and topical given the ongoing famine. This came to light recently as the European Union tried to understand anomalies in Ethiopia’s grain market, particularly persistent food inflation which the EU found incompatible with the agricultural output reported by the Central Statistical Authority (CSA) of Ethiopia.

The EU’s Joint Research Centre (JRC) then developed the technical specification for studying the scope of the Cereal Availability Study in order to account for the developments in the Ethiopian cereal markets. The International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI) was selected to carry out the study.


Figure 1 (above) compares the EU-sponsored survey and the Ethiopian government’s survey produced by the CSA. I am using the data for 2007/08 for comparison. The negative numbers indicate that the IFPRI estimates were consistently lower than the CSA data. For instance, CSA overstated cereal production by 34 percent on average. This ranged from 29 percent for maize to 44 percent for sorghum. The actual amount of Teff produced is lower by a third of what’s reported by the CSA.

The research team sought to explain this “puzzle” by examining the sources of the confusion, the methodological flaws that might have led CSA to generate such exaggerated economic data. Toward that end, they compared CSA’s crop yield estimates with comparable data from three neighboring countries: Kenya, Tanzania, and Uganda (see Figure 2).


From 2000 to 2007, the average increase in cereal yield for these countries, including Ethiopia, was 19 percent. Yet the CSA reported a whopping 66 percent for Ethiopia’s yield growth. The country was not experiencing an agricultural revolution to justify such phenomenal growth. It is unrealistic that Ethiopia’s yield growth would be greater than the neighboring East African countries, particularly Kenya, where the agricultural sector is at a much more advanced stage. If anything, the reality in Ethiopia is closer to Uganda, which did not report any yield increase during that period.

This reveals the extents of data manipulation by Ethiopian authorities to create an inexistent economic success story and seeks political legitimacy using a bogus record. We now know the widespread distortions in official statistics on cereal production thanks, in no small part, to EU’s intervention in sponsoring a study and explaining the disparities. Cereals represent only a sub-sector in the agricultural realm. It is likely that worse distortions would be revealed if similar studies were done on Ethiopia’s growth statistics in other sectors, including manufacturing and service divisions.

‘Poverty reduction’

The IMF has praised Ethiopia for achieving accelerated growth with a focus on equity and poverty reduction, a challenging dilemma for most countries. However, a closer look at three interconnected facts turns this claim on its head.

First, as noted above, Ethiopia’s agricultural output has been inflated by 34 percent on average. Second, a 33 percent poverty reduction since 2000 is widely reported. Third, there is a consensus that poverty reduction has happened mostly in rural Ethiopia. Now we put these three facts together and apply a simple logic to establish that the 33 percent poverty reduction is explained by the 34 percent exaggerated agricultural outputs. Notice that it is not by accident that the two percentage points are almost identical. Therefore, the ups and downs cancel each other out. In the best-case scenario, poverty rate must remain at the same level as in 2000.

The World Bank, IMF and other donors have often anchored their conclusions on poverty reduction on alleged changes in the agricultural sector, where the bulk of the poor live and work. Little do they know that the data they used to compute the poverty index comes from agricultural statistics with hugely inflated yield assumptions as shown above.

This raises the question: where has the billions of dollars in bilateral and multilateral aid pumped into Ethiopia in the name of poverty reduction and the millennium development goals gone?

‘The enclave economy’

The ‘Ethiopia rising’ storyline is a standard set by foreign correspondents who often repurpose official government press releases, or report based on the construction projects in the capital, Addis Ababa.

For example, Bloomberg Africa’s, William Davison, often uses the proliferating high-rise buildings in Addis Ababa as tangible evidence of Ethiopia’s double-digit economic growth. In his latest whitewash, Davison writes, “such growth is already visible in parts of the capital, where shopping malls and luxury hotels are sprouting up.” That a veteran reporter for a business website unashamedly passes judgment on economic success by referring to heights and width of buildings underscores his shallow understanding of the country’s social and political fabric.

Here are some of the questions that reporters aren’t asking and seeking answers for: Who owns those building? Where did the investment money come from? Are there any firm linkages between these physical infrastructures and the rest of the Ethiopian economy? I have partially answered some of these questions in a previous piece and will soon provide additional insights.

For now, I would like to draw attention to the existence of an “enclave economy” within the mainstream Ethiopian economy. This enclave is made up of highly interconnected crony businesses, which are owned and operated by Tigrean elites, who also have a tight grip on the political and military command structures. Take, for example, the Endowment Fund for Rehabilitation of Tigray (EFFORT), a business conglomerate affiliated with the Tigrean People’s Liberation Front (TPLF). EFFORT has a humble origin in the relief and rehabilitation arm of the TPLF. However, it has undergone amorphous growth and now controls the commanding heights of the Ethiopian economy. By some estimates, EFFORT now controls more than 66 business entities. Since its “rehabilitation" function is obviously redundant, I have previously suggested, “it should instead be renamed as the Endowment Fund for Rendering Tigrean Supremacy (EFFORTS).”

The EFFORTS controlled enclave and related military engineering complexes have created a semi-autonomous economy in Ethiopia. They made smart choices and specialized in engineering and construction businesses. This means they do not have to rely on the Ethiopian public for their products; instead, each specialize in separate industrial branches and buy from each other and also sell to the government, which is also in their hand. The huge government infrastructural projects necessitated by the “developmental state” model create business opportunities for these engineering companies.

The enclave economy is only loosely linked to the mainstream economy and it does not benefit the bulk of the Ethiopian people in any meaningful way. The luxury hotels and supermarkets that Davison refers to cater for the needs of the affluent business classes, their families, and the expatriate community.

In other words, Ethiopia’s miraculous economic growth, if it in fact exists, must have happened only in the enclave economy. Statistically, it is possible to generate a double-digit economic growth at the national level through a combination of some real astronomical growth in the enclave component and stagnation or declines hidden, through some accounting tricks, in the rest of the economy.

Lock-in style of reporting

Unfortunately, the unquestioned reporting on Ethiopia’s economic success has continued. Even the EU study appears to have been shelved, or deliberately ignored despite the significant findings. Even as a fifth of the population is in need of emergency aid, the World Bank is sticking with the outdated data and has recently released a sensationalized report entitled “Ethiopia’s Great Run: the growth acceleration and how to pace it.”

The ensuing famine has shaken the foundation of Ethiopia’s growth narrative, yet western NGOs and media outlets appear to suffer from the lock-in effect in adopting consistent storylines. They continue to link and refer to the World Bank, IMF and others reports and indexes by multilateral organizations.

That’s why we continue to see comical headlines such as “Ethiopian Drought Threatens Growth as Cattle Die, Crops Fail,” which assumes that Ethiopia’s growth is actually occurring. This acquiescence does not only display ignorance, but it also underscores an effort to evade accountability for previous mistakes and failure to report accurate information.

In a recent interview with The Ethiopian Reporter, Prime Minister Hailemariam Desalegn made a rare and fateful admission: “if we crave for too much praises for our achievements, we might run the risk of undermining the challenges we are facing. These challenges could grow bigger and become irreversible and that would be detrimental.”

Over the past 25 years, the EPRDF worked tirelessly to create a distorted image of the country and began craving and lobbying foreigners for praises.

Enron’s success involved an elaborate scam, but the firm was named “America's Most Innovative Company” for six consecutive years. This fame did not stop Enron from crumbling. EPRDF’s fate will not be any different. The Oromo uprising has already started the unraveling of its elaborate scams devised to attain legitimacy on the back of non-existent economic and democratic advancement.

*The writer, J. Bonsa, is a researcher based in Asia.
 
Cannuck

Yes, vast numbers of Ethiopia's population are very poor and famine has also affected millions of Ethiopians, however, Ethiopia's economy is one of the fastest growing economies in the world http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blog...omic-prospects-in-2017-ten-countries-to-watch and we are discussing not a union right now, but a future union because so many people of all sides reject the idea because of historical enmity emotive reasons. The idea is to overcome this mutual lack of trust and hatred and start a new era of cooperation, progress and a better future for all the citizens in the HOA. The status quo isn't working, therefore a radical idea such as this is required to make the region stable, wealthy and solve it's own problems.


https://www.tesfanews.net/ethiopia-double-digit-economic-growth-reality-check/
 
Cannuk

Mate, Ethiopia is still regarded as a poor country but to deny that it's economy has considerably grown is a fallacy. pictures tell a thousand words. Tighten your seat belt.

addis-ababa-metro-rail-02.jpg


addis-ababa-skyline.jpg


Addis-Ababa-Light-Rail2.jpg


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xxxhaGJ.jpg
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secondgenerationhousing-1.jpg


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:ftw9nwa:





I can show you also the nice section of Somalia however the pretty images can not conceal the truth. BTW are you Ethiopian?
 


Cannuck

I'm Somali and you are in denial if you think Ethiopia hasn't made any progress, while we Somalis were busy butchering one another. You are very emotive, therefore you should cease participating in this thread because I'm seriously worried for your health. Furthermore, this is only an idea that needs to be explored further and added into our conversations if we are serious about building a better and brighter future for all in the region because our security and stability is inter-connected and is a foundation for moving us all forward. Don't get a cardiac arrest over ideas that you abhor it, I mentioned in my initial post. Good luck sxb.
 
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