HSM Gov Offensive against Al-Shabab : Thread

[bidenkulaha]

NISA army has destroyed a network of terrorists who were planning to disturb the security of Mogadishu.

The security forces have arrested members of the terrorist network, their weapons and motorbikes and bajaj to escape when they are in trouble.

The security officials also said that other members of the terrorists are being chased.


The NISA army who did this operation after they got this information also took over the houses that were being prepared for this network.

 

[bidenkulaha]

View attachment 237901View attachment 237900

NISA army has destroyed a network of terrorists who were planning to disturb the security of Mogadishu.

The security forces have arrested members of the terrorist network, their weapons and motorbikes and bajaj to escape when they are in trouble.

The security officials also said that other members of the terrorists are being chased.

@Woke1.4rm.Shibis we should give Mahad Salaad some time. Remember he’s rebuilding NISA from the ground up and clearing them of Fahad Yasin/Shabaab agents.

This and the Lower Shabelle NISA operations where Shabaab aren’t tipped off and caught shows much improvement, we’re no longer sabotaged from the inside. Inshallah the successes continue

 

[bidenkulaha]

 

[Ranger1007]

Shabaab are struggling to get water and food to their soldiers, many of the captured fighters were very malnourished.

So it’s likely they’ll have to resort to stealing even more livestock given they have no supply routes in Galguduud. Rebellions are going to be inevitable if this continues

They still have access to galgaduud via middle shabelle. They rounded up animals there few weeks ago

 

[Ranger1007]

That’s why Murusade are absolutely crucial in this fight. Not only are they the strongest clan in ceelbur town, they also hold a large and densely populated baadiyo surrounding it and can besiege shabab at a moments notice.

But unfortunately my reer abti are terrorist scum. Sad truth that I hope will change soon

Na if cayr and Duduble can get on the same side they can capture it

 

[bidenkulaha]

Hopefully increased American support these operations

 

[Prince of HS]

Na if cayr and Duduble can get on the same side they can capture it

Mursade aren’t even needed if those two team up

 

[Dowlad]

Mursade aren’t even needed if those two team up

We need Murusade, just to make sure things go smooth.

 

[Prince of HS]

We need Murusade, just to make sure things go smooth.

Those guys are hardcore AS. I doubt they’ll join very easily

 

[bidenkulaha]

Those guys are hardcore AS. I doubt they’ll join very easily

For sure. We should plan for worst case scenario. There’s a lot of Cayr land and Duduble land that is right around Ceelbuur.

I support HSM’s talks with Murusade troops/saraakiil from Xamar as the one’s living there are not Shabaab supporters. This way we avoid it turning into a clan war.

 

[Dowlad]

Those guys are hardcore AS. I doubt they’ll join very easily

If we go in without their permission. Al-shabab will turn it into tribe war. We cannot afford to lose good people. Even if we capture Ceelbuur, entire Murusade will leave with Al-shabab.
We need to win the hearts and minds of the locals and then get their militias + our militias to move in.

 

[bidenkulaha]

Good report

>Shabaab attacks on civilians, including the September 2 humanitarian convoy attack, prompted the Habir Gadir, another major Hawiye subclan, to mobilize against al Shabaab. The Habir Gadir are the majority subclan in Galguduud and Mudug regions.

>Al Shabaab targeted Habir Gadir villages less than 25 miles southwest of Bahdo village in northern Galgudud region on September 1* and 5.*

>SNA and Galmudug State forces arrived* in Bahdo on September 11 to train and support locals who had “taken up arms.” The local fighters in Bahdo are already battle-tested, as they helped repel* a large al Shabaab suicide raid in June 2022. The mobilization of the Abgal and Habir Gedir alongside the Hawadle would put much of the Hawiye clan—and thus central Somalia—in open war with al Shabaab.

Virtual confirmation on the rapid progress of the Hiraan operation in the past month

August

September

 

[bidenkulaha]

Good report

>Shabaab attacks on civilians, including the September 2 humanitarian convoy attack, prompted the Habir Gadir, another major Hawiye subclan, to mobilize against al Shabaab. The Habir Gadir are the majority subclan in Galguduud and Mudug regions.

>Al Shabaab targeted Habir Gadir villages less than 25 miles southwest of Bahdo village in northern Galgudud region on September 1* and 5.*

>SNA and Galmudug State forces arrived* in Bahdo on September 11 to train and support locals who had “taken up arms.” The local fighters in Bahdo are already battle-tested, as they helped repel* a large al Shabaab suicide raid in June 2022. The mobilization of the Abgal and Habir Gedir alongside the Hawadle would put much of the Hawiye clan—and thus central Somalia—in open war with al Shabaab.

Virtual confirmation on the rapid progress of the Hiraan operation in the past month

August View attachment 237954

September View attachment 237953

>President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud may attempt to generate additional forces by convincing the Sufi militia ASWJ to join the fight in central Somalia. Former President Mohamud Abdullahi Mohamud (known as Farmaajo) exacerbated tensions between the Galmudug State government and ASWJ in 2020 when he allegedly rigged* state elections to install a political ally as president. The controversy effectively destroyed a 2017 power-sharing agreement and undermined ASWJ’s political power, leading to clashes* between ASWJ and Somali federal and state security forces in October 2021. ASWJ eventually withdrew* to northern Galgudud region at the end of October 2021 and has remained in that area.

>ASWJ and President Mohamud have signaled their willingness to negotiate since Mohamud took office in May 2022. ASWJ leadership said* in early June 2022 that they expect Mohamud to attempt to mediate between the militia and the Galmudug State administration. President Mohamud was reportedly debating* with his cabinet in late August 2022 how to best negotiate between ASWJ and Galmudug State officials. ASWJ has long been one of the most effective forces at combating al Shabaab in central Somalia since al Shabaab’s rise in the late 2000s. ASWJ’s experience, resources, and local support would further bolster the anti–al Shabaab offensive.

 

[bidenkulaha]

> The militias will also enable Somali special forces to target al Shabaab control zones in central Somalia. The militias have proven capable of securing* and clearing* some villages in previous al Shabaab support zones with the help of Somali security forces throughout the offensive. SNA, FMS, and Ma’awisley can continue these operations in areas of lower priority to al Shabaab while special forces put more pressure on al Shabaab–administered areas, which the group will dedicate more resources to protect. US-trained Danab forces attacked Buqaqable on September 15. The Somali government claimed to kill at least 18 al Shabaab militants, while al Shabaab claimed to kill* ten Danab soldiers. Al Shabaab had uncontested control of the village since at least 2015 and had organized drought relief,* religious celebrations,* and public executions in the village throughout 2022.

 

[bidenkulaha]

>Al Shabaab is unlikely to surge resources to central Somalia to combat the mobilization. Al Shabaab has not yet seriously contested the offensive and has bloodlessly* retreated* from several villages as security forces advanced. Al Shabaab attacks on security forces in central Somalia largely paused throughout August.[5] The group has increased minor raids* and improvised explosive device attacks* in September, but none of the attacks have been sophisticated in scale or complexity. Al Shabaab would likely be more aggressive and willing to lose fighters contesting counterterrorism advances if it planned to send more resources to the area. This pattern instead indicates that al Shabaab is likely cutting its losses and consolidating its existing resources.

Looks like Shabaab is giving up on Hawiye lands. Many towns have been captured without any cost to SNA/local militias.

 

[Dowlad]

>President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud may attempt to generate additional forces by convincing the Sufi militia ASWJ to join the fight in central Somalia. Former President Mohamud Abdullahi Mohamud (known as Farmaajo) exacerbated tensions between the Galmudug State government and ASWJ in 2020 when he allegedly rigged* state elections to install a political ally as president. The controversy effectively destroyed a 2017 power-sharing agreement and undermined ASWJ’s political power, leading to clashes* between ASWJ and Somali federal and state security forces in October 2021. ASWJ eventually withdrew* to northern Galgudud region at the end of October 2021 and has remained in that area.

>ASWJ and President Mohamud have signaled their willingness to negotiate since Mohamud took office in May 2022. ASWJ leadership said* in early June 2022 that they expect Mohamud to attempt to mediate between the militia and the Galmudug State administration. President Mohamud was reportedly debating* with his cabinet in late August 2022 how to best negotiate between ASWJ and Galmudug State officials. ASWJ has long been one of the most effective forces at combating al Shabaab in central Somalia since al Shabaab’s rise in the late 2000s. ASWJ’s experience, resources, and local support would further bolster the anti–al Shabaab offensive.

Not a good idea to bring back that pro-Puntland ASWJ terrorist group. They never fought Al-shabab it was the local Ceyr Macawislay militias who destroyed Al-shabab back in 2012. We only need Ceyr Mascawislay.

 

[Dowlad]

>Al Shabaab is unlikely to surge resources to central Somalia to combat the mobilization. Al Shabaab has not yet seriously contested the offensive and has bloodlessly* retreated* from several villages as security forces advanced. Al Shabaab attacks on security forces in central Somalia largely paused throughout August.[5] The group has increased minor raids* and improvised explosive device attacks* in September, but none of the attacks have been sophisticated in scale or complexity. Al Shabaab would likely be more aggressive and willing to lose fighters contesting counterterrorism advances if it planned to send more resources to the area. This pattern instead indicates that al Shabaab is likely cutting its losses and consolidating its existing resources.

Looks like Shabaab is giving up on Hawiye lands. Many towns have been captured without any cost to SNA/local militias.

Mashallah this was what we were betting on. Galmudug, Hiiraan, Middle and Lower Shebelle is very hostile to Al-shabab. Only area that seems to be pro Al-shabab at the moment is Ceelbuur. Maybe our Murusade brothers could come through and support us in Ceelbuur.
Al-Shabab are not willing to give us battle. Looks like they are withdrawing to Bay and Bakool and the Jubba's.

 

[Ranger1007]

Mursade aren’t even needed if those two team up

Murusade will scream it’s a HG plot to take ceelbuur coz of Duduble ties to cayr

 

[Prince of HS]

 

[bidenkulaha]

Another road opened, this time from Xamar to Bulo Burte to Maxaas then Ceelbuur Shabaab losing supply lines everyday