Ethiopia is exposed

[Barkhadle1520]

@Barkhadle1520 @novanova

He is punishing them for trying to survive, waa dad naxariis ka maqan

Comedy country

 

[Idilinaa]

Comedy country

Aside from being a poverty hub that masks itself with an outward image of prosperity, Ethiopia continues its usual expansionist and destabilizing agenda, this time toward Eritrea.

They’re now trying to balkanize Eritrea and push federalism onto it, just like they did with Somalia.

@EritreanPost_ come look at this, these people will never rest from their delusions


Eritrea remains one of the most self-reliant nations in Africa, rejecting foreign aid and pushing homegrown solutions. Similarly, Somalia’s economy is increasingly driven by a resilient locally driven private sector and strong diaspora investment.

So imagine the absurdity of claiming we can’t stand without Ethiopia, when in reality, they’re one of the main obstacles holding the region back.

 

[Barkhadle1520]

Aside from being a poverty hub that masks itself with an outward image of prosperity, Ethiopia continues its usual expansionist and destabilizing agenda, this time toward Eritrea.

They’re now trying to balkanize Eritrea and push federalism onto it, just like they did with Somalia.

@EritreanPost_ come look at this, these people will never rest from their delusions


Eritrea remains one of the most self-reliant nations in Africa, rejecting foreign aid and pushing homegrown solutions. Similarly, Somalia’s economy is increasingly driven by a resilient locally driven private sector and strong diaspora investment.

So imagine the absurdity of claiming we can’t stand without Ethiopia, when in reality, they’re one of the main obstacles holding the region back.

Federalism isn't that bad tbh, but Eritrea existing is good

 

[Idilinaa]

Federalism isn't that bad tbh, but Eritrea existing is good

Decentralization isn't bad but that's not what that person in that tweet is calling for which is fragmentation basically bunch of regions split apart that act against eachother instead of with one another.

 

[Barkhadle1520]

Decentralization isn't bad but that's not what that person in that tweet is calling for which is fragmentation basically bunch of regions split apart that act against eachother instead of with one another.

Cant wait for realisation to hit Ethiopian nationalists, but still honestly surprised on how they still keep a good image worldwide and can afford to go on such rants, first of all how do they still have troops in Somalia ? Abiy is really smart tbh, hes the only thing keeping that cursed country togheter

 

[Idilinaa]

Cant wait for realisation to hit Ethiopian nationalists, but still honestly surprised on how they still keep a good image worldwide and can afford to go on such rants, first of all how do they still have troops in Somalia ? Abiy is really smart tbh, hes the only thing keeping that cursed country togheter

It's going hit them with the greatest brutality, only a few Ethiopians are honest and real about it but mostly because they want to de-legitimize and discredit the other ethnic group they see as the ruling faction not necessarily because they genuinely care about the country's development.

They have them there because they need the money, they get payed for having troops in Somalia by UN/US.

But thats driedd up now, now that funding has been cut so their soldiers are starving and their army over stretched soo it will implode in due time.

 

[Barkhadle1520]

It's going hit them with the greatest brutality, only a few Ethiopians are honest and real about it but mostly because they want to de-legitimize and discredit the other ethnic group they see as the ruling faction not necessarily because they genuinely care about the country's development.

They have them there because they need the money, they get payed for having troops in Somalia by UN/US.

But thats driedd up now, now that funding has been cut so their soldiers are starving and their army over stretched soo it will implode in due time.

We always say its gonna happen soon but I believe it will still take some years, Abiy has a real talent for keeping the country togheter

 

[Idilinaa]

We always say its gonna happen soon but I believe it will still take some years, Abiy has a real talent for keeping the country togheter

If Abiy doesn’t get the IMF bailout which is currently on hold, it’s unlikely he can hold the country together. Ethiopia has been propped up by external support for years, and without it, the cracks are showing.

The same thing happened under Meles Zenawi. Ethiopia was on the brink of collapse back then too,

European Parliament Calls for Sanctions on Ethiopia

The European Parliament is calling on the European Union’s executive to impose tough sanctions on the Ethiopian government.

amharic.voanews.com

until they secured U.S. backing by joining the 'War on Terror':

Ethiopia reaps U.S. aid by enlisting in war on terror and hiring influential lobbyists - ICIJ

One dramatic act sets Ethiopia apart from the array of countries with poor human rights records that have become United States counterterrorism allies since the September 11, 2001, attacks: With U.S. backing, it invaded a neighboring country and overthrew a Taliban-like Islamist movement.

www.icij.org

But Abiy doesn’t have that luxury. The AMISOM-style funding has dried up, and the IMF has delayed support. On top of that, Ethiopia is dealing with: Capital flight, Investor pullout, Mass emigration of skilled workers, Multiple active insurgencies across regions

So while Abiy may seem like he's holding things together, it’s mostly due to inertia and international scaffolding. If that support fully dries up, the situation could unravel quickly.

 

[Zak12]

If Abiy doesn’t get the IMF bailout which is currently on hold, it’s unlikely he can hold the country together. Ethiopia has been propped up by external support for years, and without it, the cracks are showing.

The same thing happened under Meles Zenawi. Ethiopia was on the brink of collapse back then too,

European Parliament Calls for Sanctions on Ethiopia

The European Parliament is calling on the European Union’s executive to impose tough sanctions on the Ethiopian government.

amharic.voanews.com

until they secured U.S. backing by joining the 'War on Terror':

Ethiopia reaps U.S. aid by enlisting in war on terror and hiring influential lobbyists - ICIJ

One dramatic act sets Ethiopia apart from the array of countries with poor human rights records that have become United States counterterrorism allies since the September 11, 2001, attacks: With U.S. backing, it invaded a neighboring country and overthrew a Taliban-like Islamist movement.

www.icij.org

But Abiy doesn’t have that luxury. The AMISOM-style funding has dried up, and the IMF has delayed support. On top of that, Ethiopia is dealing with: Capital flight, Investor pullout, Mass emigration of skilled workers, Multiple active insurgencies across regions

So while Abiy may seem like he's holding things together, it’s mostly due to inertia and international scaffolding. If that support fully dries up, the situation could unravel quickly.

I'm sure the economic situation will get worse due to Abiy's lack of transparency and botched policies but I don't think the country will fall apart anytime soon. If his government was able to weather the destructive Tigray War (remember that aid was temporarily cut off for Ethiopia during that war) then hardly anything will. And I think that comes down to the ENDF having a monopoly on violence and always being loyal to whatever regime runs the place. A stark constrast to Somalia's military having numerous defectors back in the Kacaan days and now the SNA having little trust with FGS.

 

[Idilinaa]

I'm sure the economic situation will get worse due to Abiy's lack of transparency and botched policies but I don't think the country will fall apart anytime soon. If his government was able to weather the destructive Tigray War (remember that aid was temporarily cut off for Ethiopia during that war) then hardly anything will. And I think that comes down to the ENDF having a monopoly on violence and always being loyal to whatever regime runs the place. A stark constrast to Somalia's military having numerous defectors back in the Kacaan days and now the SNA having little trust with FGS.

When i think about this you are right they kinda did have a monopoly on state violence but that's changing as well.

Where you are wrong is assuming there aren't defectionns. There are large defections from ENDF to Fano

Elite Ethiopian Commandos Defect to Fano, Escalating Tensions in Amhara Region - DNE Africa

A group of highly trained airborne commandos from the Ethiopian National Defense Force (ENDF) has defected to the Fano militia in the Amhara region, a move

africa.dailynewsegypt.com

The defection of these commandos adds to a growing list of high-ranking officers who have left the ENDF to join the Fano militia in recent months. In December, Major Mulat Sisay and Lieutenant Getinet Niguisse, both senior military officers, joined Fano. DNE Africa obtained an exclusive photograph of the officers with Zemene Kassa, a prominent Fano commander, further cementing the militia’s growing influence.

In previous months, the defections have included Brigadier General Tezera Nguse, Brigadier General Tefera Mamo, Colonel Fentahu Mekuye, and Colonel Abera Azanaw, who served as head of Explosive Ordnance Disposal (EOD) for more than 34 years before aligning with the militia. These senior military figures are seen as invaluable assets to Fano, whose ranks have swelled with highly trained and experienced personnel.

The defection of these officers and commandos reflects a significant erosion of trust in the Ethiopian government, particularly among those from the Amhara region. Many defectors cite the government’s inability to address long-standing grievances, including the marginalization of the Amhara people, widespread violence against civilians, and failure to protect the region from attacks.

 

[Zak12]

When i think about this you are right they kinda did have a monopoly on state violence but that's changing as well.

Where you are wrong is assuming there aren't defectionns. There are large defections from ENDF to Fano

Elite Ethiopian Commandos Defect to Fano, Escalating Tensions in Amhara Region - DNE Africa

A group of highly trained airborne commandos from the Ethiopian National Defense Force (ENDF) has defected to the Fano militia in the Amhara region, a move

africa.dailynewsegypt.com

Its honestly crazy to me that the ENDF that comitted atrocities in Tigray once served TPLF. Either there has been a major shift in the ethnic make up of the military under Abiy's administration (is it now mostly Oromo?) or ENDF will do anything to put down revolts.

But yeah you are right that cracks are starting to show within the military. Amhara at least are starting to realize that serving a government that is practically comitting a genocide on you is foolish and no amount of patriotism will justify such acts.

 

[New World]

Isn't the north of Ethiopia in decline, both power and birth rate? The only hope for them is to leave and create a new country. Isn't northern Ethiopia experiencing a decline in both power and birth rates? Their only hope may be to leave and establish a new country.

 

[Idilinaa]

Its honestly crazy to me that the ENDF that comitted atrocities in Tigray once served TPLF. Either there has been a major shift in the ethnic make up of the military under Abiy's administration (is it now mostly Oromo?) or ENDF will do anything to put down revolts.

But yeah you are right that cracks are starting to show within the military. Amhara at least are starting to realize that serving a government that is practically comitting a genocide on you is foolish and no amount of patriotism will justify such acts.

The ENDF has always been mixed, but under Abiy, many Tigrayan officers were purged. It's less about ethnicity now and more about loyalty to him.

During the Tigray war, Abiy had Eritrean military support he doesn’t anymore, which changes the balance.

And yeah, the Amhara suffered heavily under TPLF-era policies millions affected. Before that, Tigrayans and Oromos faced repression too. Ethiopia’s history is sadly full of cycles of ethnic violence and revenge.