the north is immune from fgs. Somaliland puntland and hopefully SSC maintain peace area has been known for. I honestly don’t know if SSC statehood will happen it will be long process with not great odds
I also think cards stacked against fgs. I don’t believe weapons embargo will be lifted nor Al shabab defeated by time atmis withdraws. 15 yr war and Hirshabelle galmudug jubbaland and KGS still have Al shabab controlling land. What can be accomplished next 15 months realistically in south.
I also think cards stacked against fgs. I don’t believe weapons embargo will be lifted nor Al shabab defeated by time atmis withdraws. 15 yr war and Hirshabelle galmudug jubbaland and KGS still have Al shabab controlling land. What can be accomplished next 15 months realistically in south.