Will the AU mission end soon, and what does this mean for Somalia

New World

the people's champ
There only needs to be confirmation of vast oil reserves to guarantee FGS victory. Oil will be needed for atleast the next 50 years, we will eat good from it. AS leadership knows nobody will buy oik from us, if they are in charge.

If the rumoured 20 billion barrels are true, we might see even see AS agree to a peace deal in 2027.
Why are you sure that AS will agree with the FGS?
 
There only needs to be confirmation of vast oil reserves to guarantee FGS victory. Oil will be needed for atleast the next 50 years, we will eat good from it. AS leadership knows nobody will buy oik from us, if they are in charge.

If the rumoured 20 billion barrels are true, we might see even see AS agree to a peace deal in 2027.
wow, delulu
 
There only needs to be confirmation of vast oil reserves to guarantee FGS victory. Oil will be needed for atleast the next 50 years, we will eat good from it. AS leadership knows nobody will buy oik from us, if they are in charge.

If the rumoured 20 billion barrels are true, we might see even see AS agree to a peace deal in 2027.
What are you smoking, man?
Where we are and where you are are kaaf iyo kala dheeri.
 
Honestly the oil is the only way I can see us being able to centralize successfully. When i look at syria and I see how the entire decade long war ended after they were able to conquer a single one of fhe western corridor of cities ( damascus,homs,hama,aleppo) i realized how large the probelm somalis face is. Forget Hargeisa garowe alone is like 700+ miles away from Mogadishu in comparison the distance between damascus to Aleppo which is at the opposite side is only 200 miles ( so basically from Mogadishu to luuq)
Hargiesa is even more ridiculous in that its 1000+ miles away. Which is essentially the distance between Minnesota and New York. How do you govern with poor infrastructure and a indepenet power center that far away ?

Were gonna need the carrot ( a share of the oil profits) and the stick (external pressure from allied countires thatll cut off aid and etc if they dont agree to this deal) .
 
Honestly the oil is the only way I can see us being able to centralize successfully. When i look at syria and I see how the entire decade long war ended after they were able to conquer a single one of fhe western corridor of cities ( damascus,homs,hama,aleppo) i realized how large the probelm somalis face is. Forget Hargeisa garowe alone is like 700+ miles away from Mogadishu in comparison the distance between damascus to Aleppo which is at the opposite side is only 200 miles ( so basically from Mogadishu to luuq)
Hargiesa is even more ridiculous in that its 1000+ miles away. Which is essentially the distance between Minnesota and New York. How do you govern with poor infrastructure and a indepenet power center that far away ?

Were gonna need the carrot ( a share of the oil profits) and the stick (external pressure from allied countires thatll cut off aid and etc if they dont agree to this deal) .
Or simply you couldn't respect the upon agreed constitution and federal system.. It's a sign of poor intelligence to over complicate things. .. Maybe the 68 thing was true after all:snoop:
 

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