will Somalis eventually become the largest tribe in kenya

[YeKyM]

Bantus are 70% of Kenya, nilotes are 25%. Cushites (somalis,oromos) will double in size, same as nilotes.

Kenyan bantus will be fucked over by expanding pastorals, whether cushitic or nilotic.

You must be joking. The largest Nilotic groups in Kenya are Kalenjin and Luo and they're farmers not pastrolists.

Don't forget that 90% of Kenya's population resides in the fertile lands inhabited mostly by Bantus and Kalenjin. Even in a 100 years this will not change.

The Somali majority NEP is barren arid lands that cannot support massive population.

 

[Chaseyourdreamzz]

You must be joking. The largest Nilotic groups in Kenya are Kalenjin and Luo and they're farmers not pastrolists.

Don't forget that 90% of Kenya's population resides in the fertile lands inhabited mostly by Bantus and Kalenjin. Even in a 100 years this will not change.

The Somali majority NEP is barren arid lands that cannot support massive population.

Already close to 15 percent of 0-14 year of olds in Kenya are from NEP even though that region makes up 5 percent of the population where not talking about outright majority just largest tribe also remember constant Somali immigration from both Somalia and Ethiopia which will raise the numbers

 

[la vida loca]

Bantus are 70% of Kenya, nilotes are 25%. Cushites (somalis,oromos) will double in size, same as nilotes.

Kenyan bantus will be fucked over by expanding pastorals, whether cushitic or nilotic.

The opposite is true. Climate change and the drought are forcing pastorals to go into people's farms. The drought is having crippling effects on these communities. Some people are only eating once or twice a week. Most of their animals are dying.

 

[YeKyM]

Already close to 15 percent of 0-14 year of olds in Kenya are from NEP even though that region makes up 5 percent of the population where not talking about outright majority just largest tribe also remember constant Somali immigration from both Somalia and Ethiopia which will raise the numbers

Forget about it. NEP is dry, desolate and arid. The region simply cannot support massive human population.

Unless Somalis go to war and annex the fertile highlands inhabited by Kikuyus and Kalenjin.. Of course that is impossible.

 

[wheel]

Where projecting towards 2050 and beyond remember the largest tribe in Kenya is only 17 percent of the population there is no outright majority tribe in Kenya its possible there could be a Somali plurality by 2050

Somali fertility rate likely won't remain the same either, already in the garissa county the fertility rate is only 5 children per family. This idea that Somalis will become the largest ethnic group is a fantasy.

 

[El Nino]

You must be joking. The largest Nilotic groups in Kenya are Kalenjin and Luo and they're farmers not pastrolists.

Don't forget that 90% of Kenya's population resides in the fertile lands inhabited mostly by Bantus and Kalenjin. Even in a 100 years this will not change.

The Somali majority NEP is barren arid lands that cannot support massive population.

Counties close to NEP will see more and more somalis, causing a shift in population.

The opposite is true. Climate change and the drought are forcing pastorals to go into people's farms. The drought is having crippling effects on these communities. Some people are only eating once or twice a week. Most of their animals are dying.

What nomads do when facing a drought? They will move to greener pastures. Climate change will force more pastorals to move, expect more conflicts between farmers and nomads.

 

[Chaseyourdreamzz]

Forget about it. NEP is dry, desolate and arid. The region simply cannot support massive human population.

Unless Somalis go to war and annex the fertile highlands inhabited by Kikuyus and Kalenjin.. Of course that is impossible.

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View attachment 240891

Regardless of what happens we will be major players in Kenya in the future politically with a major voting block

 

[Chaseyourdreamzz]

Somali fertility rate likely won't remain the same either, already in the garissa county the fertility rate is only 5 children per family. This idea that Somalis will become the largest ethnic group is a fantasy.

Garissa tfr was around 5.9-6 in 2019 Somali TFR will decrease that’s a given however hopefully it will always be above the Kenyan average that’s where the extra growth will come from Somalis might not reach number 1 hopefully we reach top 2-3 within a couple decades

 

[YeKyM]

Regardless of what happens we will be major players in Kenya in the future politically with a major voting block

Forget about it.

The major political players in Kenya are Kikuyu and Kalenjin. From 1963 to now all Kenyan presidents have come from these two tribes.

The major economic force are Kikuyu and Indians.

The major intellectual force are the Luos.

All that Somalis have is Eastleigh and the arid NEP (infact even Eastleigh is owned by Kikuyus. Somalis are only leasing the property)

 

[Indeed]

Are Somalis expanding deep into Kenya? I heard from another trend some Somali camel herders already a few miles away from the Kenyan capital Nairobi.

Somalis should expand into the fertile green Kenyan highlands, its our land at the end of the day, Bantus came from Cameroon or west Africa. It’s about time Somalis expand.

 

[anon2]

Are Somalis expanding deep into Kenya? I heard from another trend some Somali camel herders already a few miles away from the Kenyan capital Nairobi.

Somalis should expand into the fertile green Kenyan highlands, its our land at the end of the day, Bantus came from Cameroon or west Africa. It’s about time Somalis expand.

Somalis seem to have crossed the Tana river which was something the Anglos were worried about nearly 200 years ago. Even with the Wagalla massacre and the many things Kenyan bantus have tried to do to decrease the Somali population it hasn't stopped Somalis from growing exponentially