Their's a big chance Ethiopia will collapse or be at war within the next two years as the Grand renaissance dam will be complete by February of next year and will fill up throughout 2018. An Egyptian study said that the dam would initially decrease their water supply by 20% which would cripple their country, Egypt is aligned with the UAE and Saudi Arabia in the gulf crises and both Ethiopia and the UAE are vying for influence in Somali-land.
Egypt recently setup a base in Eritrea with UAE help and will setup an airbase. To counter this alliance Sudan, Qatar, Ethiopia and Turkey are working together and countering them by amassing troops on the Sudan-Eritrea border, and aligning themselves with Somalia.
Somali-land (UAE and Gulf backed) VS Somalia (Turkish and Qatar backed)
Eritrea (UAE and gulf backed, has Egyptian troops present) VS Ethiopia ( Turkish and Qatar backed, building the Grand renaissance dam which will Cripple Egypt)