The UAE and Ethiopia became against Hassan Sheikh's plans for PL and JL

[The Midlands]

The first target of Hassan Sheikh is Deni as he is a threat to his seat. Deni may not win the elections but he can can remove him like he did with Farmaajo so he is able to remove his opponents. In order to achieve this goal of getting rid of Deni, Hassan Sheikh promised politicians from Puntland to give them the position of prime minister and FM like the former FM Cawad who is a presidential candidate for Puntland. Deni will succeed in implementing the municipal elections in this month but they are trying to prevent him from obtaining a two-year extension while he organizes the parliamentary and presidential elections and takes advantage of prolonging the plitical parties and democratization program. There will be more two non mj led parties created by Deni or are allied with him so he will get their votes at the end this will pave the way for his returning and this is what makes crazy Hassan Sh . PL is no longer three boqortooyo parties and Deni will take advantage of the democratization that will end the power rotation social contract

His second target is Ahmed Madobe and wants to replace him with Hamza at the beginning of 2024 but the UAE and Ethiopia intend to support a candidate loyal to them in the upcoming elections. Ethiopia does not trust Hassan's relationship with Egypt and the UAE does not like his past with Muslim brotherhood so they r tactically supporting him not strategically so Madobe and Deni must stay till 2026!

Hassan Sheikh oo waagu u baryay ayaa hada Qadar madaxmadax isugu shubay

 

[Jiron]

brother please remember that these countries do not care about Somalia but interest that benefits their own, support ur country, support ur president

 

[FAST_LANE]

Good point midlands . Deni will get at least two years extension and by then HSM would have less than 1 year left . Ila meerayso round two

 

[repo]

I'm very big on political revenge however Deni is an individual and he's not Puntland. If people oppose his extension, it is the right choice speaking from a legal view.

However, I believe in realpolitik and making pre-emptive move against Deni by sabotaging our local elections can't be allowed. Even floating the possibility is unacceptable. I hope he gets his extension and destroys HSM as a lesson to all Hutus, to all Somalis as a lesson on respect, promise and fairness.

 

[TekNiKo]

Deni has truly outsmarted Gurguurte, war ninkuu siyaadiis caadi mahan from cutting his incoming World Bank grants too exposing his puppet secretary

 

[Macawisley]

I hope President Deni gets his well deserved extension.

 

[Macawisley]

Deni has truly outsmarted Gurguurte, war ninkuu siyaadiis caadi mahan from cutting his incoming World Bank grants too exposing his puppet secretary

Deni went to war with your Aabo, it’s only right if he does the same with Garguurte waliba even worse than the one he had with Farmaajo.

 

[The Midlands]

Good point midlands . Deni will get at least two years extension and by then HSM would have less than 1 year left . Ila meerayso round two

Even the last year of Hassan Sheikh's term, Deni could technically extend his time until the Somali parliamentary elections. This week Hassan will have a full year and Deni extension will start vew months later through the parliament so he will stay untill the middle of his last year

Deni staying with him for 2 years+ is a big challenge he will prevent him from changing the constitution to make the presidential term 5 years and will hinder the debt relief. Let us see what can the paper states do for him. I expect Deni and Madobe reunion late this year bc of JL elections and the UAE role.

 

[Step a side]

@The Midlands
I like your insight. Which members will be the most successful in the next presidential election? Who will support who? Let me hear your opinion

 

[TekNiKo]

Deni went to war with your Aabo, it’s only right if he does the same with Garguurte waliba even worse than the one he had with Farmaajo.

Farmaajo was miskiin… you have to be cut throat like Deni to survive in Somalia

 

[The Midlands]

@The Midlands
I like your insight. Which members will be the most successful in the next presidential election? Who will support who? Let me hear your opinion

i can tell you the headlines; HG may backstab Hassan Sheikh and back Dir/Isaaq president so Sadaq Joon can be the PM. They r not satisfied with wasiira gudaha. Odowaa is running for Galmudug against Mahad Salad some new HG conflict as Saleebaan wants to keep Galmudug and influence in the next elections. Some HG suggesting to back Dir Abdullahi Carab and Rooble becoming his Pm, Djibouti suggests Habar awal and sadaq joon as his pm. UPD will disintegrate but if they still back Hassan he still cant win waa la bartey oo laga xiiso dhiay

The other camp will be Mj Daarood in alliance with Kheyre

Fahad Yasins camp the N&N are done only Cali Yare and Farmaajo left they r looking for new face
Raila odinga Sharif will still be the same running and losing

 

[Step a side]

i can tell you the headlines; HG may backstabe Hassan Sheikh and back Dir/Isaaq president so Sadaq Joon can be the PM. They r not satisfied with wasiira gudaha. Odowaa is running for Galmudug against Mahad Salad some new HG conflict as Saleebaan wants to keep Galmudug and influence in the next elections. Some HG suggesting to back Dir Abdullahi Carab and Rooble becoming his Pm, Djibouti suggests Habar awal and sadaq joon as his pm. UPD will disintegrate but if they still back Hassan he still cant win waa la bartey oo laga xiiso dhiay

The other camp will be Mj Daarood in alliance with Kheyre

Fahad Yasins camp the N&N are done only Cali Yare and Farmaajo left they r looking for new face
Raila odinga Sharif will still be the same running and losing

Impressive analysis. Can’t wait for the next elections. 3 years left

 

[Abdalla]

I'm very big on political revenge however Deni is an individual and he's not Puntland. If people oppose his extension, it is the right choice speaking from a legal view.

However, I believe in realpolitik and making pre-emptive move against Deni by sabotaging our local elections can't be allowed. Even floating the possibility is unacceptable. I hope he gets his extension and destroys HSM as a lesson to all Hutus, to all Somalis as a lesson on respect, promise and fairness.

Deni losing or winning has zero to do with HSM. Just as Faroole and Gaas losing their re-election had nothing to do with the FGS president. Gaas lost while being at odds with Farmaajo and Deni was at odds with him.

We’re not a banana republic, elections should happen on time. If Deni loses, his successor will take over we’re Deni left. Two years after our elections, HSM will vacate the seat anyways.

 

[Rocktheboat]

Somalis are so dysfunctional. HSM wasn't even elected a year ago but you guys are already talking about 2026 elections

 

[JackieBurkhart]

We need to stop letting puppet politicians be in charge. Africa is a disgrace of a continent.

 

[cow]

Impressive analysis. Can’t wait for the next elections. 3 years left

Haha really, just the other day he was saying cali yare back stabbed farmaajo. And that cali yare testament would result in farmaajo being prosecuted. Now he is saying cali yare is the only loyal n&n left that supports farmaajo.

All of this he said within this week. The guy is clearly talking out of his ass.

His so called "analysis" is based on emotions and wishful thinking. He changes it on a daily basis.

 

[Step a side]

Haha really, just the other day he was saying cali yare back stabbed farmaajo. And that cali yare testament would result in farmaajo being prosecuted. Now he is saying cali yare is the only loyal n&n left that supports farmaajo.

All of this he said within this week. The guy is clearly talking out of his ass.

His so called "analysis" is based on emotions and wishful thinking. He changes it on a daily basis.

Just wanted to hear his opinion.

 

[Abdalla]

We need to stop letting puppet politicians be in charge. Africa is a disgrace of a continent.

Go back to the generals.

 

[JackieBurkhart]

Go back to the generals.

What are you going to do about it?

 

[The Midlands]

Haha really, just the other day he was saying cali yare back stabbed farmaajo. And that cali yare testament would result in farmaajo being prosecuted. Now he is saying cali yare is the only loyal n&n left that supports farmaajo.

All of this he said within this week. The guy is clearly talking out of his ass.

His so called "analysis" is based on emotions and wishful thinking. He changes it on a daily basis.

you are lair show me where i stated cali yare backstabbed farmaajo i stated the opposite wich is about Fahad leaving your aabo mooge. I challenge you to post here i hate liars like you.

These r three threads about about Ali yare story i have neer stated what you said lair. Stop dreaming about that dead man breathing again

https://www.somalispot.com/threads/confirmed-fahad-left-farmaajo-and-looks-for-a-female-candidate-kkkk.147524/#post-3635506

https://www.somalispot.com/threads/caliyare-qarxis-continues-mooge-waxaa-fashiliyay-daacish-fahad-oo-qabiiladii-xooganaa-ku-diray.147465/

https://www.somalispot.com/threads/farmaajo-to-face-prosecution-as-his-team-idps-assassinated-eng-yarisow-after-his-takfiiri-team-dismissed-thabit.147477/#post-3633166