The road of broken nations

[SamaaleCushite]

1978 (post war) - 1980 - 1988 - 1991 - 1993(civil war) - 2002 - 2023 (normalization)


this wheel was almost broken by the ICU but it wasnt meant to be i predict soon there will be a strong military man that will attempt to do the ICU better and unify south central but if he fails or i am proven wrong then we enter "stabilization and finally and for many decades "expolitation"

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[Internet Nomad]

 

[SamaaleCushite]

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i have a cousin in the sna... and lets just say the new generation of somalis are not the same 70% are trash... but i promise you a star will be there soon.

 

[Bazed]

Problem. History in no way is as predictable as these books and theories make it out to be. We've seen this rhetoric before, hard time make strong men bullshit but it's just a easy cope to justify the large scale of cause and affect.

The ICU isn't coming back. Those that the FGS has deals with won't allow the rise for a ICU. The possibility of a military strong man taking power is still there though but he'd be in line with certain spheres of power. Sound familiar? Barre regime was just that.

Somalia has infinite roads, it could become a social democracy or a rampant capitalistic state. Each are viable outcomes determined by the leadership and the continued development of society.

Also people really need to stop with the Sun Tzu/Machiavelli. While both a great books their content translates mildly into our globalist post-modern world.

 

[SamaaleCushite]

Problem. History in no way is as predictable as these books and theories make it out to be. We've seen this rhetoric before, hard time make strong men bullshit but it's just a easy cope to justify the large scale of cause and affect.

The ICU isn't coming back. Those that the FGS has deals with won't allow the rise for a ICU. The possibility of a military strong man taking power is still there though but he'd be in line with certain spheres of power. Sound familiar? Barre regime was just that.

Somalia has infinite roads, it could become a social democracy or a rampant capitalistic state. Each are viable outcomes determined by the leadership and the continued development of society.

Also people really need to stop with the Sun Tzu/Machiavelli. While both a great books their content translates mildly into our globalist post-modern world.

the knowledge isnt the same but the wisdom is similar. Also history is mostly predictable other than the oddities like the mongols or the crusaders or the iberians or Islam that pop up

 

[Bazed]

the knowledge isnt the same but the wisdom is similar. Also history is mostly predictable other than the oddities like the mongols or the crusaders or the iberians or Islam that pop up

You just provided 4 oddities. Now imagine how many would pop up if you combed through all of history. I agree that there can be patterns but everything doesn't go down the same way everytime.