Also @Midas speaking of livestock commercialization, not sure if you saw me shared this a few weeks ago in a different thread.
From an IGAD/ICPALD study, even in 2013 like a year into Somalia's 2nd economic recovery they found a discrepancy between their own direct production estimates and SBS/IMF GDP figures when they directly measured the livestock economy.
As they said:
''The Production based approach places the contribution of the Livestock to the Somalia economy at 8.152 billion in 2013. This figure is above the IMF estimate of Agriculture GDP of 5.7 billion USD where livestock contributes 2.28 billion."
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They even explain that the figures given by the Somali government and the IMF are due to lack of accurate statistical data and differences in methodological approach. So basically livestocks GDP value was underestimated by 103%
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Now this isn't the most interesting part about it. The most interesting part is that they found that people would use livestock as a financial vehicle and convert them into financial assets. Use it as ''credit" meaning people could liquidate herds to access funds, or treat them as collateral/financial reserves. It compares this to the opportunity cost of formal credit finance, showing that livestock filled the role of self-financing or self-insurance for business activity.
So essentially, livestock acted like capital , a store of wealth that people could convert into liquid financial resources to start or expand businesses, buy goods, or invest in other sectors.
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Now why am i mentioning this? because it directly supports my earlier point that Somalis converted livestock wealth into capital for business and trade, which then accelerated urbanization and diversification of the economy.
Btw, official stats in 2013 put Somalia’s GDP at about $5.3 billion(2.2 billion of it was livestock), yet IPALD’s own production estimate which didn’t even account for most of the informal livestock trade or the bulk of its financial conversion still found it to be around $8.9 billion.
And that was back then. Now consider how much has changed since with camel and livestock farming shifting into towns, the rise of dairy factories, tanneries, slaughterhouses, and the massive expansion of financial inclusion and digitization. The scale of economic activity today is likely far beyond what official figures reflect.
Now apply this logic to trade and non-livestock sectors (real estate/construction, manufacturing, crop-farming, fisheries, retail, services, finance etc.) that weren’t captured by national accounts. Same story.
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