Somalia National Transformation Plan (NTP) 2025-2029

[Midas]

they are often overshadowed by political theatrics

Speaking of politics its actually because of the geopolitical situation around the world and the long term trends that im hopeful for somalia.
Ita pretty clear that at least for the next 5 years and possibly even 10 years. We will be one of the few islands of stability and destinations for investment in the region. You've got the ethiopia situation which seems like it'll explode soon and then the iran-israel conflict which will likely start up again. Plus theres Russia who i doubt will just quietly wind down after the Ukraine war ends.

These combined with a few other long term trends feels like it'll increase the value of somalia's natural resources as well as the strategic importance of our location

 

[Idilinaa]

Speaking of politics its actually because of the geopolitical situation around the world and the long term trends that im hopeful for somalia.
Ita pretty clear that at least for the next 5 years and possibly even 10 years. We will be one of the few islands of stability and destinations for investment in the region. You've got the ethiopia situation which seems like it'll explode soon and then the iran-israel conflict which will likely start up again. Plus theres Russia who i doubt will just quietly wind down after the Ukraine war ends.

These combined with a few other long term trends feels like it'll increase the value of somalia's natural resources as well as the strategic importance of our location

Somalia will become an Island of stability and experience sustained rapid economic growth, the regions will all come under economic cooperation agreements and create a security pact. Kinda like Post-War Europe where they made compromises.

Thats what i predict based on what i observe from the trajectory of how things are currently going.

There is far more trade and cross border-trade and economic inter-linkiages between regions now then what it was like few decades back. All the major companies, banks and businesses etc operate branches and hold investment in to various parts of the country. Same with private individuals that would secondary or third businesses in various cities/regions

Economic interdependence raises the opportunity cost of conflict, pushes communities to communicate, and builds stable networks of alliances where regions have stronger incentives to protect each other rather than fight.

 

[Idilinaa]

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Somalia will become an Island of stability and experience sustained rapid economic growth, the regions will all come under economic cooperation agreements and create a security pact. Kinda like Post-War Europe where they made compromises.

Thats what i predict based on what i observe from the trajectory of how things are currently going.

There is far more trade and cross border-trade and economic inter-linkiages between regions now then what it was like few decades back. All the major companies, banks and businesses etc operate branches and hold investment in to various parts of the country. Same with private individuals that would secondary or third businesses in various cities/regions

Economic interdependence raises the opportunity cost of conflict, pushes communities to communicate, and builds stable networks of alliances where regions have stronger incentives to protect each other rather than fight.

They also point this out in one of the studies relating Somalia's cross border trade that i have shown :

As it says "‘Finally, it promotes solidarity among border communities, thereby contributing to regional stability"

 

[Guure⁸]

I really like reading your take on things, really optimistic guy

Fr she has a source for everything masha allah