Crime amongst Somalis is not a general ethnic trend but an urban-specific phenomenon that is highly disproportional within the same ethnic group when one checks for geographic placement. Somalis have a relatively low crime rate outside sub-sections of larger urbanized cities.
Strange sociological factors warp crime-related behavior in specific clusters of highly dense places beyond what can be explained as a "Somali" (ethnocentric) problem. It is a local issue, that when one inspects other immigrant groups of the same place that partakes in the same realm of socio-economi-spatialcultural dimensions, the rates of crime follow a similar uneven spike.
I grew up in a city where Somalis were never known for crime, but then you had other inner city regions that had such a reputation and a few Somalis lived there. The issue has nothing to do with Somali culture or upbringing. It has more to do with the street culture that is adopted by these kids which is in fact extremely foreign to our mores, a completely Western phenomenon (this is what racists will never admit, some of them are so desperate they want to associate everything with Islam it is ridiculous), in specific places in the largest cities (mainly Oslo).
These people misuse statistics by checking those unusually high crime areas and then saying, "4 out of 10 Somalis are criminals" (more like closer to 50%) to sensationalize and then generalize all Somalis to these false numbers (as I will go deeper into) as a general reflection of the average Somali citizen. It's fraudulent.
From a previous, larger undertaking, SSB showed how they did exactly what I said:
"Med utgangspunkt i denne informasjonen lager vi variabler som fanger opp de seks største byene og landsdeler for øvrig."
On the source itself, they admit they have not calibrated the data because the points are overrepresented by kids and extremely underrepresented data for adults for the section that was born in the country. They deliberately did not control for these factors for a very good reason. FRP, a right-wing anti-immigrant political group specifically requested these numbers from the SSB.
Here they claimed they tried to control for them in a previous data representation, but certainly can't because of the constraints in the data. You cannot force calibrations. It makes the data un-recognizable since the parameters have to be brute forced, hypothesized:
"Særlig norskfødte med innvandrerforeldre har en spesiell demografisk struktur, med mange veldig unge og nesten ingen veldig gamle. De samlede ratene uten noen kontroll for kjønn og alder gir derfor et lite relevant sammenligningsgrunnlag hvis man ønsker å si noe om hva innvandrerbakgrunn i seg selv har å si for registrert kriminalitet. I tabellene publisert her er det ikke gjort en fullstendig justering for kjønn og alder, men egne rater er oppgitt for menn i alderen 15–24 år, som gir mer sammenlignbare tall."
Everything I said is admitted by SSB. Namely, certain communities in certain cities represent many of the offenses:
"Det betyr at enkelte miljøer og personer kan stå for mange av lovbruddene."
When these people write "Somali," they are obscuring the truth of the cause of these issues (because they don't want to fix the problems), so they can reinforce anti-immigration propaganda. That is all the latest numbers are about. They are purposely misleading.
The issue with Somalis is that the statistics are taken from urban cities, and we generally live in the worst places in those cities. So more often than not, you're not getting rich data variability. But if you take data from regions that are less urban-dense, you'll see a drastic decrease in crime-related activities amongst the youth.
They clearly display knowledge about the fundamental weaknesses:
"En opplagt årsak til forskjeller i andelen gjerningspersoner både blant innvandrere og øvrig befolkning, på tvers av landbakgrunn og innvandringsgrunn, er at befolkningsgruppene er ulikt sammensatt både med hensyn til kjønn, alder og sosioøkonomiske kjennetegn (se kapittel 1 og 2). Helt sentralt her er at unge menn vesentlig oftere begår lovbrudd enn andre grupper. Det er følgelig rimelig å forvente at befolkningsgrupper med en stor andel unge menn er overrepresentert i kriminalstatistikken nettopp fordi de består av en større andel unge menn."
Here, instead of getting relevant data or actually just admitting the right data metrics could not give adequate explanatory dimensions, this separate report used some regression model to falsely portray a hypothetical instead of measuring the correct values for other conditions:
"De justerte andelene kan tolkes som hva andelen gjerningspersoner i hver befolkningsgruppe hadde vært dersom gruppene hadde hatt samme sosiodemografiske fordeling som øvrig befolkning på noen gitte variabler."
It shows how these data reports are very limited and cannot be trusted as being representative values.
However, SSB is making a very bizarre claim, namely that where most crime concentration occurs among immigrants is marginally different from other places in the country, so not worthy of presenting the data. This is a pure lie for Somalis, something that is admitted by their worker too.
Studies have shown that these conditional elements are a huge factor:
"In particular, we find that all three strategies for distinguishing between immigrant groups—by similar racial/ethnic categories, by areas or regions of the world that immigrants emigrate from, and by where immigrants co-locate once they settle in the US—explained levels of neighborhood crime better than the traditional approach of including only a measure of the percent foreign-born in the neighborhood. These findings underscore the necessity of disaggregating immigrant groups when exploring the immigration–crime relationship."
These people are really out here thinking people are so stupid believing a city with a 30,000 population size presents the same crime rate as dense immigrant sections, of let's say, Oslo... That might be correct for certain demographics. Not for Somalis.
And that is why I know these actors have a bias in portraying us in certain light, instead of giving an accurate picture.
The thing is, immigrants who are searching for asylum or illegal immigrants who are undocumented make up for a very low crime rate:
"Det foreligger to rapporter som omhandler asylsøkeres, utlendinger uten lovlig opphold og andre utlendingers kriminalitet (Mohn og Ellingsen, 2016; Politidirektoratet, 2004; Stene, 2004), og hovedkonklusjonen er at asylsøkere og utlendinger med ulovlig opphold står for en veldig liten del av kriminalitetsbildet, men det er rimelig å anslå at det er noe overrepresentasjon sammenlignet med den bosatte befolkningen (Mohn og Ellingsen, 2016)."
This number is consistent with statistics I have seen of the American illegal immigrant population that have a lower crime rate than the national average. So I don't think the notion that people larping as Somalis spike the numbers. They could do so after they settle but to be honest, how much of those are relevant to the values we see?
By the way, what these people did on top of that was misrepresent the data by making it seem like 1000 people when in reality they shot up the values based on repeat offenders. This means that if one person commits several crimes, those numbers are included -- all of them -- yet on the numbers, and how the data is presented to the public, it seems like actually 40% of Somalis do crime (nearly 50% of Somalis are criminals!). On top of the variable I showed above of honing on unrepresentative places, they could easily have spiked the values by more than 200% on average (even within the places that are un-representative), making it seem that it is out of 1000 people when in reality it is crimes committed in certain high crime areas where each offender are registered for their recurring crime history. It could theoretically be over 2000/1000. This is pure garbage propaganda by FRP.
We have SSB making a commentary on this:
"Blant annet at de ikke viser til en andel av personer i ulike befolkningsgrupper som har blitt siktet, men antallet straffbare forhold knyttet til personer i de ulike befolkningsgruppene."
It is about how many crimes one person commits... You see the problem when they later say "400/1000" Somalis do crime, presenting it as 400 people out of 1000. In truth it is, likely an extremely high crime area, that has an extreme disproportion of youth since most of these are kids (remember, the national average has mostly adults being the bulk of the population - that is not the case for us. Our parental-age adults probably do not differ, or even maybe commit less crime than the average Norwegian, without conditioning the multivariate factors how, other cities outside the biggest ones, have way less crime. Then they erroneously put the name "Somali" beside the unrepresentative, highly skewed number that is present as if 1 out of 1000 represents one person.
SSB admits this:
"Tabellene over antallet siktelser knyttet til personer med innvandrerbakgrunn angir vel å merke ikke andelen personer i ulike befolkningsgrupper som har blitt siktet i årene 2020–2023, men antallet straffbare forhold knyttet til personer i de ulike befolkningsgruppene. Det er derfor mulig med flere siktelser enn det er personer i en angitt befolkningsgruppe. Få personer kan også stå for majoriteten av lovbruddene (se tekstboks over). Det er også oppdaterte tall for antall lovbrudd per siktede i løpet av ett år (gjennomsnitt for 2021–2023)."
They litterely say "få personer kan også stå for majoriteten av lovbruddene" - litterally telling it how it is.