He’s a journalist who exposes Amhara crimes , I will forgive him for his hair being too jileecDoes he get paid for gifting? I don't see why this Indian is so obsessed with Amharas.
So Eskinder and his armed organizational have their own vision. Does FANO share the same vision?
And it's funny Eskinder is entertaining the idea of backstabbing Afars who were crucial in defeating TDF.
Afars are not going to be happy with this Map
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Don't they still have to answer to Afar in Eritrea since their obvious goal is the seaport in Assab.Amharas are only seeking the inhabitable areas of the Afar region and a small section of their desert areas to have land access to Djibouti and Eritrea kkk![]()
Don't they still have to answer to Afar in Eritrea since their obvious goal is the seaport in Assab.![]()
We gotta their entertain foolish Riyos.They sure do in a way, but Eritrea is unitary state like Djibouti, being controlled by Asmara respective Djibouti city. In the case of Eritrea, Isias have a tight grip on the country, leaving Afar no space to act out. That region is sparsely population too.
Eritrea's interest lies with allying themselves with Amharas, since they have Tigrayans as their immediate neighbors, whom they don't see eye to eye. But all of these aspirations are riyo anyways. I like to play along with them at times kkk![]()
We gotta their entertain foolish Riyo.
Apparently, the so Called AFP that shared that map is not even real, but a fake account.
When groups start seriously organizing & arming based just on ethnicity, it's a wrap tbh. Eventually something will break
My main point was that you can't keep repeating a cycle of;Is it not given tho? Especially when they voice their aim, like in this case, to engage in militancy (although unlikely). I'm nor sure if I would tie it to the ethnic factor, but rather their mission/purpose.
My main point was that you can't keep repeating a cycle of;
Ethnic grievance -> Armed Insurgency-> Civil War -> Govt eventually wins -> Back to stage 1.
Eventually, the core will just break.
What's the alternative though? Democracy isn't really an option.Gotcha, but it's Ethiopia being Ethiopia
Every head of gov't tries to centralize power, disfranchise its people and become a strongman at best, or commit vile acts of human rights abuses at worst. The only way to challenge them is resorting to a common denominator, ethnic being that factor in Ethiopia, alike clans in Somalia, to try to 'force' the gov't into concession.
It's a never ending cycle. They've tried to disarm the people before and aside from heavy weaponry, they've failed. Every single time. Though, overall they have a monopoly in violence for the most part.
What's the alternative though? Democracy isn't really an option.
Let's be real, If Ethiopia broke apart, the Horn would turn into hell on earth. Somalis maybe could get off easy, but the Oromo-Amhara heartland would look like 1994 Rwanda.
LKY transforming Singapore single-handedly is a bit of a myth. Singapore is 733.1 km2 and the location of the island, just suspended in the Malacca Strait that guarantees the control on 40% of global trading. It was always gonna be rich. The Gulf had ungodly amounts of oil, no such silver bullet for Ethiopia.I personally believe that democracy should be an option, alike Kenya. They've got a long way to go, but not impossible if you got genuine people at the top willing to make the country prosperous and seeing its potential.
That being a wish; but with reality in mind, you can rule a country authoritarian-style in terms governance by taking into consideration the sensitivity of your people, in this case Ethiopia. This may differ for different regions. For example, in the Somali region the clan aspect is of outmost importance, even more than whoever sits in Addis. For Oromos, they are regionalists and identify greatly with their regions. Making sure that they get fair/equal representation is essential and so forth. When you've formed leadership that locals are somewhat satisfied in, you'll have less problems in Addis. Even if you're not a democratically elected leader, you'll still be able to rule for a long period of time and face less resistance. It's hard to achieve this, but it takes time and effort.
Otherwise, you can rule with irongrip with no considerations to anything for a short period of time and in that timespan achieve as much success as possible. Once you bring your a significant of your people out of poverty, increase education level, improve healthcare and overall contribute great changes, you'll get confidence and support over time. A cliche example, but Lee Kuan Yew is one such example or gulf monarchs to lesser extent.
The stand-off between Amhara-Oromo would probably be worst considering their relations, but the same outcome would probably prevail everywhere. I'm not sure if it would be any better with the Somali and Oromo respective Afar borders, given what transpired since 2016. Or Amhara and Tigrayan borders to the west, given the recent war. Or Benishangul-Gumuz with locals only constituting half of the region and constant clashes. What about Harar? It's a dead end cause to achieve a peaceful split, as much as that's what I hope for.
Doesn’t seem unrealistic outside of Afar lands. Northern oromos are basically amhara wannabesSo Eskinder and his armed organizational have their own vision. Does FANO share the same vision?
And it's funny Eskinder is entertaining the idea of backstabbing Afars who were crucial in defeating TDF.
LKY transforming Singapore single-handedly is a bit of a myth. Singapore is 733.1 km2 and the location of the island, just suspended in the Malacca Strait that guarantees the control on 40% of global trading. It was always gonna be rich. The Gulf had ungodly amounts of oil, no such silver bullet for Ethiopia.
Egypt's current per capita income level is $3,600, Ethiopia around $1,000. Ethiopia's 2020 GDP is 107.6 billion USD. Let's be optimistic and assume Ethiopia averages at 7% GDP growth for the next 25 years which is possible for a country as poor as Ethiopia. That gives you $581 billion . Ethiopia by 2045 will have a population of 190million.
So at best Ethiopia by 2045 would have a GDP per capita of $3k. That still makes it poorer than 2020 Egypt or 2011 Syria. Very difficult to see how these economic gains (which would be a miracle btw) are enough to offset ethnic grievances. I think the country is doomed tbh, at best it limps along, at worst it explodes.
Who knows, maybe AI will be Africa's silver bullet