Racist Amhara Eskinder Nega raises the price of a house in donations and plans to found Amhara popular Front

Eakinder Nega won like 50 different prizes from the west for being a “liberal prisoner of conscience” and all his books and speeches are like “Oromos came from Madagascar and are related to lemurs”.

To be fair to him that was taught in Ethiopian schools until the 1970’s, they used a slur instead of oromo back then though.
 
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Arkan

VIP
So Eskinder and his armed organizational have their own vision. Does FANO share the same vision?

And it's funny Eskinder is entertaining the idea of backstabbing Afars who were crucial in defeating TDF.
 
So Eskinder and his armed organizational have their own vision. Does FANO share the same vision?

And it's funny Eskinder is entertaining the idea of backstabbing Afars who were crucial in defeating TDF.

Eskinder apparently seeking to establish an 'Amhara country', is nothing nothing short of cope. Amharas are all of a sudden acting out for being sidelined politically. Therefore most Amhara people, politicians and armed groups are now aiming at getting back to power somehow. Either through aligning with the current gov't by working out a favorable deal for them or taking charge by themselves (pure delusions, lol). They don't want announce the former, because they want to be in a position like OLF, to make maximum demands in negotiations through a peace deal. Bringing out their guns is what they think will get them there. Otherwise, Abiy can just toss them away if they only turn politically mucaarad.

Amharas taking up arms against the state's is very uncommon. They even accepted TPLF/EPRDF rule, as long as they got to eat with them. This time, it stems from them participating the Tigray war; which they did for the sole reason of occupying western Tigray and annexing it to their region, hence why Fano and Amhara region state forces only fought there with Eritreans (who also hate Tigrayans), and ENDF being focused in eastern/central Tigray. But also the gov't normalizing their ties with Tigrayans played a big factor. Amhara MPs were the only ones in the parliament to object removing TPLF from the terror list.

Once you understand their objectives in the war, then you'll realize their attitude towards Afars. They used them in their quest for dhul boob. Now that they haven't benefited and back to square one, it's more evident that Afars were being played, by creating a common enemy and getting them involved, while Amharas furthering their own interests. Tigrayans are today back in Arat kilo. What can Afars do now to benefit Amharas? Nothing, really.

Now that Abiy more or less rejected their annexation demands and decreasing their influence in the gov't; it's all hell break loose.

As far as Fano, their main objective aside from the above-mentioned factors, is not being disarmed. Which they see as another way of Abiy 'disfranchising' the Amhara people further more and seeking to turn Ethiopia into 'Orommuma' (an Oromo nation for the Oromo people), something most Amharas deeply fear more than anything else.

Observing and following Amhara media pages and social media is very fascinating, albeit a bit entertaining, lol.
 
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Afars are not going to be happy with this Map

Sad Sport GIF
 

Arkan

VIP
Amharas are only seeking the inhabitable areas of the Afar region and a small section of their desert areas to have land access to Djibouti and Eritrea kkk :gnzbryw:
Don't they still have to answer to Afar in Eritrea since their obvious goal is the seaport in Assab. :ayaanswag:
 
Don't they still have to answer to Afar in Eritrea since their obvious goal is the seaport in Assab. :ayaanswag:

They sure do in a way, but Eritrea is unitary state like Djibouti, being controlled by Asmara respective Djibouti city. In the case of Eritrea, Isias have a tight grip on the country, leaving Afar no space to act out. That region is sparsely populated too.

Eritrea's interest lies with allying themselves with Amharas, since they have Tigrayans as their immediate neighbors, whom they don't see eye to eye. With that said, all of these aspirations are riyooyin who will never come into fruition. But I like to play along with them at times, to let them feel a (false kkk) sense of hope :trumpsmirk:
 
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Arkan

VIP
They sure do in a way, but Eritrea is unitary state like Djibouti, being controlled by Asmara respective Djibouti city. In the case of Eritrea, Isias have a tight grip on the country, leaving Afar no space to act out. That region is sparsely population too.

Eritrea's interest lies with allying themselves with Amharas, since they have Tigrayans as their immediate neighbors, whom they don't see eye to eye. But all of these aspirations are riyo anyways. I like to play along with them at times kkk :trumpsmirk:
We gotta their entertain foolish Riyos.

Apparently, the so called APF that shared that map is not even real, but a fake account.

 
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We gotta their entertain foolish Riyo.

Apparently, the so Called AFP that shared that map is not even real, but a fake account.


I mean, it looks like it was done on windows paint by a toddler kkk. Can't imagine any revolutionary Amhara using that map to call for secession. Who would take them seriously?!?!:mjlaugh:

It reminds me of the map of Oromia/Oromumma when their counterpart tries that shit too :hova:

Image
 

GemState

36/21
VIP
When groups start seriously organizing & arming based just on ethnicity, it's a wrap tbh. Eventually something will break
 
When groups start seriously organizing & arming based just on ethnicity, it's a wrap tbh. Eventually something will break

Is it not given tho? Especially when they voice their aim, like in this case, to engage in militancy (although unlikely). I'm nor sure if I would tie it to the ethnic factor, but rather their mission/purpose.
 

GemState

36/21
VIP
Is it not given tho? Especially when they voice their aim, like in this case, to engage in militancy (although unlikely). I'm nor sure if I would tie it to the ethnic factor, but rather their mission/purpose.
My main point was that you can't keep repeating a cycle of;

Ethnic grievance -> Armed Insurgency-> Civil War -> Govt eventually wins -> Back to stage 1.

Eventually, the core will just break.
 
My main point was that you can't keep repeating a cycle of;

Ethnic grievance -> Armed Insurgency-> Civil War -> Govt eventually wins -> Back to stage 1.

Eventually, the core will just break.

Gotcha, but it's Ethiopia being Ethiopia :ftw9nwa:

Every head of gov't tries to centralize power, disfranchise its people and become a strongman at best, and/or commit vile acts of human rights abuses at worst. The only way to challenge them is resorting to a common denominator, ethnic being that factor in Ethiopia, alike clans in Somalia, and then to try to 'force' the gov't into concession(s) through xoog. Since they won't accept, let alone acknowledge, peaceful requests; you're left with no other choices than pick up a qori.

It's a never ending cycle, which may never end, unless serious reforms are made and implemented. They've tried to disarm its people before and aside from heavy weaponry, they've failed. Every single time. Though, overall they have a monopoly in violence for the most part.
 

GemState

36/21
VIP
Gotcha, but it's Ethiopia being Ethiopia :ftw9nwa:

Every head of gov't tries to centralize power, disfranchise its people and become a strongman at best, or commit vile acts of human rights abuses at worst. The only way to challenge them is resorting to a common denominator, ethnic being that factor in Ethiopia, alike clans in Somalia, to try to 'force' the gov't into concession.

It's a never ending cycle. They've tried to disarm the people before and aside from heavy weaponry, they've failed. Every single time. Though, overall they have a monopoly in violence for the most part.
What's the alternative though? Democracy isn't really an option.

Let's be real, If Ethiopia broke apart, the Horn would turn into hell on earth. Somalis maybe could get off easy, but the Oromo-Amhara heartland would look like 1994 Rwanda.
 
What's the alternative though? Democracy isn't really an option.

I personally believe that democracy should be an option, alike Kenya. They've got a long way to go, but not impossible if you got genuine people at the top willing to make the country prosperous and seeing its potential.

That being a wish; but with reality in mind, you can rule a country authoritarian-style in terms governance by taking into consideration the sensitivity of your people, in this case Ethiopia. This may differ for different regions. For example, in the Somali region the clan aspect is of outmost importance, even more than whoever sits in Addis. For Oromos, they are regionalists and identify greatly with their regions. Making sure that they get fair/equal representation is essential and so forth. When you've formed leadership that locals are somewhat satisfied in, you'll have less problems in Addis. Even if you're not a democratically elected leader, you'll still be able to rule for a long period of time and face less resistance. It's hard to achieve this, but it takes time and effort.

Otherwise, you can rule with irongrip with no considerations to anything for a short period of time and in that timespan achieve as much success as possible. Once you bring your a significant of your people out of poverty, increase education level, improve healthcare and overall contribute great changes, you'll get confidence and support over time. A cliche example, but Lee Kuan Yew is one such example or gulf monarchs to lesser extent.

Let's be real, If Ethiopia broke apart, the Horn would turn into hell on earth. Somalis maybe could get off easy, but the Oromo-Amhara heartland would look like 1994 Rwanda.

The stand-off between Amhara-Oromo would probably be worst considering their relations, but the same outcome would probably prevail everywhere. I'm not sure if it would be any better with the Somali and Oromo respective Afar borders, given what transpired since 2016. Or Amhara and Tigrayan borders to the west, given the recent war. Or Benishangul-Gumuz with locals only constituting half of the region and constant clashes. What about Harar? It's a dead end cause to achieve a peaceful split, as much as that's what I hope for.
 

GemState

36/21
VIP
I personally believe that democracy should be an option, alike Kenya. They've got a long way to go, but not impossible if you got genuine people at the top willing to make the country prosperous and seeing its potential.

That being a wish; but with reality in mind, you can rule a country authoritarian-style in terms governance by taking into consideration the sensitivity of your people, in this case Ethiopia. This may differ for different regions. For example, in the Somali region the clan aspect is of outmost importance, even more than whoever sits in Addis. For Oromos, they are regionalists and identify greatly with their regions. Making sure that they get fair/equal representation is essential and so forth. When you've formed leadership that locals are somewhat satisfied in, you'll have less problems in Addis. Even if you're not a democratically elected leader, you'll still be able to rule for a long period of time and face less resistance. It's hard to achieve this, but it takes time and effort.

Otherwise, you can rule with irongrip with no considerations to anything for a short period of time and in that timespan achieve as much success as possible. Once you bring your a significant of your people out of poverty, increase education level, improve healthcare and overall contribute great changes, you'll get confidence and support over time. A cliche example, but Lee Kuan Yew is one such example or gulf monarchs to lesser extent.



The stand-off between Amhara-Oromo would probably be worst considering their relations, but the same outcome would probably prevail everywhere. I'm not sure if it would be any better with the Somali and Oromo respective Afar borders, given what transpired since 2016. Or Amhara and Tigrayan borders to the west, given the recent war. Or Benishangul-Gumuz with locals only constituting half of the region and constant clashes. What about Harar? It's a dead end cause to achieve a peaceful split, as much as that's what I hope for.
LKY transforming Singapore single-handedly is a bit of a myth. Singapore is 733.1 km2 and the location of the island, just suspended in the Malacca Strait that guarantees the control on 40% of global trading. It was always gonna be rich. The Gulf had ungodly amounts of oil, no such silver bullet for Ethiopia.

Egypt's current per capita income level is $3,600, Ethiopia around $1,000. Ethiopia's 2020 GDP is 107.6 billion USD. Let's be optimistic and assume Ethiopia averages at 7% GDP growth for the next 25 years which is possible for a country as poor as Ethiopia. That gives you $581 billion . Ethiopia by 2045 will have a population of 190million.

So at best Ethiopia by 2045 would have a GDP per capita of $3k. That still makes it poorer than 2020 Egypt or 2011 Syria. Very difficult to see how these economic gains (which would be a miracle btw) are enough to offset ethnic grievances. I think the country is doomed tbh, at best it limps along, at worst it explodes.

Who knows, maybe AI will be Africa's silver bullet
 
So Eskinder and his armed organizational have their own vision. Does FANO share the same vision?

And it's funny Eskinder is entertaining the idea of backstabbing Afars who were crucial in defeating TDF.
Doesn’t seem unrealistic outside of Afar lands. Northern oromos are basically amhara wannabes


LKY transforming Singapore single-handedly is a bit of a myth. Singapore is 733.1 km2 and the location of the island, just suspended in the Malacca Strait that guarantees the control on 40% of global trading. It was always gonna be rich. The Gulf had ungodly amounts of oil, no such silver bullet for Ethiopia.

Egypt's current per capita income level is $3,600, Ethiopia around $1,000. Ethiopia's 2020 GDP is 107.6 billion USD. Let's be optimistic and assume Ethiopia averages at 7% GDP growth for the next 25 years which is possible for a country as poor as Ethiopia. That gives you $581 billion . Ethiopia by 2045 will have a population of 190million.

So at best Ethiopia by 2045 would have a GDP per capita of $3k. That still makes it poorer than 2020 Egypt or 2011 Syria. Very difficult to see how these economic gains (which would be a miracle btw) are enough to offset ethnic grievances. I think the country is doomed tbh, at best it limps along, at worst it explodes.

Who knows, maybe AI will be Africa's silver bullet

I think a peaceful divorce would be best for everyone. Meneliks Frankenstein should be tossed back into the grave
 

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