It's quite obvious Somaliland has pushed from Erigavo to Yubbe, which is similar to what they did in Sool pushing to Tukaraq. The distance between Yubbe and Erigavo is similar to Tukaraq to Garowe. It's totally a Warsangeli district. My analysis so far is Muse is scared of Caare gaining strength in Sanaag and destabilizing Somaliland. He has no way to attack Caare without turning the battle into Isaaq vs Isaaq which is the last thing he wants to do because he probably won't get the support from Somaliland community.
So my guess is he pushed into Yubbe, as he expects a Puntland response and now this gives him a justification to turn the battle into a PL VS SL while at the same time dealing with Caare without losing face with the Somaliland public. He wants a way to deal with Caare and he can't do that without making the war seem like a PL/SL thing.
The question is should Puntland bite back? All Puntlanders need to comment about this. What is the best response?
So my guess is he pushed into Yubbe, as he expects a Puntland response and now this gives him a justification to turn the battle into a PL VS SL while at the same time dealing with Caare without losing face with the Somaliland public. He wants a way to deal with Caare and he can't do that without making the war seem like a PL/SL thing.
The question is should Puntland bite back? All Puntlanders need to comment about this. What is the best response?