Puntland Local Elections 2023 & Presidential Elections 2024

DR OSMAN

AF NAAREED
VIP
Those 87 council seats that is being contested we need to know what the population of eyl-qardho-ufayn is to determine council seat to population ratio. If PL is 4 million, we need to work out Puntland Parliament seat ratio to population.

Right now as a guide, we have 66 MPs for 4 million people. That is 1 mp per 60,000 people. Are we going to keep the 66 MP ratio which was designed for a 28 district model in 98 as they haven't added any new parliamentary seat to account for the population boom post 98.

The last official district count was 40 from media sources in 2017. https://www.caasimada.net/cweli-gaa...degmo-cusub-tirada-guudna-ka-dhigay-40-degmo/

I honestly don't know where @Abdalla @FBIsomalia got their 54 and 59 counts. But that was in 2017. I doubt we boomed in the last 4 years from 40 districts in 2017 to 54 or 59 districts in 2021.

Anyways let's go off the official sources, If PL has 40 districts today for a population of 4 million. That's an addition of 12 districts on top of the official 28 districts per the 1991 borders. We grew 12 districts since 98.

Where-as in 98 we created 66 mp's to represent 28 districts. That's 2.3 mps per district. So we need to 'add' 2.3 mps x 12 new districts.

That's another 27.6 MP'S that haven't been ratified to adjust the puntland parliament quota. So if we take 66 mps and add 27.6 MPS for the new 12 districts. That means Puntland Parliament should have 93.6 MP'S.

So we can Round that off to 97 MPS for a population of 4 million. That's a parliament quota of 41000 per each MP in Puntland Parliament. My prediction is when puntland gets past these pilot elections and holds region wide elections. 2 MP's per district model is most likely going to be the quota untill a proper census is done to work out what each district population is.

Either way you will need to follow the 41000 per mp model. How many live in Bosaso. Let's say 1 million. 1 million/41000. Population wise they will get 24 seats in Puntland Parliament if we use population quotas or else untill census are done, we will need to follow the 2 mp per district.

Where is @Abdalla wallahi we need to discuss this urgent matter before people start rioting in Puntland
 
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DR OSMAN

AF NAAREED
VIP
If we calculate PL population in 98 using the 66 model and 28 district it was. If we are 4 million in 2017 for a district count of 40. That means there is an average mp to population ratio of 60,000 Per MP. But we need to consider that PL grew from 28 districts in 98 to 40 in 2017. That's 60,000 x 12. That's 760,000 people growth rate from 98 to 2017. If we split that for yearly population growth 760,000/19 years that's a population growth of 40,000 per year.

If we average 40,000 from 2017 to 2021, that's an addition of 40,000 x 4 years. We grew by 160k from 2017 to 2021. Puntland is roughly 3.2 million in 98. 4 million in 2017. In 2021 it should be 4.16 million. It wud be good if we had a 'death registry' and 'birth registry' to compare these estimations which is purely going of parliamentary seat allocation numbers, district counts, and working out growth rates without calculating ' death' rates each year.
 

Abdalla

Medical specialist in diagnosing Majeerteentitis
Prof.Dr.Eng.
VIP
Pictures of the first one man one vote elections since 1960s


There seems to be a high turnout. The three districts are facing big queues

Ufeyn
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A married couple voting together.
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Abdalla

Medical specialist in diagnosing Majeerteentitis
Prof.Dr.Eng.
VIP
Eyl always draws huge crowds on the first day of voting

An elderly man voting
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Females voting
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Abdalla

Medical specialist in diagnosing Majeerteentitis
Prof.Dr.Eng.
VIP
Qardhi witnesses long voting queues

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A long queue of mainly women in the IDP camp
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Abdalla

Medical specialist in diagnosing Majeerteentitis
Prof.Dr.Eng.
VIP
Mama Nura has voted
A 102 year old went to the voting booth after fajr and was the first man in the queue
 

Abdalla

Medical specialist in diagnosing Majeerteentitis
Prof.Dr.Eng.
VIP
An elderly voter is being carried to the voting booth after waiting hours to vote


 

Abdalla

Medical specialist in diagnosing Majeerteentitis
Prof.Dr.Eng.
VIP
People with disabilities have showed up in great numbers. Let this be a testimony that they are not recipients but rather fulfill a lion share in our society


The first person ever to have voted in PL history has a disability.


🙏🏿
 

Abdalla

Medical specialist in diagnosing Majeerteentitis
Prof.Dr.Eng.
VIP
Is it a three day lasting voting exercise? Or will the results be communicated tomorrow?
 

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