Maamul goboledka cusub Waqooyi-Bari (north east state)- the newest federal state in Somalia

He says his rolemodel is Mohamed Ibrahim Egal AUN, who was indeed probably the smartest politician Somalis ever witnessed, but even Egal knew when it was time to bust some heads and stop playing chess with dumb animals.

Deni do your job.


Actually now this makes sense. You know why? This gives Deni the excuse that "Hey I tried to reason with Dhulbahante, and they were on board with this invasion".

This will push him to:

1. Pull out from Sool (Militarily).
2. Close Sool - Nugal, Bari, iyo Sanaag Border.
3. No access to shipments from Bander Qasim and Garacad Ports.

If he does those three?

Wallahi, I will stop my mucaarad on the idiot.
 
Actually now this makes sense. You know why? This gives Deni the excuse that "Hey I tried to reason with Dhulbahante, and they were on board with this invasion".

This will push him to:

1. Pull out from Sool (Militarily).
2. Close Sool - Nugal, Bari, iyo Sanaag Border.
3. No access to shipments from Bander Qasim and Garacad Ports.

If he does those three?

Wallahi, I will stop my mucaarad on the idiot.
He won't do this, Guul SSC InshaAllah.
 

Hilmaam

Aabe kan yar iga celiyoo kan weyn igu sii daa.
VIP
Quite possibly the single biggest chess move in the North since 2000. I believe he did this to prevent a SL/PL coalition.

If i was HSM i would reshape Somalia's regional make-up completely. We need 7 states, North West, North Central, North East, Central, South West, South East, South Central.

Waqooyi Galbeed i.e North West (Awdal + Hargeisa + Togdheer), Waqooyi Dhexe i.e North Central (Sool + Sanaag), Waqooyi Bari i.e North East (Bari + Nugaal + N.Mudug), Gobolada Dhexe i.e Central (S.Mudug + Galgaduud), Koonfur Dhexe i.e South Central (Hiiraan + M.Shabelle), Koonfur Galbeed i.e South West (Bay + Bakool + L.Shabelle), Koonfur Bari i.e South East (Gedo + M.Juba + S.Juba).

Some of the sensitive border areas like Togdheer, Sanaag, Mudug, Lower Shabelle, Middle Juba etc should be taken into consideration in this new design.

Muqdisho can keep a special status, where the mayor/governor is given the same allocation and priviledges as the states.

If Somaliwayn ever expands we can incorporate K5 as Galbeed region, Djibouti as Waqooyi region, NFD as Koonfur region and Socotra as Bari region.
HSM playing for all the marbles, but at same time these moves seem desperate . Nobody can predict who gedo lead jubbaland or SSC will align with long term. He probably should have also worked to push through benadir state much easier ally to count on
 

Mckenzie

We star in movies NASA pay to watch
VIP
HSM playing for all the marbles, but at same time these moves seem desperate . Nobody can predict who gedo lead jubbaland or SSC will align with long term. He probably should have also worked to push through benadir state much easier ally to count on

He proposed a special kursi for Benadir in his proposed new constitution as well as changes to FMS titles and even naming Somalia an Islamic Federal Republic to deter extremist elements. It is still yet to be approved by Parliament so i expect HSM will come out all guns blazing in the next year. I knew the moment he created a new party that he was serious about pushing through for a post26 reality.
 
HSM playing for all the marbles, but at same time these moves seem desperate . Nobody can predict who gedo lead jubbaland or SSC will align with long term. He probably should have also worked to push through benadir state much easier ally to count on


Short term goals of FGS:

Win propaganda points by by trying to set up parallel adminstrations in regions like Sool and Gedo

Use those regions to create the false perception of broad national elections (fraud) to continue rule

Long term goals:

Incite long term conflicts in all regions by creating statelets that vie for FGS support weakening all parties except FGS.

Enter lop sided protection agreements to only protect Mogadishu by selling maritime assets

End result

Rule from Mogadishu protected and eat maritime assets while the entire territory is a patch work of warring statelets and insurgents, mostly insurgents who will consolidate even more territority under this situation. This could be the stable long term goal of FGS having failed at statebuiling. It will require a benefactor to make sure the capital doesn't fall though otherwise this is how you turn 1991 into a long term profitable venture.

The downside to this is by conceding this territory willingly FGS is turning its main funders against them. Letting broad swathes of Somalia become contested and warring grounds is really against the security interests of the funders so we might see some consequences for the 91 gang.
 
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Libaax-Joore

Beesha haplogroup e-by8081
VIP
Big day for Qoslaye and his ilk...most definitely I predict an armed conclict between PL and this new administration.
Why they will be armed conflict between puntland and waaqoyibari😂omar xafayad warsangali and dhulbhante will not fight over mamul they will cliam waqooyibari us thier own at the same time eat thier pie 🥧 in puntland and Somaliland us hindiga dubia 😂😂 Omar xafayad should be ashamed him self why don’t you eat in galmudug well you are hindiga dubia in puntland
 
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