True.Somaliland region is getting shut down politically so you are properly right it won't come to war.
I believe Muse Bixi has upset too many people and done very little (unless you count tukraq as an achievement) to be elected again. Wadani are completely inept though... Instead of sitting on the sidelines being silent they should actively try and recruit the non isaaq clans within the sland project.
No one will help him besides walking him and that retard to the hagueHS, KG and GM were not states yet, just 3 territories with three leaders who claimed these lands. Even the FGS with no power could deal with them easily, because of their international aid billions and the generous foreign daddys (turkey, qatar, ethopia, uganda and co).
JL will be the first difficult test for Farmaajo and Kheyre. Madoobe controls with Kismaayo a strategic important city, hails from a big community and has the back of Kenya. I think they will just try to bring another loyal Ogadeen to cut of his tribal support at least. This won't be that easy anyway. PL will be the final exams. We will see inshAllah who has the upper hand in the end.
Either way the sfg will look like fools going againist jl/pl as let's be real as they do not got an army unless they think hawiye and marehan will fight for them which i highly doubtDo you listen to yourself horta? if the SFG doesn't represent Somalia officially who does,
Somaliland region? there is a reason you need a stamp from the SFG to export your
livestock to other countries. Time to smell the coffee and wake up from the delusions. Somalia
has one national recognized government the rest are mamuul goboleeds, this is not China vs Taiwan.
? fgs works with puntland what do you mean by dismantle? its a Somali state, its not like galmudug and these other states just disappeared or something, they just have to follow the law and have elections nowHow? The FGS will surely try to dismantle Pland before Sland.
the state of California goes against the US federal government so what? they can disagree on issues and have different jurisdiction, however SL is totally different as its a separatist movement that the sfg will need to dismantleWell Pland goes against the FGS like in the case of UAE.
The state of California also cuts its relations with the FG whenever it wants, right?the state of California goes against the US federal government so what? they can disagree on issues and have different jurisdiction, however SL is totally different as its a separatist movement that the sfg will need to dismantle