If S/land is recognised Somalia should centralise rapidly

After SL successfully succeeded i hope awdal starts a succession movement and I will push that movement until they get recognised as a country. After that I will rally behind Zelia’s succession movement until we have atom wide countries.
How is that any good if we can’t keept Somaliland as part of Somalia I don’t see what good it does if awdal is it’s own country. What will that serve I don’t get it if Ethiopia attacks awdal then or Zeila. Awdal can’t defend it self and wil most likely not get help from djibouti or Somaliland since theetafel their own how can u suggest more division we meest to stop these ultra secessionist such as ur self
 
View attachment 372348

Jabartis loved their emperor Haile Selassie but also loved the King of Great Britain

View attachment 372349

These are blue flag nationalists par excellence mashallah tabarakallah

What is the point of this What purpose does it serve to bring down another somali qabil. Yeah sure this looks bad that that elder kissed haile sellasie hand , but that doesn’t mean he is Ogaden u don’t know for sure and even if he was that doesn’t make all Ogaden traitors .It’s like me saying all isaaq are traitor because they fought against the sayid ina igare doesn’t represent all isaaq .when we do know there were so many isaaq dervishes such as sultan nur aman and Haji sudi and ibrahim boghul and ina shihiri .
Ogaden is a great clan with allot of history and bravery and u know this to , u just don’t want to admit it
 
Sorry, but in 10-20 years, America will become 10-12 separate countries. This is the fate of falling empires, like what happened to the Ottomans (Sykes-Picot), the Soviet Union, and others it's over for them. The three new powers will be Russia, China, and Europe, and maybe the Turks as well. There might even be a neo-Caliphate once America hands the Middle East over to them and gets rid of bin Salman, Sisi, and other despicable leaders to prevent expose. But it won't be Ottoman but more Arabic i thinks, so Turkey can appease the Arabs and Muslims.

The Europeans will have no choice but to ally with the Muslims as well. The three new superpowers won't spare America. Soon, it's going to be China versus the USA in the Pacific Ocean. If they lose, it's game over for them. According to their war games, they lose 100% of the time.

Also, Somalia benefits from being with Turkey because China, America, and Russia are just gangs and criminals no morals, no deen, nothing. All these wars like gaza,sudan, ukraine etc are wars of strategic location for the world superpowers to guarantee supply lines and waterways.
this is the reason Somalia is the way that it is, people here geniunley believe this nonsense.
 
After SL successfully succeeded i hope awdal starts a succession movement and I will push that movement until they get recognised as a country. After that I will rally behind Zelia’s succession movement until we have atom wide countries.
I dont get where this is coming from this is genuinley a crack pipe statement, I think Landers need to gear up since I've underestimated how deep the Somalia fake news messaging is, Firstly Awdal isn't pro unionist its one of the most secure Pro SL regions there is alongside Zeila, the contention in SL exists in the far east with some parts wanting to be unionist and if that is the case they can hold their views provided their peaceful, but this is the thing you guys only export violence which is why we don't want to be in the union. Secondly, also you have no power to do this either way otherwise you would have done so already.
 
If Somaliland is recognized Somalia would likely experience desegregation, PL would be next. This is precisely one of the reasons why the international community hasn't recognized Somaliland yet
This alongside with them having their own sepratist movements and feeling scared to do so since Colonialism that scar hasn't healed yet which I get but is incredibly stupid and punishes people in our case.
 

Garaad Awal

Former African
What is the point of this What purpose does it serve to bring down another somali qabil.
Weren’t you calling Isaaqs traitors. Shut up nigga. Jabartis were calling themselves “Children of the English” while getting fiddled by Xabeshis. Not that different today except you also have Bantu Papis from Kenya, Uganda & Burundi alongside the Abyssinian’s & Westerners.
Yeah sure this looks bad that that elder kissed haile sellasie hand , but that doesn’t mean he is Ogaden u don’t know for sure and even if he was that doesn’t make all Ogaden traitors .It’s like me saying all isaaq are traitor because they fought against the sayid ina igare doesn’t represent all isaaq .when we do know there were so many isaaq dervishes such as sultan nur aman and Haji sudi and ibrahim boghul and ina shihiri .
Ogaden is a great clan with allot of history and bravery and u know this to , u just don’t want to admit it
IMG_3765.jpeg


You literally called Isaaqs historical traitors and now you are tap dancing and trying to moonwalk it back because you exposed yourself as a fake ethnic nationalist when…surprise, surprise!!! You are nothing more than a Jabarti supremacist. Your people were footstools for every colonial power in the Horn except the French from the Italians to the Abyssinian’s to the Brits.
 
Isaaq is a traitor to Somalia because they want to dismember the Somali republic, but they are not a traitor to Somaliland , listen i applaud issaq for peace and democracy and economic progress but i just dont think we are good if our country breaks apart.,
 

Thegoodshepherd

Galkacyo iyo Calula dhexdood
VIP
@Abaq @Removed

I would not be worried much about recognition. It has a nonzero probability, but it is still quite unlikely. I once had my prior on recognition at ~33%, seeing this map knocked that down by more than an order of magnitude to ~3%.

A independent Somaliland that is based on the borders of British Somaliland would have a Harti plurality within ~30 years.

IMG_1261.png


Think of Isaaq as Djibouti and Harti as Somalia. The name of this phenomenon is differential fertility.

IMG_0629.jpeg


Isaaq have a TFR of 5.3 while Harti TFR is at 7.7. That is a difference of 2.4 children per woman or 45%.

I made this comment 4 years ago
https://www.somalispot.com/threads/...e-up-sool-sanaag-and-cayn.117254/post-2997076
 
@Abaq @Removed

I would not be worried much about recognition. It has a nonzero probability, but it is still quite unlikely. I once had my prior on recognition at ~33%, seeing this map knocked that down by more than an order of magnitude to ~3%.

A independent Somaliland that is based on the borders of British Somaliland would have a Harti plurality within ~30 years.

View attachment 372374

Think of Isaaq as Djibouti and Harti as Somalia. The name of this phenomenon is differential fertility.

View attachment 372378

Isaaq have a TFR of 5.3 while Harti TFR is at 7.7. That is a difference of 2.4 children per woman or 45%.

I made this comment 4 years ago
https://www.somalispot.com/threads/...e-up-sool-sanaag-and-cayn.117254/post-2997076
This means the population of waqooyi bari is doubling every 9 or 10 years similar to Niger
 

Jaale Ugaas

Medici and Marehan, one and the same. 🥂
VIP
Let’s have a healthy discussion on how we can take this country forward. We work amicably with ree Gedo, I’m sure ree Caabudwaaq will see the light soon.

Dalkaan Ogaden uun baa isku hayni karaa. Just look at Jubaland and DDS under Ogaden leadership. Everyone gets their rights and people are happy and prospering. Somalia needs us


It will be a cold day in hell when there is an Ogadeni president ruling Somalia, your shenanigans in JL have bolstered your confidence and now you want to make a foray into national politics.

Illahow ceebta naga astuur, to articulate my feelings on this matter I'd like to quote a poem you are familiar with I believe.

Other the other hand, the ignoble bandits and savages saw an opportunity in the arrival of the coloniser to turn around their sorry state of affairs. They became the colonisers eyes and ears, ever eager to obey their commands and fulfill every request no matter how humiliating. In return, they were lavished with weapons, wealth, and authority.

Waxaa murugo iyo qoomamiyo, maanqashiyo ciil leh
Maskax iyo garaad iyo wixii, muruqba kaa liita
Markuu adiga sharaftaad mudnayd, kaa maroorsado’e

Macalin Dhoodaan

(The poet laments how painful it is when you are bested by someone who is your inferior in every facet)

Leave Villa Somalia to those who have a history of ruling somalis since the medieval age and focus on consolidating what little you have in our country. Your 2 districts in Somalia paint a picture of how relevant you are in this country.
 

Thegoodshepherd

Galkacyo iyo Calula dhexdood
VIP
This means the population of waqooyi bari is doubling every 9 or 10 years similar to Niger
Doubling time for Harti Woqooyi is 15 years and 26 years for Isaaq. A vast gulf has opened up.

You surely love to bring up your xaarstatics. How did that it go for you in Ceerigaabo iyo Jiidale?

There is going to be war, but I don't expect any conflict until after NE state has stabilized itself in Sanaag and comes to include all of the Sanaag Warsangeli.

Dagaalka Sanaag waa lama huraan ee wuxuu u baahanyahay midnimo iyo tacab. Inshallah cagta hosteed ayaad mar kale geli doontaan.
 

Almis

The Gulf of Berbera
Doubling time for Harti Woqooyi is 15 years and 26 years for Isaaq. A vast gulf has opened up.



There is going to be war, but I don't expect any conflict until after NE state has stabilized itself in Sanaag and comes to include all of the Sanaag Warsangeli.

Dagaalka Sanaag waa lama huraan ee wuxuu u baahanyahay midnimo iyo tacab. Inshallah cagta hosteed ayaad mar kale geli doontaan.
Mindnimo iyo tacab iyo tira koobka islaahama wax dhala

Meanwhile we expanding and making new deegans.

 

Saleh

ICTIRAAFKA CADAABTA KU JIRA
@Abaq @Removed

I would not be worried much about recognition. It has a nonzero probability, but it is still quite unlikely. I once had my prior on recognition at ~33%, seeing this map knocked that down by more than an order of magnitude to ~3%.

A independent Somaliland that is based on the borders of British Somaliland would have a Harti plurality within ~30 years.

View attachment 372374

Think of Isaaq as Djibouti and Harti as Somalia. The name of this phenomenon is differential fertility.

View attachment 372378

Isaaq have a TFR of 5.3 while Harti TFR is at 7.7. That is a difference of 2.4 children per woman or 45%.

I made this comment 4 years ago
https://www.somalispot.com/threads/...e-up-sool-sanaag-and-cayn.117254/post-2997076
this is the definition of wishful thinking😂 for 10 years you have been posting this hoping it happens😂 the region they are majority in (sool) has the highest infant mortality rate in SL coupled with the highest open defecation rate and lowest HDI, people in those living conditions have more sex but live much shorter lives because they lack the infrastructure and institutions to sustain them. as for sanaag, of the 5 districts ceerigaabo, garadag, ceel afweyn are isaaq majority, with harti as majority in badhan, lasqoray. mac sonkor, may the HJ expansion in your lands continue
 
this is the definition of wishful thinking😂 for 10 years you have been posting this hoping it happens😂 the region they are majority in (sool) has the highest infant mortality rate in SL coupled with the highest open defecation rate and lowest HDI, people in those living conditions have more sex but live much shorter lives because they lack the infrastructure and institutions to sustain them. as for sanaag, of the 5 districts ceerigaabo, garadag, ceel afweyn are isaaq majority, with harti as majority in badhan, lasqoray. mac sonkor, may the HJ expansion in your lands continue
You are making up lies 🤣

Garadag is not a district and has never been one of the five recognized districts of Sanaag.

The five official districts are Ceerigaabo, Badhan, Dhahar, Las Qorey, and Ceel Afweyn — all of which leave the Harti as the majority in the Sanaag region.

Even your enclave admits it.
1238.png
 

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