What do you think of Puntland?
It doesn't seem like much is going to happen in the next few years. For me, I wonder to what extent the discovery of oil changes things one direction or another. If oil/gas is found, can Somaliland export oil independent of the Somali government, from a business/international politics point of view? I haven't done enough research on that yet, but right now there do not seem to be factors that are pushing things in any direction on the Somaliland-Somalia issue.Tres.
What role do you think Somaliland will or can play in the political future of Somalia?
Hmmm. That is a good question. I probably know it better than the average Somalia observer, but once you think you "know" things, that is when you start making absurd analysis. So I always stay very humble and open-minded when thinking about clan-related issues. The biggest mistake I see is that people assume clans are homogenous entities. I find that there is often some kind of valid alternative explanation to a lot of issues that sometimes people just say is "a clan thing."How have you been able to grasp the clan system as a foreigner?
,Im assuming your Somali isnt fluent (correct me if Im wrong), so what news sources do you rely on, or receive information about Somali politics in general?
Since I'm not part of one, I don't really have a sense of what it likes to be in one. But I will say, every country has social groups that have used identity for social good, but also used it to instigate conflict. Somalia is no different.As a foreigner, what do you think of somalis and clan worshiping
Thanks, to be honest, i *try* to avoid the issue of *specific* clans on my blog because I think some non-Somali analysts misuse info about it in their analysis. I try to only use it when it is VERY obvious that it is a fundamental factor in the issue that I am writing about.Btw thank you Tres I really appreciate your work.
I very much agree with you on the issue of clan, even somalis find it frustrating and complex. Hopefully we can one day we can move on from these stories.
Have you read the survey done by the heritage foundation on the different interpretations and views on it.? If so what is your opinion on the survey testing the general civilian populous views and knowledge of Federalism.Hi there. I think it can work in the long run, but lack of agreement on how the process should be implemented right now, an ambiguous provisional constitution, and a short time frame for many of the processes involved have challenged made it challenging.
It would probably work better if the political processes were not squeezed into such small time frames and if there was some way to build better trust between regional leaders, Hassan Sheikh, the PM, and Jawaari.
I think I answered this in another post, but Somalia has the most fascinating politics in Africa, I think. I like languages, and Somali has been fun to try and learn. Also, there's hardly a boring day in Somalia. So many interesting political statements, exciting construction, and THE MUSIC. I love playing guitar/piano and Somali music has the most genius and complicated rhythms in any form of music. What's not to like?Hello and welcome Tres
As a Non-Somali what made you want to report specifically about Somalia?
Full disclosure, I would love to live on a beach on the coast, if anybody is offeringI think I answered this in another post, but Somalia has the most fascinating politics in Africa, I think. I like languages, and Somali has been fun to try and learn. Also, there's hardly a boring day in Somalia. So many interesting political statements, exciting construction, and THE MUSIC. I love playing guitar/piano and Somali music has the most genius and complicated rhythms in any form of music. What's not to like?
I think the Heritage survey was right that federalism is misunderstood. I also agree that it is currently, elite-driven, influenced by foreign countries, and could lead to regional admins that are too clan-oriented in nature. But one of the good things in federalism being so flexible right now is that Somalis can change it IF the process moves away from simply being driven by the Pres, regional leaders, the PM et al.Have you read the survey done by the heritage foundation on the different interpretations and views on it.? If so what is your opinion on the survey testing the general civilian populous views and knowledge of Federalism.
They made it really clear that federalism is deeply misunderstood especially by those who vigorously support it.
And Secondly another thing what's your take on people who argue that federalism is not fit for Somalia and will not work in the long run? Their arguments is that federalism equals balkanization of Somalia supported by Somalias Neighboring countries Kenya & Ethiopia to keep it divided and destabilized. The other argument is that Somalia is too homogenous and the small size of Somalia means its geography does not necessitate federation. Moreover, the country is poor and cannot afford to run multiple levels of administration.
Many largely view it as elitedriven and externally facilitated scheme that-promotes clan identity at the expense of citizenship.
Taking all of this into consideration, don't you think Somalia should look towards different options, maybe a decentralized unitary option ,as opposed to a clan federation? Especially in the long run?
It seems like Gaas is having to balance multiple priorities in terms of addressing Shabaab/ISIS, Khaatumo, Somaliland, how to pay security forces on time, and politics at the national level. Also, the whole momentum behind establishing one person, one vote in Puntland seems to have fallen off the radar -- 2013 was exciting until the ballot burning issue. I have been meaning to research if new PL political parties are active in the way they were back in 2013. It does not seem like they are, but I could be wrong. With all those challenges, it's great to see things like Bosaso's airport being renovated and Yemeni refugees getting housing, hopefully other positive news can follow. I really wish Gaas and Hassan Sheikh could improve their relationship as well. The dynamics between them are extremely influential in terms of how federalism can work.