How long until Somalia becomes Safe and Stable

Somalia? Like the regions outside of SL and maybe even outside PL? Never! Definitely not in your lifetime that’s for sure. Let’s revisit this question 2121 iA. Sorry to crush your hope! :dabcasar:
 
Honnest question. Do actually believe qabilism will die out? And when do you think it will be gone?
qabilism won't wholly die out any time soon. But with increasing development comes increasing urbanisation. This in turn reduces the reliance on Qabil or connection to a larger conglomerate of Qaabil in politics. Furthermore individualism increases in Urban societies meaning people stop caring about random tribes and focus on themselves and their families.

Qabil exists due to conflicts and economic troubles. Once both are reduced to nil i expect qabil to be a relic like in modern day Japan.

For Somalia, Qabil will slowly be replaced by states. People will begin to rep states more then Qabil, we will see people say reer Puntland instead of Harti etc. The interesting thing is that since anyone can join a state , tribalism will be replaced with love of state.
 
Not until the liars, thief's, drug addicts, rapist and killers are put in their places. Not until the righteous and honest stop being content and complacent with bullshit. Grab a drink and seat it's going to take a while.
 

Periplus

Min Al-Nahr ila Al-Ba7r
VIP
Somalia's future is probably one of the most optimistic in the region, for numerous reasons.

1. Nearly every Somali has seen a Somalia that had nothing, in that we cannot be embarrassed further and have nothing to lose. From seeing black hawk down to all the jokes about Somalia, the only direction is up.

2. Somalia has more of its people outside than inside the country. Many Somalis are raised with the mentality of "make it in the West and go back home". This will translate into many newly successful or educated Somalis in next decade or two that are willing to head back home and change stuff for the better. I cannot tell you how many African diaspora I met that, in which this personality trait does not exist.

3. Somalia is a malleable nation, in that due to its that it's very easy to introduce big changes or paradigm shifts. Whether that means introducing clean energy or having a new capital, it is relatively easier to do that in Somalia because of its current state.

4. Very controversial but.... at its worst, Somalia was not even that bad. After 10 years of quasi-peace and godforsaken governance, Somalia is barely a below average African country. Mogadishu and Hargeisa can compare to many African capitals in Sub-Saharan Africa. The gap that Somalia needs to clear to reach many (not all) African countries isn't that bad because of the business acumen of Somalis back home.

5. We have a young population, that are internet savvy and use mobile-banking. Introducing a concept like crypto would be easier to the average Somali, a 20 something year old that uses the internet daily.

6. Most important one, Somalia is not in any debt traps. It is the rule rather than the exception that African countries are in big debt traps, with many of the swanky developments you see in the rest of the continent financed by predatory loans. Because basically all of Somalia, relatively minor, debt was under Barre, we are able to start clean and can learn from the mistakes of everyone else when it comes to financing.

How long it takes depends on geo-political, stability and environmental factors but Somalia is well positioned to take off when it does get its sh*t together. As a population, we need to remain supportive of our people as they navigate one of the most complex rebuilding projects in human history. Because which other people have had to start their society from scratch.
 
Definitely in the next five years. If the current or next government solely focuses on Al Shabab, we will see big changes. Look at the development of Mogadishu despite the terrorist attacks.
 
If Any Other Nation Went Through What We Went Through Total Collapse For Them Look At Any Tuulo Who have Become Bustling Cities In The Span Of 15 Years Without A Stable Government If Coruptness And Terrorism And Other issues Can Be Dealt With Harshly Then The Future Looks Very Bright

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