Somaliland can’t be compared to Kurdistan. We’re not landlocked. We don’t have beef with Iraq turkey and Iran. Somalia has no capacity to exercise control over willing territories let along a 30 year independent territory with institutions and a population that is radically pro independence.
NEWS Genel Energy signs deal with OPIC Somaliland Corporation (OSC) involving Taiwanese investment to drill oil well by 2023
- Thread starter ZodiaK
- Start date
Maybe in Somalia but somaliland will be the African country with the best standard of living in 10 years time even without recognition. Nigeria has a population of 200 million.
@Yuusuf the great
Here are some uncomfortable facts…..
The FGS today absolutely has the personnel & military capability to take control of much Somaliland. Somaliland is at almost equilibrium with Puntland alone, adding FGS would overwhelmingly tilt the balance of power against SL.
I don’t need to go through all the assets and battalions the FGS has under command as I’m sure you are well aware.
Inevitably our resident Khat head @Yuusuf the great will try to bring up FGS inability to decisively defeat al shabab as a tell tale sign that they lack military capability. This is absurd as al shabab is an insurgency that operates by doing hit and run and remote car bombs. Even the most powerful military in the world (US) couldn’t defeat a terrorist insurgency & no one considers their military incapable. A conflict with Somaliland will be conventional. And I’m not exaggerating when I say SL has less combat experience & no more better armed than Al Shabab.
Now I’m not saying FGS/Puntland should have a military conflict with SL, but want to point out claims of Somalia having “no leverage” is moot simply because Somalia chooses not to exercise its leverage (decisive military edge). Further Somalia past 10 yrs never had any reason to as they are busy with al shabab and there’s nothing to gain in SL.
Significant oil finds might change that, just saying
and there’s absolutely nothing SL could do about that. And no one in the international community will have a thing to say about finally Somalia exercising its sovereignty and freeing Harti’s from Isaaq occupation.
And all this can be achieved whilst under arms embargo, yet in any production timeline, arms embargo will have been lifted before a barrel of oil leaves the region, further tilting the balance of power.
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@Yuusuf the great
Here are some uncomfortable facts…..
The FGS today absolutely has the personnel & military capability to take control of much Somaliland. Somaliland is at almost equilibrium with Puntland alone, adding FGS would overwhelmingly tilt the balance of power against SL.
I don’t need to go through all the assets and battalions the FGS has under command as I’m sure you are well aware.
Inevitably our resident Khat head @Yuusuf the great will try to bring up FGS inability to decisively defeat al shabab as a tell tale sign that they lack military capability. This is absurd as al shabab is an insurgency that operates by doing hit and run and remote car bombs. Even the most powerful military in the world (US) couldn’t defeat a terrorist insurgency & no one considers their military incapable. A conflict with Somaliland will be conventional. And I’m not exaggerating when I say SL has less combat experience & no more better armed than Al Shabab.
Now I’m not saying FGS/Puntland should have a military conflict with SL, but want to point out claims of Somalia having “no leverage” is moot simply because Somalia chooses not to exercise its leverage (decisive military edge). Further Somalia past 10 yrs never had any reason to as they are busy with al shabab and there’s nothing to gain in SL.
Significant oil finds might change that, just saying
and there’s absolutely nothing SL could do about that. And no one in the international community will have a thing to say about finally Somalia exercising its sovereignty and freeing Harti’s from Isaaq occupation.
And all this can be achieved whilst under arms embargo, yet in any production timeline, arms embargo will have been lifted before a barrel of oil leaves the region, further tilting the balance of power.
Somalia is already involved destabilising eastern Somaliland. But when it comes to real conventional war things are not easy as you think. You have to convince all none daarods and even daarods in the parliament to approve war on isaaq using the Somali peaple's resources and manpower. Because Somalia is fragmented into minced meat most regions states especially the hawiye ones are not interested to participate any war on isaaq simply because they are not gaining any thing from it unless you are giving them northern mudug and half of jubaland in return .
Somalis are tired of daarod using them in the name of somalinimo they won't accept to be used again. Why would habargidir man die for buuhodle when he is not allowed to govern half of mudug because of qabyaalad. You think peaple are stupid. We liberated the Somali minds 30 years ago. Cidna ma soo raafi kartid.You are day dreaming my nigga. If you want to extract the oil you gotta give Somalia at least 50% of the revenue because we you own you legally. But the opposite doesn't apply to Somalia. Listen kid, sometimes in life when you need something badly, you gotta be the b*tch.
You are day dreaming my nigga. If you want to extract the oil you gotta give Somalia at least 50% of the revenue because we you own you legally. But the opposite doesn't apply to Somalia. Listen kid, sometimes in life when you need something badly, you gotta be the b*tch.
You need my oil badly , but I don't like biitchs
Would you rather produce oil and give Somalia 50% of the revenue or not produce oil at all?You need my oil badly , but I don't like biitchs
Wallah Irir/Samaaleunless you are giving them northern mudug and half of jubaland in return .
Wallah Irir/Samaale
If you want habargidir to fight against isaaqs , that's the price of their service. Can you afford ?
I may consider to give 1% to alshabaab just to keep you in hell. And we gonna increase that number if they do well on you.
I Don't Interact With Them And I Wish For No Fighting But Your Triangle State Cannot Claim What Is Not Yours
The Holly triangle is evolved into full fledged pentagon . Ilaahay Su,aalaha reer Sheesh isaxaaq hakuu fududeeyo .I Don't Interact With Them And I Wish For No Fighting But Your Triangle State Cannot Claim What Is Not Yours
Is Genel a reputable company? We need Aramco, Exxon or Chevron.
Genel is a small Oil company. It is primarily focused on Iraqi Kurdistan region where it contributes close to 50% of that region's economy.
In Somaliland, Taiwan's CPC already is the buyer of the oil that is going to be extracted, so it doesn't need to look for a market. It couldn't get any better for Somaliland.
Oil Trucks will be initially used to move oil from the wells to Berbera until a dedicated Oil Pipe is built. So essentially, Somaliland could be earning money from its Oil by 2024.
Thx for the information.
