coup d'état attempt in amhara regional state

Abiy has made it clear who was behind this coup, his words as followed "Groups who advocate old ideas from 40 years ago"

This coup attempt was orchestrated by radical Amhara terrorists, primarily from the group known as Ginbot 7 and other Derg loyalists who yearn for the dismantling of the current ethnic federal system. A centralized Ethiopia ensures there survival as they are swarmed by enemies on every side, they have no allies and internally there are divisions, the Agew tribe within the Amhara region want to seperate and create their own maamul.

The chief of staff killed was neutral and not supportive of their extreme ideals which was why he was killed, the regional president was a target for being too close to the Oromo administration. They are not only Anti Tigray but Anti Oromo as well. How they can take on both regions remains to be seen.

I welcome the prospects of war in Ethiopia
 

Tukraq

VIP
Abiy has made it clear who was behind this coup, his words as followed "Groups who advocate old ideas from 40 years ago"

This coup attempt was orchestrated by radical Amhara terrorists, primarily from the group known as Ginbot 7 and other Derg loyalists who yearn for the dismantling of the current ethnic federal system. A centralized Ethiopia ensures there survival as they are swarmed by enemies on every side, they have no allies and internally there are divisions, the Agew tribe within the Amhara region want to seperate and create their own maamul.

The chief of staff killed was neutral and not supportive of their extreme ideals which was why he was killed, the regional president was a target for being too close to the Oromo administration. They are not only Anti Tigray but Anti Oromo as well. How they can take on both regions remains to be seen.

I welcome the prospects of war in Ethiopia
this would be currently bad for us as a war in Ethiopia would be catastrophic and their huge population of 100 million while we have 15 million scares me due to the wave of refugees that may pour into our borders smh, it might have fatal consequences for us if they go all out intact they may even outnumber us easily with just their refugees alone smh
 

Ras

It's all so tiresome
VIP
Abiy has made it clear who was behind this coup, his words as followed "Groups who advocate old ideas from 40 years ago"

This coup attempt was orchestrated by radical Amhara terrorists, primarily from the group known as Ginbot 7 and other Derg loyalists who yearn for the dismantling of the current ethnic federal system. A centralized Ethiopia ensures there survival as they are swarmed by enemies on every side, they have no allies and internally there are divisions, the Agew tribe within the Amhara region want to seperate and create their own maamul.

The chief of staff killed was neutral and not supportive of their extreme ideals which was why he was killed, the regional president was a target for being too close to the Oromo administration. They are not only Anti Tigray but Anti Oromo as well. How they can take on both regions remains to be seen.

I welcome the prospects of war in Ethiopia
Question is who should we support if we had any influence?

Amxaars are expansionist and probably a bigger threat to Somalis but we've been fighting the TPLF for the past couple decades.

Whoever wins will attempt to lockdown power and limit the autonomy of all the regions. I.e. we'd be stuck with another Addis puppet for another decade or so.
 

Samaalic Era

QurboExit
Question is who should we support if we had any influence?

Amxaars are expansionist and probably a bigger threat to Somalis but we've been fighting the TPLF for the past couple decades.

Whoever wins will attempt to lockdown power and limit the autonomy of all the regions. I.e. we'd be stuck with another Addis puppet for another decade or so.
This is good and bad news at the same time. A successful revolution is terrible news for Somalia as these rebels are expansionists who will target Somalia like never before. In such a case, Somali region must break from Ethiopia or it will be under a central government.

We have to let the govt fall and prevent a new govt being installed. This is the best case scenario. This Coup must never succeed
 

Ras

It's all so tiresome
VIP
Ginbot7 scares the shit out of EPDRF.
It should scare the shit out of us. Ginbot7 has the support of Britain and the Washington.

They would turn a blind eye if they decide to go against us.

Somali sovereignty is the biggest threat to the Amharic dream of empire building.

At least the current government and TPLF is indifferent in regards to Somalia.
 
It should scare the shit out of us. Ginbot7 has the support of Britain and the Washington.

They would turn a blind eye if they decide to go against us.

Somali sovereignty is the biggest threat to the Amharic dream of empire building.

At least the current government and TPLF is indifferent in regards to Somalia.
They are powerless langabs so need to worry
 

Ras

It's all so tiresome
VIP
This is good and bad news at the same time. A successful revolution is terrible news for Somalia as these rebels are expansionists who will target Somalia like never before. In such a case, Somali region must break from Ethiopia or it will be under a central government.

We have to let the govt fall and prevent a new govt being installed. This is the best case scenario. This Coup must never succeed
Would be better if the regional coup succeeded so that the federal government can be kept busy by the Amharic autonomous region.

Whatever deal they give to the Amxaars to keep them happy has to be given to all the regions.

So more freedom for them = more for the Somali region.

From then on it's a slippery slope until each region is pseudo sovereign unless Addis uses force and tries to crack down on them.

The next election there will be interesting seeing that this coup failed.
 

Ras

It's all so tiresome
VIP
They are powerless langabs so need to worry
Langaabniimo is what keeps the 30 million Amxaars united since there are no clans to divide them.

They have plenty of clout in the military as well as friendly relations with foreign powers. Most their elite diaspora live in the heart of US politics; Washington DC.

These guys are known for selling out to foreign powers to get whatever they need.
 

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