The Ethiopian government has some soldiers stationed in Somalia, and all of a sudden without them the Somali government will cease to exist ?
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Abdisalam Yusuf Guled, the founder of Eagle Range Services, a security company in Mogadishu, and former Somalia’s deputy chief of the National Security Agency, is among those who voiced concern.
"I have a great concern that Somalia could be another Afghanistan if the African Union troops leave the country, without Somalia getting strong and well-armed security forces that have international funding and backing similar to that for ATMIS," Guled said.
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Still undergoing reconstruction after repeated civil wars, and still subject to an arms embargo, Somalia is struggling to structure its armed forces. The extent of this is such that a number of Western and African commanders fear an "Afghan-style" scenario, with total state collapse in the event of the ATMIS departure. "This is obviously on everyone's mind," confirmed Omar Mahmood, a researcher with the International Crisis Group (ICG).
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Djiboutian President Ismail Omar Guelleh cites Afghanistan as a warning for Somalia. In a recent interview, the President commented on Somalia’s request regarding a three-month extension of the 2nd phase drawdown of the African Union Transition Mission in Somalia (ATMIS) troops and whether Djibouti supports this request.
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