The best way of comparing a developing nations prospects is to compare the level of infant mortality + median age + fertility and see if it matches historical patterns seen in Germany/US/Japan.
It gives an indication as to which countries are on track for convergence&vice-versa
For example, Vietnam has an Infant Mortality rate of 15, a median age of 31 and a TFR of about 2.
The IMR is on par with Germany 1977. Germany 1977 had a median age of 35 and 1.4 TFR, fair to say VN is on track for convergence.
We can do the same for Somalia and Africa too to estimate which regions have the most potential, and what they do right.
It gives an indication as to which countries are on track for convergence&vice-versa
For example, Vietnam has an Infant Mortality rate of 15, a median age of 31 and a TFR of about 2.
The IMR is on par with Germany 1977. Germany 1977 had a median age of 35 and 1.4 TFR, fair to say VN is on track for convergence.
We can do the same for Somalia and Africa too to estimate which regions have the most potential, and what they do right.