2023 FGS Budget Review

Hilmaam

Let him cook
VIP
Majority of somaliland money comes from customs taxes. Here are locations and revenues. For some reason was expecting alot more money from Wajaale

Customs_StationBudget_ForecastActual_CollectionDifferencePercentage
Hargeysa$ 184,423.61$ 492,162.87$ 307,739.26167%
Hargeysa Airport$ 7,797,807.53$ 10,263,419.51$ 2,465,611.9732%
Berbera$ 148,482,948.27$ 119,900,048.91$ (28,582,899.37)-19%
Burco$ 370,994.82$ 1,267,939.60$ 896,944.78242%
Borama$ 3,385,447.65$ 8,717,459.34$ 5,332,011.69157%
C/Gaabo$ 240,499.58$ 616,592.91$ 376,093.33156%
Kalabaydh$ 36,239,374.57$ 26,809,756.93$ (9,429,617.64)-26%
Seylac$ 13,461,323.39$ 10,824,709.66$ (2,636,613.73)-20%
Caynabo$ 282,322.67$ 573,905.39$ 291,582.72103%
Las-Canod$ 1,062,888.81$ 70,613.71$ (992,275.10)-93%
C/Cado$ 516,916.05$ 247,035.10$ (269,880.95)-52%
Abaarso$ 59,092.75$ 81,146.60$ 22,053.8637%
Dilla$ 8,561.72$ 9,377.81$ 816.0910%
A/Baday$ 304,346.79$ 587,442.78$ 283,095.9993%
L/Haya$ 3,167.16$ 5,757.63$ 2,590.4782%
F/Weyne$ 400,113.13$ 410,711.92$ 10,598.793%
Beer$ 34,001.48$ 39,448.79$ 5,447.3116%
Xariirad$ 439,028.72$ 1,753,568.12$ 1,314,539.40299%
B/Gubadle$ 3,970,680.94$ 2,788,377.52$ (1,182,303.42)-30%
Wajaale$ 3,046,168.12$ 2,541,039.26$ (505,128.86)-17%
Total$ 220,290,107.76$ 188,000,514.37$ (32,289,593.39)-15%


The rest of domestic revenue comes from inland taxes

TownBudget ForecastActual Revenue CollectionDifferencePercentage
Hargeysa45,631,91045,692,29260,3820%
Berbera10,114,5467,975,891-2,138,655-21%
Burco2,445,4462,205,982-239,464-10%
Borama2,568,6542,291,519-277,135-11%
C/Gaabo667,853590,863-76,990-12%
Gabiley1,453,6081,065,279-388,329-27%
Seylac159,805147,310-12,494-8%
Caynabo145,747132,760-12,987-9%
Las-Canod535,0767,903-527,173-99%
Oodwayne75,43968,967-6,472-9%
Total63,798,08360,178,766-3,619,317-6%
 
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I don't like talking independence it's pointless. Somalia will not be broken up. Can puntland and somaliland do own thing outside FGS of course and we have seen outside investment directly to these states while we are in this stalemate. But I will pull some of somaliland finance information into here. will take a bit to convert from shilling to usd will try and see if chat gpt can do it


The FGS doesn't exist on its own merits and strength. It was kickstarted and still lives on support by the international community and these arrangements between Somaliland and FGS were supported by those partners. They would not allow Somalia to politicize aid and try to force a settlement out of Somaliland using their money, which is well within their rights.

The stalemate is just a lack of acceptance by Somalia. It can't exert its sovereignty and it won't give up. Politics precedes everything else. FGS refers to Somaliland as an FMS because it's trying to delegitimize Somaliland's independence, nothing more.

One example:

If my reading is correct it costs around $750m a year to keep the FGS from collapsing:

UNSOS budget is 500 million (UN assessed contributions)
ATMIS budget is around 250 million (90% EU, some AU etc)

You could probably add world bank and other donor funded budget support to get up to around $1 billion.
 

Hilmaam

Let him cook
VIP
What about puntland?
I cant find any recent reports


1712991037948.png
 

Hilmaam

Let him cook
VIP
Somaliland also had bad year for donated expenditure with project utilizing less than half the funds allocated . money was 11.9 million to start with which isnt alot so hurts when you lose so much of it

1712991199293.png
 

Hilmaam

Let him cook
VIP
Not much details on where this money nor do I quite follow what its trying to convey definlty not an accountent. is it coming from is it Gele energy, UAE and ports, or people in west. But impressive its being tracked. Overall somaliland report is most thorough report I have seen come out of somalia
1712991554022.png
 

Hilmaam

Let him cook
VIP
Overall budgets like this will not make a dent in major infrastructure needed in somalia the country is huge and population is too spread out. The roads are majority earthen, the electrcity infrastructure is bad and very expensive, the airports need expansion invesment for big cites and smaller towns need airports that aren't dirt strips, you need waste management, and water plants. The west needs to up the money maybe will happen in future with debt relief or maybe they want stronger institutions. The other option is our governments finding own revenue sources whether its taping into diaspora or we get lucky with natural resource find. Whether its FMS or FGS its very tough environment with these very small budgets even subsaharan poor country like Kenya has 28 billion dollar budget yes they have more people but still it doesnt explain huge difference
 

Hilmaam

Let him cook
VIP
Here is puntland expected budget. The way I read it 145 million is budget for year. 113M fixed costs. 32M is projects. The 230M off budget is NGOs, UN, and budget support for local cities its marked as off budget so guessing it doesn't go through ministry of finance. Which makes sense as somalia gets huge money from UN and NGOs which isnt tracked anywhere else for other FMS and FGS

1712998060742.png


1712997759319.png
 

0117

Reborn
Money sent to each FMS from FGS. It seems Somaliland bypassing FGS don't see how they can lose all funding. Also 2023 actual money received is way less than what was planned with Puntland being hardest hit receiving 58% of planned money and 68% reduction from 2022
View attachment 324486

Somaliland never inheritley takes transfers from FGS (this transfer is funded from IC not FGS tax).


The reason why it took it in 2022 was due economic circumstances Musa Bihi took to the Waaheen Fire in April 2022 which was a significant loss to the population and the $13M received was distributed to the traders and part of the rebuilding of the market.
 

0117

Reborn
View attachment 324506
  • 2023 the domestic revenue was about 80% of the Grants received.
  • For context, Domestic/Grant revenue ratio for the year 2021 was about 43%.
  • And the same ratio for the fiscal year 2022 was about 36%.

As per usual Benadir carrying Somalia so hard. 329 million USD and this year it will hit 400 million USD.

You're wrong to attribute $329 million to Benadir alone.


There are sources of government revenue that are country wide like passport and overflight fees.

Screenshot_20240413-112408.png
 

Garaad Awal

Zubeyri aka Targaryen of the Awalid Kingdom.
Money sent to each FMS from FGS. It seems Somaliland bypassing FGS don't see how they can lose all funding. Also 2023 actual money received is way less than what was planned with Puntland being hardest hit receiving 58% of planned money and 68% reduction from 2022
View attachment 324486
Not a single cent from Somalia goes to SL. Aid organizations deal directly with SL. Those orgs that don’t comply were told to rightly f*ck off. SL will continue to rely more on increasing our revenue from making economic deals to increasing our tax-collecting capacity.
 

Garaad Awal

Zubeyri aka Targaryen of the Awalid Kingdom.
Majority of somaliland money comes from customs taxes. Here are locations and revenues. For some reason was expecting alot more money from Wajaale
Border tax is collected at Kalabaydh. Which is why the village of Kalabaydh in Gabiley district collects more than the urban center of Wajaale also in Gabiley district.
Customs_StationBudget_ForecastActual_CollectionDifferencePercentage
Hargeysa$ 184,423.61$ 492,162.87$ 307,739.26167%
Hargeysa Airport$ 7,797,807.53$ 10,263,419.51$ 2,465,611.9732%
Berbera$ 148,482,948.27$ 119,900,048.91$ (28,582,899.37)-19%
Burco$ 370,994.82$ 1,267,939.60$ 896,944.78242%
Borama$ 3,385,447.65$ 8,717,459.34$ 5,332,011.69157%
C/Gaabo$ 240,499.58$ 616,592.91$ 376,093.33156%
Kalabaydh$ 36,239,374.57$ 26,809,756.93$ (9,429,617.64)-26%
Seylac$ 13,461,323.39$ 10,824,709.66$ (2,636,613.73)-20%
Caynabo$ 282,322.67$ 573,905.39$ 291,582.72103%
Las-Canod$ 1,062,888.81$ 70,613.71$ (992,275.10)-93%
C/Cado$ 516,916.05$ 247,035.10$ (269,880.95)-52%
Abaarso$ 59,092.75$ 81,146.60$ 22,053.8637%
Dilla$ 8,561.72$ 9,377.81$ 816.0910%
A/Baday$ 304,346.79$ 587,442.78$ 283,095.9993%
L/Haya$ 3,167.16$ 5,757.63$ 2,590.4782%
F/Weyne$ 400,113.13$ 410,711.92$ 10,598.793%
Beer$ 34,001.48$ 39,448.79$ 5,447.3116%
Xariirad$ 439,028.72$ 1,753,568.12$ 1,314,539.40299%
B/Gubadle$ 3,970,680.94$ 2,788,377.52$ (1,182,303.42)-30%
Wajaale$ 3,046,168.12$ 2,541,039.26$ (505,128.86)-17%
Total$ 220,290,107.76$ 188,000,514.37$ (32,289,593.39)-15%


The rest of domestic revenue comes from inland taxes

TownBudget ForecastActual Revenue CollectionDifferencePercentage
Hargeysa45,631,91045,692,29260,3820%
Berbera10,114,5467,975,891-2,138,655-21%
Burco2,445,4462,205,982-239,464-10%
Borama2,568,6542,291,519-277,135-11%
C/Gaabo667,853590,863-76,990-12%
Gabiley1,453,6081,065,279-388,329-27%
Seylac159,805147,310-12,494-8%
Caynabo145,747132,760-12,987-9%
Las-Canod535,0767,903-527,173-99%
Oodwayne75,43968,967-6,472-9%
Total63,798,08360,178,766-3,619,317-6%
 

Gemstone

Sincerity is a dangerous thing.
You're wrong to attribute $329 million to Benadir alone.


There are sources of government revenue that are country wide like passport and overflight fees.

View attachment 324529
You're right, it is about 305 million. Petroleum and air navigation fees were the only clear sources of revenue collected nation-wide. I'm almost certain that all port fees are from Xamar Harbour and Aden Cadde Airport.
 

Hilmaam

Let him cook
VIP
Not precise but shows some of defintions in english when i threw table into chatgpt



ChatGPT
Certainly! Here's the table:
DirectorDeputy DirectorHead of SchoolDeputy HeadmasterSecretaryTreasurer
Presidency224311123516
House of Representatives851611024-
Ministry of Finance7961329154494
Ministry of Internal Affairs14711125231
Ministry of Information, Culture and Diaspora Affairs6412102023
Agency for Reconstruction and Development10-115-
General Administration54-133151
Election Commission9-122-
State TV40-12210
Bureau of Census11-1521
Ministry of Security and DDR60-16405
Ministry of Justice42119133
General Oversight12-1-64
Human Rights Agency26-13151
General Audit Office161-101690-
Office of the Attorney General37-21715-
Ground Forces14-3125
Ministry of Livestock1033164527
Ministry of Labour84-142827
Immigration Office76--71712
Ministry of Districts572221728
Ministry of Planning, Finance and International Cooperation48-142510
Ministry of Trade and Industry32117191
Trade Mission------
Ministry of Health41-152010
Central Biyaha Development Agency974144030
Office of Biyaha Information Management20-13210
Maritime Development Agency33-14129
Ministry of Rural Development and Camel Milk411512165
Ministry of Agriculture and Fisheries46-151019
Ministry of Air and Seaport Affairs124-1143245
Ministry of Marine Resources and Fisheries841111954
Diaspora Relations Office1-1---
Ministry of Health6541156083
Central Government Affairs Office of Puntland18-11221
Ministry of Education161-192683
Ministry of Youth, Sports and Culture851133538
Ministry of Women and Family Affairs50-282112
Ministry of Rehabilitation41142337
HIV/AIDS Combat Office (PAC)22-158-
Community Development Agency1211132
Staffing Agency for Government7-12--
Total3,72977562689681,114
 

Hilmaam

Let him cook
VIP
The remaining 104.86 million collected in non taxes are broken down below. Which total comes out to 329 milllion collected in domestic revenue

1713028457942.png
 

Hilmaam

Let him cook
VIP
Somaliland never inheritley takes transfers from FGS (this transfer is funded from IC not FGS tax).


The reason why it took it in 2022 was due economic circumstances Musa Bihi took to the Waaheen Fire in April 2022 which was a significant loss to the population and the $13M received was distributed to the traders and part of the rebuilding of the market.

Not a single cent from Somalia goes to SL. Aid organizations deal directly with SL. Those orgs that don’t comply were told to rightly f*ck off. SL will continue to rely more on increasing our revenue from making economic deals to increasing our tax-collecting capacity.
Looks about right

1713029343621.png


1713029464076.png

1713029376758.png
 

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