I don't like talking independence it's pointless. Somalia will not be broken up. Can puntland and somaliland do own thing outside FGS of course and we have seen outside investment directly to these states while we are in this stalemate. But I will pull some of somaliland finance information into here. will take a bit to convert from shilling to usd will try and see if chat gpt can do it
The FGS doesn't exist on its own merits and strength. It was kickstarted and still lives on support by the international community and these arrangements between Somaliland and FGS were supported by those partners. They would not allow Somalia to politicize aid and try to force a settlement out of Somaliland using their money, which is well within their rights.
The stalemate is just a lack of acceptance by Somalia. It can't exert its sovereignty and it won't give up. Politics precedes everything else. FGS refers to Somaliland as an FMS because it's trying to delegitimize Somaliland's independence, nothing more.
One example:
If my reading is correct it costs around $750m a year to keep the FGS from collapsing:
UNSOS budget is 500 million (UN assessed contributions)
ATMIS budget is around 250 million (90% EU, some AU etc)
You could probably add world bank and other donor funded budget support to get up to around $1 billion.