Yeah you dont know what youre talking about
A navy is meant to defend and possibly engage in naval engagements. For Somalia, the emphasis will always be on defence only, so only defending their waters and enforcing the law. In this instance, the coast guard or navy both serve the same purpose. You can't compare to other well off countries.
If FGS had a navy it would solve many sovereignty problems starting with Puntland so they would defenetly have to do some offence in their own waters, it cant even be remotely compared to a coast guard, in fact fgs barely have a coast guard PL and SL have better equipped and more functional coast guards
Its not 1982 anymore, invading Somalia is diplomatic suicide FGS has too many connections with the west and other countries worldwide, Al Shabaab also makes it impossible, Somaliland would definitely also not fall easily, Djibouti is protected by the whole world due to its military bases, safest bet for them is southern Eritrea, its the only part of the afar depression that has a paved road into Eritrea and abiy renovated the road in 2021, he also wouldnt have to fight on two fronts against the EDF if he invades there
Yeah America's anti-Islamic crusade under Bush during the 2000s really helped TPLF and Zenawi do what they did. Unfortunately Somalia is still suffering from the consequences but hopefully the new economic developments will improve security and political tensions.
Abiy and the wider Ethiopian government lives off promising THIS will solve all their problems.
Economic developments dont fix a government
But abiy doesnt care about the the remote regions of the country, its not like gumuz could even rebel against him cause they are dependent on addis ababa, all he cares about is the capital and the northern regions, and somali region ofc but nothing happens there and theyre probably the most independent in ethiopia
When the Central Bank of Somalia reintroduces the Somali shilling, it will be naturally stabilized by this steady inflow of foreign currency from our global business networks. The backing of strong forex inflows will stabilize its exchange rate, build trust in the new currency, prevent inflation from currency shortages or black market pressure. This is how Singapore and UAE supported their currency early on with steady dollar inflows from their trade based economies.
Somalia to reintroduce Somali shilling after decades of delay
MOGADISHU (HOL) — Somalia’s federal government is preparing to reintroduce newly printed Somali shilling banknotes for the first time since the country descended into civil war in 1991, reviving a long-delayed initiative aimed at restoring monetary sovereignty and curbing widespread counterfeiting.www.hiiraan.com
Abiy and the wider Ethiopian government lives off promising THIS will solve all their problems.
It was the GERD dam which would transform Ethiopia into a regional power, but watch that slowly fades from the narrative as the infrastructure realities you mentioned become undeniable. Now it’s a port, a naval one at that
They’ll keep cycling through these grand narratives forever. “we just need this ONE more thing to unlock Ethiopia’s potential”. It’s misdirection of promise the people that the next big project will fix everything, so they don’t ask why the last five ‘transformative’ projects didn’t deliver what they said.
Even if they get asseb n berbera it will never be enough
Im talking about the northern regions as well. In fact im pretty sure the northern regions are the most mountainous part of the country.
But we also have a big problem, our lands are very large, it would cost more than 20 billions to connect the whole country with highways like the one between xamar and afgoye, and the governments barely has 100 million for all expenses
Exactly everything is honestly downstream of economic development. If people see the economy is growing and their lives are improving then poor governance is something people can ignore. Also economic growth like you state will male the govt better anyway since it'll increase state capacity.
