Ahmed Madobe's 4 years term has ended and he may miss the NCC meeting in Dhusamareeb bc of this!

[SPMLegend]

But you can’t stop HSM advancing from Barawe into Jilib and from Baardheere into Buale.

Especially with HSM bringing in the Ethiopians.

You will either accept he controls the offensive or he’ll do it himself

Garabka Atmis iyo Habeshi haku niyad dhisin
Hassan Gurguurte only wants to create an Army for his tribe. Shabab will regroup and re-enter Gobolada Dhexe. Your wet dreams of Shabab being limited to the Deep South is not accessible. Ethiopia is busy with Amhara they have no troops for another invasion. Atmis are sitting ducks. It’s a 1 sided War with overstretched resources.

 

[The Midlands]

Exactly. Those are allied clans so HSM won’t have a problem.

 

[bidenkulaha]

Garabka Atmis iyo Habeshi haku niyad dhisin
Hassan Gurguurte only wants to create an Army for his tribe. Shabab will regroup and re-enter Gobolada Dhexe. Your wet dreams of Shabab being limited to the Deep South is not accessible. Ethiopia is busy with Amhara they have no troops for another invasion. Atmis are sitting ducks. It’s a 1 sided War with overstretched resources.

View attachment 289380View attachment 289382

Ethiopia isn’t Somalia. Those guys have 100s of thousands of troops and Abiy is a strong ally fight now with HSM he can spare 35k.

Ethiopia is coming to Xamar next week, high level delegation. I’ve seen a lot of ppl saying HSM has decided to get rid, Ethiopia want capital moved to Buale and MX President so they’ll support this

 

[Superiorabdi]

I dont know much about politics but im guessing that if HSM turns on Madobe then Hamza will turn on HSM. And if thats the case it would mean HSM will have to fire Hamza and replace him with a MX pm since both OG and MJ are against him. Could we see a Gurgurte and Failmajo team up?

 

[bidenkulaha]

I dont know much about politics but im guessing that if HSM turns on Madobe then Hamza will turn on HSM. And if thats the case it would mean HSM will have to fire Hamza and replace him with a MX pm since both OG and MJ are against him. Could we see a Gurgurte and Failmajo team up?

HSM doesn’t need Farmaajo, also if he goes for a MX JL President that will get MX to support non-MX PM like Hamza anwyay. Hamza I doubt resigns imo if HSM fights Madoobe.

Unlike Farmaajo he’ll actually liberated Buale if he needs to. Rather than some ridiculous attempt on capturing Kismayo.

 

[SPMLegend]

Ethiopia isn’t Somalia. Those guys have 100s of thousands of troops and Abiy is a strong ally fight now with HSM he can spare 35k.

Ethiopia is coming to Xamar next week, high level delegation. I’ve seen a lot of ppl saying HSM has decided to get rid, Ethiopia want capital moved to Buale and MX President so they’ll support this

Is that the fairytales they are telling each other in xamar? Here is Bardheere town that is under siege by Shabab. Ethiopian troops have been stationed in this Area for 15 years. Ethiopia whether they are in Diinsor,Burhakaba or Gedo are limited to the main towns. They can not afford to occupy land without the local support. Why would they support foreigner Gurguurte to occupy Absame lands. You are not thinking long term. You think you can achieve quick power grab without carefully analyzing the situation.

The current ENDF forces in Somalia are bunkered down. the incoming ones will be no different.

 

[bidenkulaha]

Is that the fairytales they are telling each other in xamar? Here is Bardheere town that is under siege by Shabab. Ethiopian troops have been stationed in this Area for 15 years. Ethiopia whether they are in Diinsor,Burhakaba or Gedo are limited to the main towns. They can not afford to occupy land without the local support. Why would they support foreigner Gurguurte to occupy Absame lands. You are not thinking long term. You think you can achieve quick power grab without carefully analyzing the situation.

The current ENDF forces in Somalia are bunkered down. the incoming ones will be no different.

ATMIS mandate troops aren’t mobile.

The frontline states troops have no mandate and if they kill 1000 civilians no UN sanctions.

You really don’t get why this is significant

 

[Superiorabdi]

HSM doesn’t need Farmaajo, also if he goes for a MX JL President that will get MX to support non-MX PM like Hamza anwyay. Hamza I doubt resigns imo if HSM fights Madoobe.

Unlike Farmaajo he’ll actually liberated Buale if he needs to. Rather than some ridiculous attempt on capturing Kismayo.

Yeaah no MX is ever touching the JL presidency seat ma boy lol Xarmajo couldn't even get rid of Madobe and he was the president with a vendetta

 

[bidenkulaha]

Yeaah no MX is ever touching the JL presidency seat ma boy lol Xarmajo couldn't even get rid of Madobe

HSM isn’t Farmaajo. He’s just liberated 1300km of land within a year.

 

[SPMLegend]

The frontline states troops have no mandate and if they kill 1000 civilians no UN sanctions.

Let them kill 1000 civilians in your land
They are not welcomed in mines

 

[bidenkulaha]

Let them kill 1000 civilians in your land
They are not welcomed in mines

Those were ATMIS troops and guess what they didn’t leave past Maxaas. Thanks for adding to my point ATMIS=/frontline troops. They provided fire support which is part of their mandate.

non-ATMIS Ethiopian troops will be coming to JL. HSM just has to give the go ahead when he decides on what to do with Madoobe

 

[SPMLegend]

Those were ATMIS troops and guess what they didn’t leave past Maxaas. Thanks for adding to my point ATMIS=/frontline troops. They provided fire support which is part of their mandate.

non-ATMIS Ethiopian troops will be coming to JL. HSM just has to give the go ahead when he decides on what to do with Madoobe

I will be watching the Karbaash of Hassan Gurguurte and his Ethiopian Masters from the sideline

The Gains will be temporary, the defeat will be Eminent

 

[Fisherman 75]

Those were ATMIS troops and guess what they didn’t leave past Maxaas. Thanks for adding to my point ATMIS=/frontline troops. They provided fire support which is part of their mandate.

non-ATMIS Ethiopian troops will be coming to JL. HSM just has to give the go ahead when he decides on what to do with Madoobe

When do you think Galhereeri will be freed? After that is when I think HSM will leave GM and work on Phase 2 preparations. Don’t think he will wait for countryside to be cleared

 

[bidenkulaha]

When do you think Galhereeri will be freed? After that is when I think HSM will leave GM. Don’t think he will wait for countryside to be cleared

I think he might go to some of the cities liberated. Like Ceeldheer, Xarardheere, Ceelbuur.

SNA commander said Galhareeri should be liberated soon. In days I presume and not weeks.

 

[Gerigo'an]

You’ve been unable for a decade. No one is stopping you

With all due respect, you as hawiye are using all of the SNA which includes all Somali tribes, plus all the government weapons to liberate galmudug today. Jubaland is no different, the government will have to liberate it as well and if not, this will look like a hawiye government and we are never moving forward.

 

[bidenkulaha]

With all due respect, you as hawiye are using all of the SNA which includes all Somali tribes, plus all the government weapons to liberate galmudug today. Jubaland is no different, the government will have to liberate it as well and if not, this will look like a hawiye government and we are never moving forward.

80%+ of the SNA is hawiye and it’s paid for by Hawiye taxes.

Ofc there’ll focus on hawiye land

 

[Calaami]

Yeaah no MX is ever touching the JL presidency seat ma boy lol Xarmajo couldn't even get rid of Madobe and he was the president with a vendetta

From my own observation the biggest difference between XSM and Farmaajo is that XSM has the support of his entire tribe and Farmaajo had the support of almost none of his greater tribe

 

[Superiorabdi]

From my own observation the biggest difference between XSM and Farmaajo is that XSM has the support of his entire tribe and Farmaajo had the support of almost none of his greater tribe

I’m sure Farmaajo had the support of SWS and GM as well tho

 

[Abdalla]

Kooxda Ahmed Madoobe Deni bey ku waasheen and fake meetings. Deni won’t save you this time ee ragga iska celiya.

 

[Abaq]

Kooxda Ahmed Madoobe Deni bey ku waasheen and fake meetings. Deni won’t save you this time ee ragga iska celiya.

Calm down sxb, this is politics nothing personal. I’m hearing it is Deni who requested this meeting. Let’s see what happens