Will The MOU with Ethiopia Make Berbera Port Obsolete ??

[Bernie Madoff]

Your missing my point

1. If and when they get a Naval port (military base) , what is to stop them building their own commercial port ?

2. What is going to stop them taking more land forcefully ?? (I personally think they want Ceel-Sheikh all the way to the Djibouti border (including Saylac).

3. If they violate the terms of an agreement, who is going to stop them ? and how ?

Answer me please, because I feel this is an irrational move on Somaliland's part and can render us irrelevant.

1) The negotiated deal would be off and that means it would null and void. MOU is being drafted up as we speak im sure SL wont be stupid enough not to cover up loop holes

2) Whats stopping them from already annexing somalia as whole its due to International community i mean hell ethiopia already occupies parts of somalia as AU peacekeeping force in case you forgotten lol


3) Ethiopia can't handle sanctions and won't risk backlash from international community since its already in fragile state with ethnic conflicts.

 

[SomalilandFanatic]

1) The negotioned deal would be off

2) Whats stopping them from already annexing somalia as whole its due to International community i mean hell ethiopia already occupies parts of somalia as AU peacekeeping force in case you forgotten lol


3) Ethiopia can't handle sanctions and won't risk backlash from international community since its already in fragile state with ethnic conflicts.

1. Ok, you say the 'negotiated' deal is off. How would they be removed ?? We couldn't beat a small clan from Laascaanood. How are we going to manage to remove a million strong Ethiopian army ?

2. The pay off for annexing Somalia wouldn't be worth it to them as they don't have the resources to occupy and manage 18 million crazy Somalis, and they would rather destabilise Somalia and keep it failed and weak which they have been doing for decades now. Until they could swoop in and take ports (which is what they are trying to do now with this MoU).

3. As there is in agreement in place (MoU) they can argue they have a legal (and maybe even a historical) right to be there. The court case may drag on for decades.


All I am saying is think rationally and not emotionally.

Hence why I jumped on the Birmade HSM train because if he manages to scrape this deal, it could end up saving the Isaaq tribe from irrelevancy (ironic).

 

[White-Macrobian]

Your missing my point

1. If and when they get a Naval port (military base), who is going to stop them building their own commercial port ?

2. What is going to stop them taking more land forcefully ?? (I personally think they want Ceel-Sheekh all the way to the Djibouti border (including Saylac).

3. If they violate the terms of an agreement, who is going to stop them ? and how ?

Answer me please, because I feel this is an irrational move on Somaliland's part and can render us irrelevant.

They will say that this is just specualtion. But even if its just specualtion why risk that ?