Who will replace Isaias Afwerki?

Gaandheri

Gaandheri

@seldiboy @DR OSMAN @GaradShabeel
This man has been ruling Eritrea since 1991 he’s starting to get up there in age so who will replace him. I am not familiar with Eritrean politics but I have heard Isaias trusts only 4 people which are essentially his inner circle will one of these 4 replace him Yemane Ghebreab, Hagos Ghebrehiwot, Yemane Ghebremeskel, and Abraha Kassa or will it be his son or someone else?


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Sheikh Kulkuli

Sheikh Kulkuli

Burqad said:
Eritrea isn’t a typical African dictatorship, they’re ideological. Probably the next in line in the Jabhad will replace him.
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Eritrean hamaseen are just like other xabashi
They will keep dictatorship within the family
No muslim,catholic or pente will replace the ruling class of Hamaseen.
 
G

GaradShabeel

VIP
Burqad said:
Eritrea isn’t a typical African dictatorship, they’re ideological. Probably the next in line in the Jabhad will replace him.
Click to expand...

The interesting part is that the inner circle of the regime consist of Isias and those who's been around since the Shabia (EPLF) days. All of them are old as hell and you'll rarely see them include a younger person unless it's a family member or close associate, who they've groomed over the years.

@Kabtaanka I'm not sure who will succeed him, but regardless of who takes over; it will depend on how tight grip on the country they can continue post-Isias. They don't have a constitution and the parliament have been disbanded for more than two decades. One of his family member could be a successor, but I leaning more towards one his trusted people on top in the regime to take over after him.
 
dekiteshim

dekiteshim

Resident Eritrean | Ye's strongest soldier
Sheikh Kulkuli said:
Eritrean hamaseen are just like other xabashi
They will keep dictatorship within the family
No muslim,catholic or pente will replace the ruling class of Hamaseen.
Click to expand...
Hamasien is just a former province of Eritrea. It’s not an ethnicity.

Half the Eritrean cabinet is Muslim and some of the most fervent government supporters are Muslims (Saho tend to be very pro-HGDEF in my experience).

Sure, you are right about Pente though. It’s (rightfully) banned in Eritrea.
 
dekiteshim

dekiteshim

Resident Eritrean | Ye's strongest soldier
Burqad said:
Eritrea isn’t a typical African dictatorship, they’re ideological. Probably the next in line in the Jabhad will replace him.
Click to expand...
Isaias is starting to soften up. He recently said in a speech at the latest Sawa graduation that it “was no longer the time for war” and that the Sawa grads would “not be soldiers” but proceed into their respective professions.

The govt has recently suspended their military recruitment protocol (unprecedented).

I suspect that Isaias is planning on a CCP style of governance after he passes. Probably internal elections within the HGDEF party but no external ones. It comes alongside the grooming of a new crop of much younger political commissars and diplomats.

The benefits of a 3 decade long dictatorship is that the cult of personality he has cultivated means that a coup is unlikely. Eritreans within Eritrea (not diqala half breed Agame agitators in the diaspora) are very much indoctrinated by the HGDEF machine

Edit: Here is the speech

 
hamar_oo_iidil

hamar_oo_iidil

Kabtaanka said:
@seldiboy @DR OSMAN @GaradShabeel
This man has been ruling Eritrea since 1991 he’s starting to get up there in age so who will replace him. I am not familiar with Eritrean politics but I have heard Isaias trusts only 4 people which are essentially his inner circle will one of these 4 replace him Yemane Ghebreab, Hagos Ghebrehiwot, Yemane Ghebremeskel, and Abraha Kassa or will it be his son or someone else?


View attachment 282790
Click to expand...
Abiy Axmed ama his clone
 
H

Haragwaafi

seldiboy said:
Hamasien is just a former province of Eritrea. It’s not an ethnicity.

Half the Eritrean cabinet is Muslim and some of the most fervent government supporters are Muslims (Saho tend to be very pro-HGDEF in my experience).

Sure, you are right about Pente though. It’s (rightfully) banned in Eritrea.
Click to expand...
Muslims make up biggest oppostion to the regime and Afwerki despises the muslim community that he tries to minimise the learning and speaking of the Arabic language in the country you probably know that since you're big fan Hgdef :)
 
H

Haragwaafi

Kabtaanka said:
@seldiboy @DR OSMAN @GaradShabeel
This man has been ruling Eritrea since 1991 he’s starting to get up there in age so who will replace him. I am not familiar with Eritrean politics but I have heard Isaias trusts only 4 people which are essentially his inner circle will one of these 4 replace him Yemane Ghebreab, Hagos Ghebrehiwot, Yemane Ghebremeskel, and Abraha Kassa or will it be his son or someone else?


View attachment 282790
Click to expand...

The military will and maybe because of the large oppostion groups to the regime that are in exile the generals might allow the nation to transition to democracy to avoid unrest and civil war.
 
dekiteshim

dekiteshim

Resident Eritrean | Ye's strongest soldier
Haragwaafi said:
Muslims make up biggest oppostion to the regime and Afwerki despises the muslim community that he tries to minimise the learning and speaking of the Arabic language in the country you probably know that since you're big fan Hgdef :)
Click to expand...
Are you Eritrean? Clearly not. It’s the exact opposite.

The biggest opposition to the regime exists within the Tigrinya ethnic group that is predominantly Christian. Nor does Afwerki hate Muslims lol. The same Afwerki that put the Orthodox Patriarch of Eritrea on house arrest until he died. The same Afwerki that arrests all Pentes and Jehovahs Witnesses

Afwerki speaks fluent Arabic. There’s specifically no official language so that they are all equal.

That being said, all signs and government notices are published in Tigrinya, Arabic and English. EriTV News is broadcast in Tigrinya, Tigre and Arabic. EriTV broadcasts Eritrean dramas (filmed by EriTV) in Arabic. There’s no avenue where language chauvinism is perpetrated against Arabic. If anything, the Eri Gov literally promotes it in comparison to native languages like Tigre, Saho, Blin, Kunama, Afar etc.
 
dekiteshim

dekiteshim

Resident Eritrean | Ye's strongest soldier
601E55FC-98B7-4013-8D57-3EB7B6DEC672.jpeg
B147D9D1-A8AD-47C6-B69A-924CBD58E240.jpeg

Afwerki hates Muslims but spends all his time larping as one lol. When have you seen this guy engaging in any Tigrinya culture
 
H

Haragwaafi

seldiboy said:
Are you Eritrean? Clearly not. It’s the exact opposite.

The biggest opposition to the regime exists within the Tigrinya ethnic group that is predominantly Christian. Nor does Afwerki hate Muslims lol. The same Afwerki that put the Orthodox Patriarch of Eritrea on house arrest until he died. The same Afwerki that arrests all Pentes and Jehovahs Witnesses

Afwerki speaks fluent Arabic. There’s specifically no official language so that they are all equal.

That being said, all signs and government notices are published in Tigrinya, Arabic and English. EriTV News is broadcast in Tigrinya, Tigre and Arabic. EriTV broadcasts Eritrean dramas (filmed by EriTV) in Arabic. There’s no avenue where language chauvinism is perpetrated against Arabic. If anything, the Eri Gov literally promotes it in comparison to native languages like Tigre, Saho, Blin, Kunama, Afar etc.
Click to expand...
Fiercest critics of the regime are from the muslim community I know this cuz I grew up around eritrean diaspora community and the regime you very much support often invokes secetarianism among its kebessa by fearmongering about the muslims oppostion coming over to rule them and that hgdef regime is their only saviour from that ever coming to realty.

ففي الداخل يعمل النظام علي محو كل ما له علاقة بالشخصية الإسلامية في إرتريا ، من منع اللغة العربية وتهميش دورها الحيوي في التعليم والتعمية علي هذا بما يسمي ببرنامج التعليم ( بلغة الأم ) والتمرير من خلال هذا البرنامج الكسيح في التعليم ( اللغة التغرينية ) حيث أصبحت ومن خلال مقومات السلطة التي تملكها لغة للتخاطب الإعلامي والتعامل الرسمي في دواوين الدولة وإظهار المجتمع الإرتري وكأنه مجمع عليها ومتقبل لها دون غيرها من اللغات ويساعده ( أي النظام ) في تمرير هذه السياسة وجود زعانف تحمل أسماء إسلامية ليس لها دور سوي تمثيل دور ( الغشيم النافع ) يلوون ألسنتهم بالتجرينية وتمر من خلالهم مخططات تغرنة المجتمع

Inside, the regime is working to erase everything related to the Islamic character in Eritrea, from banning the Arabic language and marginalizing its vital role in education and blinding it to what is called the education program (in the mother tongue) and passing through this crippling program in education (the Tigrinya language) where it has become and Through the elements of power possessed by a language for media communication and official dealings in state bureaus and showing the Eritrean society as if it is unanimous and accepting of it without other languages and helps it (i.e. the regime) in passing this policy. Their tongues are Tigrinya and schemes pass through them to Tigrina society
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dekiteshim

dekiteshim

Resident Eritrean | Ye's strongest soldier
Haragwaafi said:
Fiercest critics of the regime are from the muslim community I know this cuz I grew up around eritrean diaspora community and the regime you very much support often invokes secetarianism among its kebessa by fearmongering about the muslims oppostion coming over to rule them and that hgdef regime is their only saviour from that ever coming to realty.


Click to expand...
Education is not administered in Tigrinya (unless you live in a Tigrinya majority area). Elementary schools administer education in the local language. From high school onwards, everything is in English
 
dekiteshim

dekiteshim

Resident Eritrean | Ye's strongest soldier
Haragwaafi said:
All just for the show when in reality he despises the muslim community that started when he splitted the jabaha founding the kebessa dominated Shabia
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57EA5F0D-9952-4D46-84AE-09F94FACA179.jpeg

Most of the EPLF founders were Tigre Muslims. Warra Kebessa dominated party that is. You clearly have an agenda here mate. By the time the EPLF was founded, half of the ELF was Christian
 
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