Yeah you definitely new to politics. I’m sorry but Hawiye vs Darood doesn’t exist when it comes to politics. It’s all about interests. Deni could have given his votes to Farmaajo as a fellow Darood during last election but that didn’t happen. Qanyare Afrax a fellow Murusade did the same back in 2004. He could have given his votes to a fellow Hawiye but instead gave it to AY in the finals which guaranteed him victory. I doubt Puntland and Jubaland will choose Farmaajo over Kheyre. It’s not in their interest to bring him back as Farmaajo will try cause havoc again in both Jubaland and Puntland. Somaliland is allied with Kheyre. The bulk of his votes came from the Dir/Isaaq block during last election and a bit from Faroole’s gang in Garoowe. The only difference now from my understanding is that Puntland as a whole won’t be prepping up another Abgaal anymore as HSM burned that bridge unfortunately. Their favourite Hawiye politician is Kheyre without a shadow of doubt. Non Hiiraab Hawiye like the various Gugundhabe clans, as well as Gaaljecel, Garre are always politically aligned with Murusade. Murusade represents them in cultural approval as the other face of the "Hawiye Coin" meel aan Murusade ku jirin uma dhowaadaan ba.
Farmaajo might get that Qatari money but he lacks friends to work with. No one is going to work with someone that tried to assassinate them. He is completely done for. Kheyre is winning this election with or without constitutional change. He has that Russian money as well as various connects accross the globe and shit loads of friends from Seylac to Ras Kiyambooni.
Safe your energy and see you in 2026 my MX friend