What's next for Madoobe?

[Bohol]

People think Buale is easy to capture there is thousands of Al shabab soldiers and locals that support them just like Jilib so it is difficult.

 

[Louis Vuitton Don]

Let’s not sleep on faarmajo. I look at him completely different since he entered Kenya. Madoobe fighting SNA with bullets might harm him in the end.

 

[kickz]

First to Buale wins

 

[Ferrari]

If Madoobe's militias are 5k or more as claimed by Teeri, then he should go for the offensive and capture Buale; it's a difficult task but his survival as leader of Jubaland depends on it.

I think you're forgetting his forces are spread around all over lower juba, including kismaayo, jamaame, dhooblay and afmadoow, and to a smaller degree, baardheere.

If he moves to Bu'aale without strategy, something has to give, he has to sacrifice one of those regions to secure buaale which I think he should do since that's what will decide who wins and who loses.

then he can always deal with shabab in other regions later.

 

[Karim]

I think you're forgetting his forces are spread around all over lower juba, including kismaayo, jamaame, dhooblay and afmadoow, and to a smaller degree, baardheere.

If he moves to Bu'aale without strategy, something has to give, he has to sacrifice one of those regions to secure buaale which I think he should do since that's what will decide who wins and who loses.

then he can always deal with shabab in other regions later.

Why he isn't moving then?! The guy is a sitting duck waiting to be slaughtered. SNA obviously wants to encircle him from Sh/Hoose and Gedo. Things are moving at fast pace and the guy isn't observant enough it seems .

 

[Ferrari]

Why he isn't moving then?! The guy is a sitting duck waiting to be slaughtered. SNA obviously wants to encircle him from Sh/Hoose and Gedo. Things are moving at fast pace and the guy isn't observant enough it seems .

He's going to have to now.

I dont think he's got another choice.

Also, I am beginning to suspect this janan guy, and how easily he folds, given all the soldiers he has.

 

[kickz]

Also, I am beginning to suspect this janan guy, and how easily he folds, given all the soldiers he has.

You thinkin he is a double agent?

 

[Karim]

He's going to have to now.

I dont think he's got another choice.

Also, I am beginning to suspect this janan guy, and how easily he folds, given all the soldiers he has.

Janan didn't fold, he actually held his ground yesterday, his militias didn't retreat or move an inch from their defensive positions.

 

[Karim]

@Ferrari @kickz
I'm also suspicious of the way he escaped, maybe he's in a secret deal with N&N.

 

[kickz]

@Ferrari @kickz
I'm also suspicious of the way he escaped, maybe he's in a secret deal with N&N.

His crossing into Mandera also gives Kenya pretext in this fight which has made me wonder.

Although Kenya has obliged so that makes it real to me.

 

[Ahmed Abdirahman]

People think Buale is easy to capture there is thousands of Al shabab soldiers and locals that support them just like Jilib so it is difficult.

So Buale is the endgame for the Jubbaland campaign right? As soon as it's gone al-shabaab will be gone too?

I mean they have no where else to run, SL and PL have their own forces that deter any on coming shabaab visitors while GM was just liberated from a militia and is now in government hands with SNA troops station there.

Hoping the SNA finish them off before they have a chance to escape to either Hirshabelle or SW.

 

[Karim]

So Buale is the endgame for the Jubbaland campaign right? As soon as it's gone al-shabaab will be gone too?

I mean they have no where else to run, SL and PL have their own forces that deter any on coming shabaab visitors while GM was just liberated from a militia and is now in government hands with SNA troops station there.

Hoping the SNA finish them off before they have a chance to escape to either Hirshabelle or SW.

Al Shabab still control most of south central Somalia. From Harardhere, El Bur, El Dhere all the way to Hiran and Sh/Dhexe, AS militias firmly control those regions.

Don't let the recent skirmishes with ASWJ distract you from the big picture.

 

[Ahmed Abdirahman]

Al Shabab still control most of south central Somalia. From Harardhere, El Bur, El Dhere all the way to Hiran and Sh/Dhexe, AS militias firmly control those regions.

Don't let the recent skirmishes with ASWJ distract you from the big picture.

i see, thanks

 

[Maximus]

Blackie must leave.

 

[Ferrari]

Janan didn't fold, he actually held his ground yesterday, his militias didn't retreat or move an inch from their defensive positions.

I am not buying it.

I dont see why janan would remain this loyal to madoobe this long, not to mention it is almost impossible for him not to have been turned while detained awhile back.

Time will tell, but janan has large number of soldiers, and barely put up a fight before fleeing, for the second time.

The whole fleeing to mandera thing could be part of the plan as well, to garner public support by saying "see kenya..."

 

[kickz]

@Django walalka Duqbilow appears to have gotten his bot money again

 

[Ismail Khan]

If Madoobe's militias are 5k or more as claimed by Teeri, then he should go for the offensive and capture Buale; it's a difficult task but his survival as leader of Jubaland depends on it.

Who funds his 5k army ?

 

[Karim]

Who funds his 5k army ?

I can't confirm the authenticity of that number but the port revenue obviously funds the salary of his militias. Kenya helps too.

 

[embarassing]

I can't confirm the authenticity of that number but the port revenue obviously funds the salary of his militias. Kenya helps too.

Why do you support the Kenyan govt and their vision for Somalia over the Somali govt, Somali people and country?

 

[AarLibaax]

@AarLibaax can you contribute to this conversation since I am not MX.

My fellow southie don't bother with this guy @Django

Chatting to him is like entering a roundabout with no exit