Top African Economies in 20 years

[Balqisa]

https://www.the-star.co.ke/news/201...cas-economies-in-20-years-cnn-survey_c1844038

*this is a survey carried out by CNN*


TLDR:
Nigeria projected to be #1

Kenya is projected to be #2

S. Africa : #3

Ethiopia: #4

This is obviously based on information from the World Bank.

In 20 years where do you see Somalias economy?

 

[Ape]

https://www.the-star.co.ke/news/201...cas-economies-in-20-years-cnn-survey_c1844038

*this is a survey carried out by CNN*


TLDR:
Nigeria projected to be #1

Kenya is projected to be #2

S. Africa : #3

Ethiopia: #4

This is obviously based on information from the World Bank.

In 20 years where do you Somalias economy?

Unless a powerful gaddafi like uniting somali leader and anti qabilist one takes power, i doubt we have a furure

 

[Balqisa]

@Reiko @kobe @RichEnoughForGucci @Apollo @AussieHustler @Abdalla @yaanyuur @Abkaal @Crow @Gooney112 @Factz

 

[Apollo]

Per capita is more important.

Those countries have massive populations.

 

[Gooney112]

20 years from now somalia will be worse. A lawless jungle imo.

 

[Striker]

imo it's unpredictable

25 years ago Rwanda and Burundi were both going through a civil war and International observers predicted that Rwanda would become more underdeveloped than Burundi because Rwanda's civil war was far more destructive than the Burundi one. They destroyed all their infrastructure, government and economy while Burundi still retained their economy.

Fast-forward 20 years and Rwanda is one of the fastest growing African country and Burundi is one of the poorest African country.

I don't know much about economics but I am still hopeful for a functioning Somali government and state during my lifetime.

 

[EDsomali]

Per capita is more important.

Those countries have massive populations.

Even per capita is flawed when judging a country’s development I.e Equatorial Guinea.

IMO to judge future African counties you have to look at

HDI + GDP per capita purchasing power + Happiness index.

 

[Apollo]

Even per capita is flawed when judging a country’s development I.e Equatorial Guinea.

IMO to judge future African counties you have to look at

HDI + GDP per capita purchasing power + Happiness index.

HDI in E-Guinea has been catching up with the GDP per capita.

 

[EDsomali]

HDI in E-Guinea has been catching up with the GDP per capita.

But their per capita is European standard. HDI lower than Ukraine and North Africa even though GDP per capita is multiple times higher.

They simple have too much corruption which means that the majority of the population don’t feel the benefits of their economy.

https://www.hrw.org/news/2017/01/27/equatorial-guinea-why-poverty-plagues-high-income-nation

 

[Apollo]

But their per capita is European standard. HDI lower than Ukraine and North Africa even though GDP per capita is multiple times higher.

They simple have too much corruption which means that the majority of the population don’t feel the benefits of their economy.

https://www.hrw.org/news/2017/01/27/equatorial-guinea-why-poverty-plagues-high-income-nation

That is a social problem though. It can be solved through new sociopolitical institutions.

Upping low HDI with high GDP per capita is easy (if the elites want it).

Upping low HDI with low GDP per capita is almost impossible. So E-Guinea can fix their shit if their elites want to.

 

[RichEnoughForGucci]

In 20 yrs time there will be a race war.

 

[AussieHustler]

Rich

Correction.

In 20 yrs time there will be a Sunni-Sectarian War between Muslim Brotherhood and Salafis in Somalia.

Halima

In 20 years time, since those who are children in the diaspora today will have little or no loyalty towards their cousins back home, there will be less remittances sent back home and the economic situation will only get worse than today. Expect wars on the depleted resources unless politicians back home take steps now to rectify this impending disaster.

 

[RichEnoughForGucci]

Rich

Correction.



Halima

In 20 years time, since those who are children in the diaspora today will have little or no loyalty towards their cousins back home, there will be less remittances sent back home and the economic situation will only get worse than today. Expect wars on the depleted resources unless politicians back home take steps now to rectify this impending disaster.

That could be the case. But I still think there is going to be a race war.

My name isn't halima tf.

 

[AussieHustler]

That could be the case. But I still think there is going to be a race war.

My name isn't halima tf.

Yaskaaa

Sxb, that part, I was addressing the Op, Halima From The Block.