The proposed Amendments to the Election, Electoral System and political parties.

I finished reading this on Gaylan's Facebook. I think this draft will be revised quite throughly. Things that need to be removed in my opinion:
  1. Two party system
  2. Federal gov control over all natural resources
  3. Federal gov control of state and local elections
  4. In many ancillary faqrads, the draft lies about the scope of the change. It says that there was a change in the siiqad or language of the faqrad when the new language is clearly different. For example the faqrad on the furthest left is the 2012 constitution. Look at how clear the language there is compared with the proposed change. Dirty games ae being played. View attachment 315743
  5. Sometimes the lies are outright like when discussing the economic development of Gabooye people. They outright deleted the section on Gabooye economic development without saying they deleted it. I expect the the draft as a whole will be contaminted with this kind of trickery. View attachment 315745
This is not going to pass muster.
Thank you for spotting the glaring travesties. There are so many amendments, additions and exclusions; let me begin with the less conspicuous ones, where inquisitive, legal minds are required.

a) The term 'Sharci' has been removed and intentionally replaced with 'Xeer', the significance herein being:
- To dilute primacy, and traces of Islamic jurisprudence, ordinances, and their precedence.​
- Sharci / shuruuc (pl) are derived from Shari'a 'Islamic jurisprudence' grounded in, and with its basis in Islam whereas Xeer is derived from customs and traditions, and Sharica. This becomes more evident when one notices the role of Culamaa has been excluded. Case in point Article 13, pS. 17&18, re: abortion where powers are afforded the medical profession, removing consultation with Culamaa - further explained in subtum.​

For instance, Article 17, p. 18:
- Removed are sections (1) & (2):​
- section (1) provides every citizen is free to practise own religion.​
- section (2) provides no religion, barring Islam, could not preached.​

b) Legal terms, which demand strict interpretations had been replaced with loose wordings open to interpretations, giving a great deal of latitude to abuse and misuse. Case in point Article 19, p.19, re: Miranda warning - further explained in subtum.

When legal minds with professional training and experience write contracts, which is what the Constitution is as 'social contract', technical terms with intent and purpose are used, whereas when ordinary people read, or try to interpret such laws, confusion almost always reins, with many concluding said law(s) being contradictory; one hears that often, and for a reason. Case in point, difference between Freedom of enquiry vs freedom of expression. The two concepts are confused, or intentionally transposed, in the proposed amendments. Article 18, pS 18&19,​

- section (3) of said Article, sets limitations where ingenuity in its art form incl. poetic or literary forms, and research had been replaced and confined to 'one's knowledge and creativity'; the new section uses the words 'faaf reeb la'aan', which I think is intended to mean lack of censorship. here, 'Xoriyad aqooneed' does not mean the same as 'si xor ah u soo bandhigo aqoontiisa'; the former speaks to freedom of enquiry and research whereas the latter speaks to one being at liberty to express. A major difference.​
- Further, in its simplest form, the new wording gives rise to loopholes to be exploited, where a citizen could be arrested for reciting a poem deemed inflammatory under Article (18), section (3).​

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I have got 10 pages of notes to confirm, validate at first. Gotta dash to my morning meetings.

Bloody shame.
 
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Thegoodshepherd

Galkacyo iyo Calula dhexdood
VIP
All you need to do now, is bring back the Farmaajo picture you used to have.
It's okay to come out now.

The US, UK and EU, who have been protecting our sovereignty over the past 30 years, are losing their hegemony. If Ethiopia recognizes Somaliland, federalism is DEAD. Somalia will have to replicate Eritrea.

The conditions that made it possible to imagine Somalia as a loose federation/confederation are going away. A loose federation/confederation cannot serve as the base for a standing army of 130,000. That is the level of mobilization we will need going forward.

When the facts change, I change my mind.
 
The US, UK and EU, who have been protecting our sovereignty over the past 30 years, are losing their hegemony. If Ethiopia recognizes Somaliland, federalism is DEAD. Somalia will have to replicate Eritrea.

The conditions that made it possible to imagine Somalia as a loose federation/confederation are going away. A loose federation/confederation cannot serve as the base for a standing army of 130,000. That is the level of mobilization we will need going forward.

When the facts change, I change my mind.

No power on earth, will make Puntland give up its autonomy. I rest easy in this fact. We will sooner see a new transitional government, before we see a remake of the Kacaan regime.
 

reer

VIP
The US, UK and EU, who have been protecting our sovereignty over the past 30 years, are losing their hegemony. If Ethiopia recognizes Somaliland, federalism is DEAD. Somalia will have to replicate Eritrea.

The conditions that made it possible to imagine Somalia as a loose federation/confederation are going away. A loose federation/confederation cannot serve as the base for a standing army of 130,000. That is the level of mobilization we will need going forward.

When the facts change, I change my mind.

this is not the 70s when kenya was a wimp. they went to even challenge for somali sea. somalia neighbors two hostile countries of 150+ million. and needs a really large portion of the budget just for defense.
 

Thegoodshepherd

Galkacyo iyo Calula dhexdood
VIP
No power on earth, will make Puntland give up its autonomy. I rest easy in this fact. We will sooner see a new transitional government, before we see a remake of the Kacaan regime.

Somalia was always going to recentralize at some point. Abiy simply brought that eventuality forward in time.

Abiy is 47 years old. He may be in charge of Ethiopia for the next two decades. I will throw federalism to the window NOWinstead of regretting not having an SNA when the ENDF come to Oog.

Autocracy will never comeback to Somalia. There is no risk of a dictatorship arising again.
 
Hassan sheikh has added to the persona tyrant in addition to the list of issues which personifies his regime like corruption, clanism, cronyism, etc.
The future is not looking good as long as this fella is in charge.
 
There is a significant contrast between autocracy and the current de facto confederation we are. Under this constitution, the FGS is slated to wield power comparable to the German federal state.

Initially, Somalia aimed to be the most decentralized federal state globally, but now we are as centralized as an average federal state. Additionally, we will have the capacity to cast votes both locally and nationally.

What I find optimal is the simultaneous conduct of all elections. This means that the party winning the most votes nationally will likely secure victory in the majority, if not all, of the states. This should foster a positive relationship between the state and FGS based on shared party.

Furthermore, it allows for the possibility of voting for Party A at the local level and Party B at the national level. State races will gain heightened significance, as demonstrated in Texas, where an uncooperative state can impede national policies. This shift should encourage political parties to move away from clan-based politics.

(In technical terms, winning the national elections is possible if a substantial portion of the populations of Puntland and Xamar vote for you. Meaning, it's possible that winning nationally doesn't guarantee victory in the majority of states.)
 
The US, UK and EU, who have been protecting our sovereignty over the past 30 years, are losing their hegemony. If Ethiopia recognizes Somaliland, federalism is DEAD. Somalia will have to replicate Eritrea.
Kenya isn’t the same one in the 60’s that signed a deal with the British to defend them if Somalia attacked.
The conditions that made it possible to imagine Somalia as a loose federation/confederation are going away. A loose federation/confederation cannot serve as the base for a standing army of 130,000. That is the level of mobilization we will need going forward.

When the facts change, I change my mind.
SNA is being picked off by AS/UAE fragmented into clan lines how are you gonna build 130k or more strong military? Somalia should start looking east not west.
 

Bazed

Tired.
VIP
The parliament was a shit show. Not that a presidential system will be better but at least now hate can be better conducconducted onto one idiot.
 
Somalia was always going to recentralize at some point. Abiy simply brought that eventuality forward in time.

Abiy is 47 years old. He may be in charge of Ethiopia for the next two decades. I will throw federalism to the window NOWinstead of regretting not having an SNA when the ENDF come to Oog.

Autocracy will never comeback to Somalia. There is no risk of a dictatorship arising again.


Feel free to throw federalism away in the Galmudug and Gedo you hail from.
 

GemState

36/21
VIP
If Ethiopia goes along with the deal, serious question, but what is the alternative to becoming another Eritrea? Ethiopia isn't run by somewhat coherent people like Meles, you have senior officals in Abiy's administration talking about a messianic mission to reach the ocean.

Why can't we just follow the plan from before? Which was to build an SNA with 3000 soldiers from each FMS.

Federalism has never even been given a chance by South Central Somalis. Let HSM torpedoe it and end up as the spokesperson for the upcoming UN Trusteeship.
 
If Ethiopia goes along with the deal, serious question, but what is the alternative to becoming another Eritrea? Ethiopia isn't run by somewhat coherent people like Meles, you have senior officals in Abiy's administration talking about a messianic mission to reach the ocean.

Why would the alternative be HGDEF-run Eritrea?

In order to defend Somalia against external threats, the federal government needs to be in charge of all matters relating to defence and foreign affairs. These provision were already included in the current (KMG) constitution as well as what appears to be in the revised/completeted one. Aside from these centralized power, I can't see how letting FMS have local/regional autonomous power stand in the way of defending the nation, even if it requires a total militarization Γ‘ la Eritrea.

The more acute concern should be instead, how Somalia can become self-sufficient in maintaining its security/stability. When you're compromised and already have the 'enemy' inside your country, of course they'll take further advantage of you, and you will have limited maneuver capabilities in responding to the humiliating violations of your territorial integrity.
 

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