These are the events that took place within the last 2 weeks:
1. Ethiopian military has defeated the TPLF by pushing them back from Afar and Tigray regions.
2. The Chinese FM recently paid visit to Asmara, Eritrea, and announced a partnership with the Government of Eritrea.
3. The political crisis between the Somali President and PM has started.
4. The US Government announced the replacement of its Horn of Africa envoy, and instead nominated a new one.
5. An agreement has been announced between Somali leaders on the election yesterday, while Somali PM Farmaajo remains the supreme leaders of the security forces.
6. Today the PM of Ethiopia has announced that President Biden had a phone conversation with him.
So if I try to make sense out if it, President Biden doesn't want to lose the Horn of Africa to China. So he decided to change course. It does seems to me the president is shifting gears now. The biggest losers are anyone who bet on regime change in Etrhiopia and Somalia. And most importantly, Secretary Blinken using Kenya when he wanted to discuss Ethiopia, Somalia, and Eritrea seems to have been abandoned by President Biden. Therefore, to conclude it, it seems the #NoMore campaign has borne fruits.
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