The future land/resource battles in the horn of Africa due to climate change

[Chaseyourdreamzz]

Over the next few decades somaliweyn will be heavily impacted by climate change since a significant percentage of Somalis are still nomadic pastoralists they will have no choice but to either urbanize or migrate for greener pastures this may put them at conflict with neighbouring ethnic groups in the case of Ethiopia and Kenya which we already see clashes both small scale and major how bad do you guys think these resources battles will get in the horn ? IMO this will be one of the biggest things facing our people in the upcoming decades @Gerigo'an @GaradShabeel winter is coming

 

[GaradShabeel]

Even though conflict may arise due to scarce resources between clans and ethnic groups in our region, the worse will be the one between countries.

Remember, Ethiopia have the capability to run our two rivers dry. The sources of the Shabelle and Jubba rivers are located inside Ethiopia where they have plans to build dams, especially in the Oromo region.

On top of this, climate change will exacerbate the livelihood for our people. Only countries with abundance of resources and/or high-income economies will be able with withstand in the changing conditions. And we are still in the early stages of state-building

 

[chronic]

Even though conflict may arise due to scarce resources between clans and ethnic groups in our region, the worse will be between countries.

Remember, Ethiopia have the capability to run our two rivers dry. The sources of Shabelle and Jubba rivers are located inside Ethiopia, where they have plans to build dams, especially in the Oromo region.

On top of this, climate change will exacerbate the livelihood for our people. Only countries with resources will be able with withstand in the changing conditions. And we are still in the early stages of state-building

Tough times are ahead

 

[Dima&Damo]

Time to eat sea food you low iq geeljires

 

[GaradShabeel]

Time to eat sea food you low iq geeljires

That's for coastal people like you. As for inland Somalis, sea food is completely foreign to us.

 

[Chaseyourdreamzz]

Even though conflict may arise due to scarce resources between clans and ethnic groups in our region, the worse will be the one between countries.

Remember, Ethiopia have the capability to run our two rivers dry. The sources of the Shabelle and Jubba rivers are located inside Ethiopia where they have plans to build dams, especially in the Oromo region.

On top of this, climate change will exacerbate the livelihood for our people. Only countries with abundance of resources and/or high-income economies will be able with withstand in the changing conditions. And we are still in the early stages of state-building

There will definitely be a major conflict in east Africa in the upcoming decades maybe Egypt decides to go to war with Ethiopia over the dam

But what I’m most worried about is it’s impact on Somalis were cooked dawg clan warfare will reach a high level especially in areas were resources are meager and many different clans are present

 

[Adeersyber]

Alhamdullilah jubaland will stay a beautiful grassland while you mooryan fight over a piece of desert

 

[GaradShabeel]

There will definitely be a major conflict in east Africa in the upcoming decades maybe Egypt decides to go to war with Ethiopia over the dam

But what I’m most worried about is it’s impact on Somalis were cooked dawg clan warfare will reach a high level especially in central Somalia region were resources are meager

No, Ethiopia and Egypt will end up with a mutually beneficial agreement that will solve their squabbles soon. All of this public threatening of each other is nothing more than show. I wouldn't take them serious, for now.

As for Somalis, you're correct that the immediate effects will be felt in regions with meager resources. But urbanizing will alleviate some of the outcome, provided that we build sustainable and high-growth economies ASAP. Otherwise, we're seriously doomed.

I'm more concerned about how Somalis will be able to cope with the ever increasing heat/temperature as a result of climate change. Maybe a lack of priority on my end, but some regions will soon be uninhabitable

 

[Chaseyourdreamzz]

No, Ethiopia and Egypt will end up with a mutually beneficial agreement that will solve their squabbles soon. All of this public threatening of each other is nothing more than show. I wouldn't take them serious, for now.

As for Somalis, you're correct that the immediate effects will be felt in regions with meager resources. But urbanizing will alleviate some of the outcome, provided that we build sustainable and high-growth economies ASAP. Otherwise, we're seriously doomed.

I'm more concerned about how Somalis will be able to cope with the ever increasing heat/temperature as a result of climate change. Maybe a lack of priority on my end

Your right heat is gonna be crazy already Cities like bosaso People leave during the summer months to cooler areas like qardho etc shit is gonna get real and we are not prepared as a people

 

[GaradShabeel]

Your right heat is gonna be crazy already Cities like bosaso People leave during the summer months to cooler areas like qardho etc shit is gonna get real and we are not prepared as a people

Is it cooler alongside the borders with the Somali region? I've always had the assumption that those areas were similar to the coastal areas facing the gulf of Aden with scorching heat.

 

[Chaseyourdreamzz]

Is it cooler alongside the borders with the Somali region? I've always had the assumption that those areas were similar to the coastal areas facing the gulf of Aden with scorching heat.

It’s definitely cooler inland even the Indian Ocean coast is much more tolerable then the Red Sea coast

 

[GaradShabeel]

@Chaseyourdreamzz How do you envision the economy of Somalia changing in the next 10 years? Do you think that we might become self-reliant in certain sectors?

The gov't needs to come up with an agenda 2030/2035/2040 etc where they set up target to be achieved by then, and transcend between gov't that come and go.

 

[GaradShabeel]

@Chaseyourdreamzz How do you envision the economy of Somalia changing in the next 10 years? Do you think that we might become self-reliant in certain sectors?

The gov't needs to come up with an agenda 2030/2035/2040 etc where they set up target to be achieved by then, and transcend between gov't that come and go.

I'm also of the opinion that we need a diaspora minister/ministry (long overdue!) that takes advantage of the current large population of Somalis abroad. It seems like Somalis are loosing ties with back home over the generations, which is why it's vital to encourage them to invest more in the near future.

While Somalis send remittance back home, unfortunately most of the money is spent on the daily living cost of relatives. It's a great deed, but imagine if only a some of those sums were spent as job/revenue creating investments? We would've been much ahead today.

 

[Chaseyourdreamzz]

@Chaseyourdreamzz How do you envision the economy of Somalia changing in the next 10 years? Do you think that we might become self-reliant in certain sectors?

The gov't needs to come up with an agenda 2030/2035/2040 etc where they set up target to be achieved by then, and transcend between gov't that come and go.

10 years is doable to get back on our feet if we have an adequate government that invest in the right sectors such as agriculture and livestock production and fisheries I believe Those areas might become are bread and butter

 

[GaradShabeel]

10 years is doable to get back on our feet if we have an adequate government that invest in the right sectors such as agriculture and livestock production and fisheries I believe Those areas might become are bread and butter

Those sectors can be our niche. However, there are opportunities in every sector as of now. We are heavily dependent on imports after all, and becoming self-reliant needs to be an important priority.

 

[Aurelian]

Over the next few decades somaliweyn will be heavily impacted by climate change since a significant percentage of Somalis are still nomadic pastoralists they will have no choice but to either urbanize or migrate for greener pastures this may put them at conflict with neighbouring ethnic groups in the case of Ethiopia and Kenya which we already see clashes both small scale and major how bad do you guys think these resources battles will get in the horn ? IMO this will be one of the biggest things facing our people in the upcoming decades @Gerigo'an @GaradShabeel winter is coming

No, we can build desalination plants all over somalia's coast and use solar/wind energy to power these plants. We can make artificial cloud to cool down the country on dry seasons.

 

[SamaaleCushite]

This is inevitable but let’s see if decades of brutal civil wars will give us the edge over our neighbors

 

[mohammdov]

Climate change is something that did not start now in Somalia. Rather, it was ancient. Many of the lands were in the past green lands and pastoralists lived there. But now it's a desert
And if Somalia does not stabilize until 2030 so that they try to face this crisis, I think our matter will end and it will be said that there was a nation called Somalis living here and they were always fighting each other and now they no longer exist

 

[Chaseyourdreamzz]

This is inevitable but let’s see if decades of brutal civil wars will give us the edge over our neighbors

Our neighbours like Ethiopia and Kenya are more well armed tbh it will be a tough situation for Somali nomads In the future

 

[bidenkulaha]

Climate change is nonsense. We’ll adapt