This guy Salman Adan?
Yaa ku yidhi magaalo rag leeyahay ku kibiir ma laascanood bad moodey? Ninkan ilaahay haw naxariisto xalay ceerigaabo lugu dilay waxana ku shiish bartay Mid muuse ismaciil.
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Yes. It wasn’t the “smuggling” guns into the city. It was his death that caused it. (AUN)
I've seen pro SSC accounts reposting the above videos claiming it to be Isaaq, but so far there is no video of MI leaving Ceerigaabo civilian or otherwise. No artillery is coming close to Ceerigaabo. Bullets yes, but artillery require positioning your troops at least few KM outside the city which is unlikely.
Artillery from us will be hit from South Ceeri. And just outside the town limits as well from the south. We have the men and arms to do it. I don’t think they will but if it’s open war, homes will get destroyed guaranteed. As for who’s leaving, I was told that generally civilians are evacuating.
I don't think so. This time Somaliland has the support of the shacab inside the city perameters. Muuse Ismaciil will fight alongside the army. There is a reason why all these HY killings are outside the city in the miyi. Bixii just came out and said elections might be delayed by the war in Ceerigaabo. He has everything to win by pouring oil into the fire. If SSC Karash militia attacks Ceerigaabo city proper it would be an open war.
I also disagree with your assessment, SL threw everything at Sool and there weaker now than they were last year. Complete disarmament happened to their forces and they lost the places that matters that most in Sool forever. I see the same happening, at the very least the city being split and SSC-K ruling half of it. If Dhulbahante decide to bleed for this, I don’t see how Isaaq can stop them. DH have no fear of their capabilities or their anger. And your underestimating the number of weapons and fighters they can pour in at once.
So far NA want to fight so MI don’t cross their red lines anymore, so it’s not even political yet. If it gets there, than yes Bixi does benefit because he most likely gets an extension.