The NA dude that was killed initially was stopped by going in his house because he made a video saying that if Bixi came to NA side of Ceeri, that it would pop off. 2 HY police confronted him, argument insued and we know the rest. You can see this video on social media, that’s what popped it off. This NA individual also took part in the Sool war so this gave extra motivation for him to be confronted.
This guy Salman Adan?
Yaa ku yidhi magaalo rag leeyahay ku kibiir ma laascanood bad moodey? Ninkan ilaahay haw naxariisto xalay ceerigaabo lugu dilay waxana ku shiish bartay Mid muuse ismaciil.
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Next day NA killed 2 randoms and HY retaliated by killed 2 more later on that day in a firefight. NA came back from Fiqi fuliye and killed 3-4 more (hearing 3 and 4 from different sources) That is where it stands as of now. 10 total dead. 6 HY with 2 of them civilians and 4 NA.
We pretty much have the same casualties, except you didn't mention the 3 Dhulbahante who were murdered in Ceerigaabo city. Or Karash militia who attacked HY geeljire and stole their camels. HY casualties being 5 or 6 are plausible around Goof since SSC milita were camping in Fiqifulyi for months ever since the sentence on the 60 youth in Ceerigaabo, they eagerly needed a reason to fight.
Dhulbahante casualty timeline:
1 in Ceerigaabo city> 2 in Goof > 3 in Ceerigaabo city.
HY casualty timeline:
2 in Goof, 3-4 in Goof when they tried to retrieve camels from Karash militia
Every side is evacuating. And of course they will all leave since artitelly will hit homes and bullets will fly. (Don’t think either will happen in the foreseeable future, just skirmishes sure)
I've seen pro SSC accounts reposting the above videos claiming it to be Isaaq, but so far there is no video of MI leaving Ceerigaabo civilian or otherwise. No artillery is coming close to Ceerigaabo. Bullets yes, but artillery require positioning your troops at least few KM outside the city which is unlikely.
The Dhulbahante garaads don’t want war in Sanaag, that was made clear to me. Everyone else does. I personally don’t think a big war will happen.
Sanaag wars will be just like the Sool one. And I think it will ultimately make SL weaker.
I don't think so. This time Somaliland has the support of the shacab inside the city perameters. Muuse Ismaciil will fight alongside the army. There is a reason why all these HY killings are outside the city in the miyi. Bixii just came out and said elections might be delayed by the war in Ceerigaabo. He has everything to win by pouring oil into the fire. If SSC Karash militia attacks Ceerigaabo city proper it would be an open war.
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. We either have to close the dem border or help our cousins reclaim ceerigaabo.
