Somaliland is taking orders from the UAE, the UAE has been trying to oust the Government in Xamar due to its political affiliation with Qatar and Turkey. It has been doing this by...
1.Buying Al-Shabab coal and funding its operations.
https://www.alaraby.co.uk/english/c...abaab-through-somalias-illicit-charcoal-trade
2. Funding a twitter campaign to slam Farmaajo.
http://radiodalsan.com/en/uae-launches-twitter-war-against-somalia-as-diplomatic-row-deepens/
3. Funding pro-UAE politicians in Xamar or intimidating those that support Farmaajo.
None of this has worked.
Theirs a big rumour spreading that Somaliland with UAE and Saudi air support is going to invade the South to oust the government, the operation will be marketed as an Anti Al-Shabab operation. On an article i read it mentioned that the war in Yemen is giving the UAE armed forces experience and that it may invade Somalia next. The UAE has already established bases and Air strips within Somaliland so conducting such an operation would be easy. I expect a large scale war to engulf the entirety of Somalia.