Ethiopia would hardly accept such a disadvantageous arrangement. Its ambitions for a sea outlet are driven not merely by economic considerations, but by strategic imperatives ensuring national security, establishing a maritime presence, and diminishing its dependence on Djibouti, which currently profits substantially from Ethiopia’s trade through transit taxes.
Ethiopia is, in essence, thinking in grand strategic terms. It is highly likely that Addis Ababa wishes to revive the Memorandum of Understanding, though only under conditions that serve its own interests. The government appears intent on reinstating the very same agreement it signed with President Biixi; its earlier withdrawal was not a rejection of the idea itself, but a response to unfavourable timing and a desire to gauge international reaction.
The backlash from Western nations was significant many viewed Somalia as a fragile state in need of support and thus rallied behind it. However, with Donald Trump now back in power, it is doubtful that Washington would be particularly concerned if Ethiopia were to secure a maritime outlet through Somaliland. or Somalia what ever u wanne call it
That, indeed, is the substance of the matter. Let us set aside personalities and focus squarely on the underlying geopolitical dynamics, my dear lad.