Situation in Ethiopia by TLDR news

[Kanan]

Why no chance? Eritrea is already in Northern Ethiopia at the invitation of Abiy’s government. They were the ones who saved him. It’s not impossible to believe that they will save him again. Western powers are already supporting TDF.

They're not actually supporting TPLF they're influencing Abiye to end the war and negotiate a settlement. A full fledged western support for TPLF (media, cash, arms, regional pro western allies) will be hard missed.

 

[World]

They're not actually supporting TPLF they're influencing Abiye to end the war and negotiate a settlement. A full fledged western support for TPLF (media, cash, arms, regional pro western allies) will be hard missed.

Eritrea is already in the conflict, they saved endf already by deploying tens of thousands of troops when abiy needed them the most. What did westerners do? Nothing. If tplf starts marching towards addis and they save endf again, then they won’t do anything again.
Also the tplf have stashed away tens of billions of dollars, they don’t even need cash. And even if the west were to support tplf, how would they? The djibouti corridor is controlled by endf, the Sudan border is controlled by endf, they can’t do shit.

 

[Sheikh Kulkuli]

Most Eritreans about 60% are biher tigrina Christians who are closely related to Ethiopian Tigrayans. They dominate the military and political establishment.

The rest are Muslims which include the: saho, Tigre(northwestern Eritrea) rashida, Bilen and afar. Muslims in Eritrea are low key subjugated and marginalized

No Eritrean christians are not 60% its an over exerggerated stats and also Afaworki refused the refugees in Sudan to return.

 

[Wallahi187]

TLDR; it is an unwinnable war, looks like a stalemate, nobody has solutions.

My solution would be to either make Tigray an independent country and name it Axum or the less likely option for Eritrea to annex it (Ethiopian Tigray and Eritrean Tigrinya are near identical languages).

For Somalis it is in our interest that Eritrea annexes Tigray, it would set a precedent for giving Ethiopia's territory to its neighbors.

Lmao this is impossible. Not a single Eritrean or Tigrayan would want this. The hate between us 2 is too much.

 

[Wallahi187]

The animosity between them is very odd, they're basically the same people. It's worse than the animosity between Yugoslavs because there's is based on religious conflict, but the Eritrean Habeshas and Ethio Tigrays have no meaningful differences.

Identities in the horn are fragile it makes perfect sense.

the British colonised northern Somalia, the people there got oppressed by Siad Barre and now a lot of them claim they’re Lander and not Somali.

Colonisation also helped create the different identities of Tigrinyas in Eritrea and Tigrayans in Ethiopia. Before the Italians came there wasn’t a definite border, regions in north Eastern Tigray and south eastern Eritrea were under one kingdom and even considered the same people.

Realistically speaking, Northern Tigrayans (Adwa, Axum, Adigrat) are more similar to Southern Eritreans than they are to southern Tigrayans (Timbien, Raya) . They speak a more similar dialect, look more similar and have a more shared history.

It’s all colonialism and petty beef. We are no more different than a Somali from Djibouti and Somalia. An afar from Ethiopia and Eritrea etc. but colonisation and past tensions make us identify as 2 different people.

 

[Abba Sadacha]

Why no chance? Eritrea is already in Northern Ethiopia at the invitation of Abiy’s government. They were the ones who saved him. It’s not impossible to believe that they will save him again. Western powers are already supporting TDF.

Eritreas troops are still guarding Abiy in Addis Ababa. But will it be enough? Who knows.

 

[Sheikh Kulkuli]

Eritreas troops are still guarding Abiy in Addis Ababa. But will it be enough? Who knows.

Eritrea will bring more like 10s of thousands.

Afaworki would rather have war in Addis ababa than his backyard.

 

[Som]

TLDR; it is an unwinnable war, looks like a stalemate, nobody has solutions.

My solution would be to either make Tigray an independent country and name it Axum or the less likely option for Eritrea to annex it (Ethiopian Tigray and Eritrean Tigrinya are near identical languages).

For Somalis it is in our interest that Eritrea annexes Tigray, it would set a precedent for giving Ethiopia's territory to its neighbors.

Reer Eritrea and reer Ethiopian Tigray are the same people but hate each other. It's worse than Somaliland vs somalia