Siad Barre could betray his army in 1977 war

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This thesis suggests that Barre could betray his army in 1977 war.


https://openaccess.leidenuniv.nl/bi...and Leader Survival in Somalia.pdf?sequence=1


"I argue that the Somali dictator, under the guise of Somali irredentism, initiated the Ogaden conflict firstly, to occupy the Somali National Army (SNA) and secondly, to later debilitate the elite group. The outcome of which was likely to coup-proof his regime and extend his political career. The Ogaden War was likely an attempt by the Somali leader to fight for his survival".

"I suggest that a possible motive behind the Ogaden War lay not in Somali irredentism but in coup-proofing, a strategy employed to weaken the military and diminish the leader’s risk of military coup"
 
Under socialism, one can not be super-rich and pass this wealth on to our own will. He needed an excuse to turn off the path of socialist development and get bogged down with the USSR. I can be wrong, but I think so.
Maybe the special services of other countries have done the relevant work.
 
This thesis suggests that Barre could betray his army in 1977 war.


https://openaccess.leidenuniv.nl/bitstream/handle/1887/52433/How do the Mighty Fall - Elite Rivalry, Coup-proofing and Leader Survival in Somalia.pdf?sequence=1


"I argue that the Somali dictator, under the guise of Somali irredentism, initiated the Ogaden conflict firstly, to occupy the Somali National Army (SNA) and secondly, to later debilitate the elite group. The outcome of which was likely to coup-proof his regime and extend his political career. The Ogaden War was likely an attempt by the Somali leader to fight for his survival".

"I suggest that a possible motive behind the Ogaden War lay not in Somali irredentism but in coup-proofing, a strategy employed to weaken the military and diminish the leader’s risk of military coup"
Nonsense.

The Ogaden war of 77 was initiated in 1973 by ethiopia, as proven by the declassified US diplomatic cables regarding massive troop amassing on the Ogaden-Somalia border in 1973.

tigray kept this hostility and threats up for 4 years before Somalia had to protect itself. Everybody blames Siad as if he did it out of ego, but our entire nation was under threat.

He tried to avoid the very situation that we see today, with ethiopia's de-facto colonization attempt with their military.

Siad Barre was forced to go to war, because ethiopia was threatening to invade at any moment
+ the horrific human rights abuses committed by ethiopia against marehans, hawiye, raxanwayne and ogadens (his mother's clan) in 1973, as revenge for the whooping in the Somalia-ethiopia war of 1964.

Siad Barre was a bit too soft on the tigray unfortunately, and today, tigray servants Damuul Jadiid surround our entire gov. Disgraceful.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Here's Siad's speech to Somalia and Africa regarding tigray antagonism.


https://wikileaks.org/plusd/cables/1973MOGADI00345_b.html



SIAD ON ETHIOPIAN- SOMALI RELATIONS
Date:
1973 March 12, 10:40 (Monday)

Restrictions
-- N/A or Blank --

Character Count:
3038

Date:
1973 March 12, 10:40 (Monday)

The Kissinger Cables.

Canonical ID: 1973MOGADI00345_b

WE DON' T BELIEVE THAT THE ARMS THAT SHOULD BE USED TO FIGHT AGAINST THOSE WHO ARE COLONIZING AFRICA SHOULD BE TURNED AGAINST OTHER AFRICANS. THAT IS NEITHER OUR POLICY NOR THAT OF AFRICA.

THE IMPERIALISTS ARE BUILDING A WHITE STRONGHOLD IN SOUTHERN AFRICA AND THEY ARE CREATING CONFLICTS IN EAST AFRICA WITH THE AIM OF ENGAGING AFRICANS IN INTERNAL QUARRELS AND DIVERTING US FROM OUR COMMON AIMS.

THEY WANT TO DESTROY AFRICAN UNITY WHICH IS NOW BEING STRENGTHENED AND WHICH IS HURTING THE INTERESTS OF THE IMPERIALISTS. WE SOMALIS RECOGNIZE THIS, BUT UNFORTUNATELY OTHERS DO NOT AND ACCEPT THE IMPERIALISTS' ASSURANCES.

SOMALIA' S POLICY TOWARD AFRICA CALLS FOR AFRICA TO BE LIBERATED AND TO BE UNITED -- AN AFRICA FOR AFRICANS.

HOWEVER, IF SOMALIA' S POLICY HURTS THE IMPERIALISTS SO THAT THEY CAUSE OTHERS TO ATTACK US, WHAT WILL SOMALIA DO? CLEARLY, SOMALIA WILL DEFEND HERSELF. END QUOTE.

Don't let cadaan revisionists define your country's history. Cadaan's have an interest in stirring qabil sh*t at every opportunity when it comes to our past. We have to resist their divide and conquer tactics along qabil lines.
 

xisaabiye

Ibnu Suxuufi Ibnu Al Dhoobe
I doubt he did that to stay in power. If anything that war crippled the government economically which was the beginning of his downfall. The authors point of view makes no sense:kanyeshrug:
 
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