This is definitely going to trigger a national civil war with HSM interference in JL election. It's not so much about HSM 1m1v which is.the jambal used that is the issue, it's the equation which it reports to that disturbs Darods.
Somalis assume everything is transactional such as I want extension and 1m1v and if u refuse then its war or horgal.used.
But deeper down Darod elites from siyad Era know transactional interest is minimal to the over all clan goals in the equation which is like centralise the south which Isaaq leaders demand of HSM and even IOG, that's called a strategical clan objectives. Villa Somalia demands SL to centralize the north. The rest is jambals in between to reach those goals.
Darod clans who worked in siyad govt and elites are aware and update their local.leaders. We also update them shabab and icu are jambals to discredit Federalism to help usher in HSM politics, SNM politics, or irir politics if they don't get what they want.
Many Somalis who don't have govt experience don't know about transactional vs strategical objectives. I don't blame them either they didn't have much exposure inside Siyad govt and just were civilians who fled.