quick analysis/prediction on the Somali peninsula 06/10/17

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fox

31/12/16 - 04/04/20
VIP
analysis:
When Farmaajo's administration asked for a Amisom extension everyone was shocked but it makes sense. Just look at what happened to Galmudugs's capital city Cadaado, Amisom forces captured it for the federal government of Somalia. Galmudug's president Xaaf will be replaced with a pro-farmaajo stooge similar to hirhabelle's ex-president Ali Abdulahi Osoble. Farmaajo is going to to replace one maamul goboleed president after another. Why is he placing in leaders if hes for a central government? If he were to scrap the federal states one at a time he would be at a disadvantage because it would give the other states time to react.

prediction:
So hes going to put in pro-fgs presidents like hirshabble's maxamed abdi waare and once he has all the states hes going to scrap federalism. With the pace hes moving at i think he'll have this completed before his term comes to a end. He'll call for a central government before the election and he'll win the public over. The gulf is going to see this as a threat as they wouldn't want to lose berbera to turkey so they'll recognise somaliland.
 
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ArchBishopofAtheism

Intellectual saqajaan
analysis:
When Farmaajo's administration asked for a Amisom extension everyone was shocked but it makes sense. Just look at what happened to Galmudugs's capital city Cadaado, Amisom forces captured it for the federal government of Somalia. Galmudug's president Xaaf will be replaced with a pro-farmaajo stooge similar to hirhabelle's ex-president Ali Abdulahi Osoble. Farmaajo is going to to replace one maamul goboleed president after another. Why is he placing in leaders if hes for a central government? If he were to scrap the federal states one at a time he would be at a disadvantage because it would give the other states time to react.

prediction:
So hes going to put in pro-fgs presidents like hirshabble's maxamed abdi waare and once he has all the states hes going to scrap federalism. With the pace hes moving at i think he'll have this completed before his term comes to a end. He'll call for a central government before the election and he'll win the public over. The gulf is going to see this as a threat as they wouldn't want to lose berbera to turkey so they'll recognise somaliland.
Farmaajo is playing 3 dimensional chess and has way more political experience than you. The most cunning politician probably in Africa. There will be hiccups but he'll overcome. The end result will be a flourishing democracy and a powerhouse in Africa.
 

fox

31/12/16 - 04/04/20
VIP
analysis:
When Farmaajo's administration asked for a Amisom extension everyone was shocked but it makes sense. Just look at what happened to Galmudugs's capital city Cadaado, Amisom forces captured it for the federal government of Somalia. Galmudug's president Xaaf will be replaced with a pro-farmaajo stooge similar to hirhabelle's ex-president Ali Abdulahi Osoble. Farmaajo is going to to replace one maamul goboleed president after another. Why is he placing in leaders if hes for a central government? If he were to scrap the federal states one at a time he would be at a disadvantage because it would give the other states time to react.

prediction:
So hes going to put in pro-fgs presidents like hirshabble's maxamed abdi waare and once he has all the states hes going to scrap federalism. With the pace hes moving at i think he'll have this completed before his term comes to a end. He'll call for a central government before the election and he'll win the public over. The gulf is going to see this as a threat as they wouldn't want to lose berbera to turkey so they'll recognise somaliland.

I made the analysis that Farmaajo would target Maamul Goboleed presidents and replace them with pro-FGS shills about 2 years ago :manny:
 
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