This is a discussion between stakeholders in the state. I heard from a local source that says Deni is 'cashed' up from Emirates and has no fear from any candidate the SFG has and it's bribe levels and UAE want him to return to keep SFG in check. The other factor hurting the SFG is the high level of suspicion locally that will face their puppet candidate such as the 'irirism and anti federalism' vibe nation wide. So ppl are thinking they will try to get in a 'weak issa mahmoud' with ties to SL either personal or family or some anti federalist dude who cares for his personal interest.
Right now the climate is very anti sfg, anti sl, anti irirism so the mood in PL and SSC patriotism is very high, he is confident the 'libaax' of darod the omar mahmoud will vote 4 him, becuz they are most anti irir clan in PL. He has the Osman Mahmoud also. Only Issa guys are 'unpredictable'. Leelkase/Dashishe will also throw their vote towards Deni who will argue the opposition candidate that the SFG is funding is 'daba dhilif' to anti federalist, he will give a war-cry to the parliament he is 'father' that brought Puntites/SSC back together which is a HUGE FEAT which will 'rouse' up the MPS into PL patriotism.
He will preach he is the father of democracy also and development. He will say he is a development leader and a war leader which the opposition candidate can't refute.
@Libaax-Joore I am PRO Deni after I saw the huge dharbaaxo siyasadeed he did to SL by showing the world SL is claiming Sool but how does a government kill it's own citizen has put a huge question mark on SL legitimacy. Where-as PL in 2007, left peacefully arguing it won't kill it's people, while preaching Las anod is under occupation and legally apart of PL. Plus the local mood right now is very PL/SSC patriotism, he will have the harti bloc(dashishe-warsangeli-dhulos) completely. We know omar mahmoud are always anti irir by nature and will throw their lot to Deni, so will osman mahmoud. Only vote that will go against him maybe issa mahmoud 5 votes and he takes 59 votes in the first round, it won't even reach a second round niyahow.
Deni waa abahi democracy, abahi development, wa abihi SL ka saaray Sool, plus he ensured they can never claim SOOL again as ppl will remind them a govt doesnt attack civilians, so they lost political legitimacy. The war strategy is long one to ensure SL never returns for 100 years, he wants to make sure a 'jab' that will effect them for 100 years. He is baiting SNM to bring everything concentrated in SOOL so he can destroy all its capacity.
Plus he played a master 'stroke' by making sure our 'legal forces' are in their bases and only clan militias are fighting outside his control so their is no I.C backlash.
Right now the climate is very anti sfg, anti sl, anti irirism so the mood in PL and SSC patriotism is very high, he is confident the 'libaax' of darod the omar mahmoud will vote 4 him, becuz they are most anti irir clan in PL. He has the Osman Mahmoud also. Only Issa guys are 'unpredictable'. Leelkase/Dashishe will also throw their vote towards Deni who will argue the opposition candidate that the SFG is funding is 'daba dhilif' to anti federalist, he will give a war-cry to the parliament he is 'father' that brought Puntites/SSC back together which is a HUGE FEAT which will 'rouse' up the MPS into PL patriotism.
He will preach he is the father of democracy also and development. He will say he is a development leader and a war leader which the opposition candidate can't refute.
@Libaax-Joore I am PRO Deni after I saw the huge dharbaaxo siyasadeed he did to SL by showing the world SL is claiming Sool but how does a government kill it's own citizen has put a huge question mark on SL legitimacy. Where-as PL in 2007, left peacefully arguing it won't kill it's people, while preaching Las anod is under occupation and legally apart of PL. Plus the local mood right now is very PL/SSC patriotism, he will have the harti bloc(dashishe-warsangeli-dhulos) completely. We know omar mahmoud are always anti irir by nature and will throw their lot to Deni, so will osman mahmoud. Only vote that will go against him maybe issa mahmoud 5 votes and he takes 59 votes in the first round, it won't even reach a second round niyahow.
Deni waa abahi democracy, abahi development, wa abihi SL ka saaray Sool, plus he ensured they can never claim SOOL again as ppl will remind them a govt doesnt attack civilians, so they lost political legitimacy. The war strategy is long one to ensure SL never returns for 100 years, he wants to make sure a 'jab' that will effect them for 100 years. He is baiting SNM to bring everything concentrated in SOOL so he can destroy all its capacity.
Plus he played a master 'stroke' by making sure our 'legal forces' are in their bases and only clan militias are fighting outside his control so their is no I.C backlash.
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