all i care about is the next 4 years this year was great as he is committed to the war against the Khaarij i would like to make sure he finishes them also energy minister told us they will strart producing oil by 2027 so i like his Govt to take the credit not a new govt by 2026. I DON'T think that he will be reelected unless he rigs the elections as Somalis don't elect a president after his term ends but the political game will change after Isaaq enters it and the conflict between Daarood and Dir will negatively affect Daarood/Mj candidates. Maybe him vs Kheyre who has Isaaq wife.
Of course there’ll be rigged. Expect him to comb through selections and outraise anyone once the FGS starts producing oil. He will have access to billions and foreign states won’t be able to interfere in the security of the elections. There’ll be controlled inshallah by SNA directly under HSM. But yes this still might not be enough. He’ll get to the final round, Kheyre has baggage too so he’ll be a decent final round opponent, rather than a new surprise candidate that could mean HSM suffers from washamsi.
yes it will depend on how he controls the security and the change in economic situation they both mean less interference from outside but can he rig the elections? He can under direct elections if his UPD party are united and they control in all the southern FMS but they chose to organize indirect elections controlled by the FMS and at the end will be up to the mps. the new thing is only more cities and voters maybe in every district. This depands on if the UPD alliance between Daljir and Damjadeed lasts longer but it's like they will split and as i said before Fiqi will be escapegoated and Bukhari may lose his ministrrial post. Damjadeed using their Pm are suggesting to him to make reshuffle and exclude these two.
I mean this is reasonable because xarmaajo had it for 5 yrsHassan Sheikh is gonna stay 5 years peacefully and costitutionally Farmaajo's delusional cult followers can dream as they like
We need Hassan Sheikh for 5 years to finish Al Shabaab, bring back SL/North Somalia State and Oil production wich will start in 2027.
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This is overrated. Daljir had a meeting yesterday and dispelled the rumours. Fahad Yasin is desperately trying to fund an opposition to HSM. He’s realised given the strength of this government with PL splintering over the 1m1v election and Laascaanood, there’s no opposition coming from there. And that HSM has the support of Dir and LG is on his way out. So the next best is instigating a DJ vs Daljir split so hence why Bukhari and Fiqi are the most attacked on the media for any clan disputes so they can force HSM to have to cut ties.
